July 2026

[TJW014]

Captured with my drone before the squall line came through. 

 

[Poker2015]

.06" of light rain...missed it all again

[donsutherland1]

A cooler regime is in place and will remain in place through the remainder of July. Highs will generally reach the upper 70s and lower 80s through the week and into the start of the weekend.

A few more Showers and thunderstorms are likely tonight into tomorrow. With an estimated 4.73" of rain as per precip.ai, White Plains smashed its daily rainfall record of 2.20" from 1973.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.1°C for the week centered around July 15. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.20°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.82°C. The ongoing strong El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -17.36 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.673 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 74% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.6° (0.9° below normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.1° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

[winterwarlock]

8 hours ago, winterwarlock said:

I think this will bust for me in central jersey

And i was right

 

.04 for the event..a 3 minute shower and a 10 minute shower

[MJO812]

I didnt even get anything here. Bust.