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Big Heat Week into July 4th Weekend


yoda
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2pm temps Wed-Sat at DCA from the 00z or 06z runs on 6/28:

Operational Runs:

  • Euro: 95/102/105/104
  • GFS: 99/101/103/102
  • ICON: 96/102/105/105
  • GDPS: 98/102/103/102

AI Runs

  • EuroAI: 97/100/101/98
  • AIGFS: 96/99/101/96

Ensembles

  • EPS: 97/103/104/99
  • GEFS: 99/101/99/97
  • EuroAI: 99/102/99/95
  • CMCE:  99/103/104/96

 

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4 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said:

If DCA hits 90° by 10am, 100° is almost a lock. You almost need 90°by 11am or its not happening. Getting 100° in these parts is rare, getting 100°+ is even rarer. 

honestly with the dry soil and the right wind direction, we can sneak one in if we are in the upper 90s by 1pm.  It happened a couple weeks back

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14 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:


Did we really hit 100 a couple weeks ago per the comment above? I thought we hadn’t hit it since like 2012. Guess I am talking out of my butt a bit but feel like we never get there - at least formally at the airports

It hit 100 at DCA on 6/12.  DCA ended its 5th longest streak of no 100 F on 6/22/24 (2867 days).

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39 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:


Did we really hit 100 a couple weeks ago per the comment above? I thought we hadn’t hit it since like 2012. Guess I am talking out of my butt a bit but feel like we never get there - at least formally at the airports

we hit it six times back in 2024, with the hottest being 104.  That was the first time since 2016 I believe.  We hit 100 a couple weeks back as well.

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2024 was a pretty insane year in terms of heat around here: https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2024/12/30/washington-dc-warmest-year-climate/
 

First January 80F on record, Nov temp of 84F was the warmest on record so late in the year.  The 100F temps, the most 80F+ lows on record (8).  But still a pedestrian 48 90+ days.  IT was just kind of wall-to-wall warm.

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For those that want to cool off....

Advisories



One product issued by NWS for: 5 Miles N Deer Lodge MT
 

Winter Storm Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Missoula MT
616 PM MDT Sat Jun 27 2026

MTZ007-280830-
/O.CON.KMSO.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-260629T1500Z/
Butte/Blackfoot Region-
616 PM MDT Sat Jun 27 2026

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT MONDAY ABOVE
6500 FEET...

* WHAT...Heavy wet snow expected above 6500 feet. Total snow
  accumulations of 4 to 8 inches, with 8 to 16 inches across the
  Anaconda Pintler Mountains. Snow levels may briefly lower and could
  produce minor slushy accumulation at Homestake and Macdonald Pass.

* WHERE...Georgetown Lake, backcountry and higher elevation areas.

* WHEN...Until 9 AM MDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Plan for winter-like conditions in the backcountry and
  higher elevations. Cold temperatures, wind, and wet snow will
  elevate the risk of hypothermia. Heavy wet snow may down trees,
  blocking access to backcountry roadways.
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8 hours ago, Weather Will said:

For those that want to cool off....

Advisories



One product issued by NWS for: 5 Miles N Deer Lodge MT
 

Winter Storm Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Missoula MT
616 PM MDT Sat Jun 27 2026

MTZ007-280830-
/O.CON.KMSO.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-260629T1500Z/
Butte/Blackfoot Region-
616 PM MDT Sat Jun 27 2026

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT MONDAY ABOVE
6500 FEET...

* WHAT...Heavy wet snow expected above 6500 feet. Total snow
  accumulations of 4 to 8 inches, with 8 to 16 inches across the
  Anaconda Pintler Mountains. Snow levels may briefly lower and could
  produce minor slushy accumulation at Homestake and Macdonald Pass.

* WHERE...Georgetown Lake, backcountry and higher elevation areas.

* WHEN...Until 9 AM MDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Plan for winter-like conditions in the backcountry and
  higher elevations. Cold temperatures, wind, and wet snow will
  elevate the risk of hypothermia. Heavy wet snow may down trees,
  blocking access to backcountry roadways.

Hypothermia there, Heatstroke here lol

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