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36 minutes ago, dmillz25 said:

Went from 103 on Thursday to 62 today lol

and it might go from 62 to close to 100 by Friday -BUT great uncertainty in the Upton Key Messages Forecast Discussion - got your tickets for the Temperature  Roller Coaster ride ?

AFD from KOKX

 

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65 / 64 NNE wind. Cloudy , misty , with some spotty showers,  15 more hours of the muck before we clear out Wed.  The Wed  - Fri period is warmer but still unsettled with storms Thu, Fri afternoon / evenings with another 1 - 2 inches of rain in localized areas where the storms form. Wednesday is the dry day and looking very nice low - mid 80s.  Warmer Thu/Fri depending when the clouds and thunderstorms arrive will be mid 80s - low 90s / humid, enough sun may produce a mid 90s.  By the weekend the western ridge is rapidly expanding and while we remain in the trough it appears an overall near - slightly below normal but drier period 7/11  - 7/14,  warming by the 14th and beyond as the western heat expands east .

 

 

GOES19-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

 

 

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A piece of good news is that the record 600 DM ridge next week is forecast to remain over Minnesota and Iowa. So we probably max out from 95° to perhaps around 100° instead of 104° to 106° like this recent record heatwave.

Probably ridge riding convection going over the top. So more opportunities for much needed rainfall. But could also come with more severe potential. 
 

IMG_6892.thumb.jpeg.f53de75e500c01132e5a0d809f85a734.jpeg

 

IMG_6891.thumb.png.dd334fdbd25d1bd52d86b11a3f2b9b6e.png

 

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Records:

Highs:

EWR: 103 (1993)
NYC: 100 (2010)
LGA: 101 (2010)
JFK: 100 (2010)

Lows:

EWR: 57 (1940)
NYC: 56 (1914)
LGA: 59 (1972)
JFK: 56 (1965)


Historical: 


1892: Record high barometer of 30.52 inches was observed in Washington, DC.  (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA)


1892: Boston, Massachusetts recorded its highest pressure 30.51 inches of mercury for the month of July. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events)

1905: The mercury soared to 127 degrees at Parker, Arizona to tie the state record established at Fort Mohave on the 15th of June in 1896. The current record for Arizona is 128 degrees set in Lake Havasu City on 6-29-1994.

1915 - A severe wind and thunderstorm caused heavy damage and 38 deaths in and near Cincinnati, OH. Many older buildings were demolished. The steamship Dick Fulton was overturned. (The Weather Channel)

1947: The world's most substantial cloudburst delivered 8.10 inches of rain in just 20 min. This event took place in Curtea-de-Arges, Romania.(Extreme Weather p. 121, by Christopher C. Burt)
 

1974: Shields, ND --a man was struck and killed by lightning while working in a hayfield.  (Ref. Lightning-The Underrated Killer.pdf)

1981 - Montana was in the midst of a snowstorm that dumped ten inches at Glacier National Park, and produced winds to 90 mph. Meanwhile, Denver, CO, set a record high with a reading of 101 degrees. (The Weather Channel)


1984: A 90 foot excursion boat carrying employees of the SCI Corporation on an outing capsized during a severe thunderstorm on the Tennessee River near Huntsville, AL, killing 11 people. The disaster was caused by a microburst. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1987 - Thunderstorms spawned eight tornadoes in Colorado, and three in West Texas. Thunderstorms also produced softball size hail at Bula, TX. In the midst of a record thirty-nine day string of 100 degree days, the temperature at Tucson, AZ, dipped to 66 degrees, marking their third straight record low for the date. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Thirty-eight cities in the north central and northeastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. Youngstown, OH, hit 100 degrees, and for the second day in a row, Flint, MI, reached 101 degrees, equalling all-time records for those two cities. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather during the day, with more than 100 reports of large hail and damaging winds from Ohio to Massachusetts and New Hampshire. Thunderstorm winds reached 90 mph in Sullivan County, NH, and golf ball size hail was reported in Pennsylvania. Twenty-four cities, mostly in the southwestern U.S., reported record high temperatures for the date. Afternoon highs of 105 degrees at Cedar City, UT, and 114 degrees at Moab, UT, were all-time records for those locations. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1991: During the early daylight hours of Sunday, July 7, 1991, a bow echo developed over southeast South Dakota and began racing east, producing very damaging winds. This bow echo was the start of a long-lived derecho that lasted 17 hours and affected areas from the Great Plains into western New York and Pennsylvania. Wind gusts in some places reached 80 to 100 mph. The strongest gust, 103 mph, was measured at Sioux Center, Iowa around mid-morning, and the roof of a school was blown off in nearby Orange City. 

1991: July 7-8, 1991..."The Southern Great Lakes Derecho of 1991" States that were affected --- ....SD, IA, MN, WI, MI, IN, OH, ON, NY, PA Tornadoes struck across southern Lower Michigan. More damage occurred near Okemos in Ingham County and a home and some outbuildings were damaged as a tornado moved northeast of Rockford in Kent County. A tornado also briefly touched down northwest of Plainwell in Allegan County but did no damage. Overall, $30 million dollars in damage resulted with wind gusts over 85 mph. Over 850,000 people were without electricity following the storms; some for up to a week.(Ref. For More Information)

1993: The day after lightning started several fires, strong non-thunderstorm winds blew across much of northern Oklahoma. Winds gusted to 70 mph and lasted for several hours. A 1,200 pound bale of hay was rolled a quarter mile by the winds that also blew down many trees. Highway 51, near Hennessey, was closed until the downed trees could be cleaned up.
When clusters of thunderstorms collapse and dissipate rapidly, they sometimes produce a downburst of very warm air, called a "heat burst ". A collapsing thunderstorm in the northeast part of the Texas Panhandle produced a heat burst that reached Arnett and Gage, OK just before midnight. Winds gusted to 67 mph at Arnett, as the temperature rose from 82° to 97° in 30 minutes. At Gage, the wind gusted to 70 mph, while the temperature rose from 85° to 102° in one hour. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2010: BWI recorded record high temperatures on 4 days: 6th (105 °F), 7th (101 °F), 24th (101 °F) and 25th (100 °F).
DCA soared to a record 102 °F on the 7th and 101 °F on the 24th. Ref. July PRESTO Page 1

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203 
NOUS41 KOKX 070111
PNSOKX
CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-071311-

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
911 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026

...PRECIPITATION REPORTS FROM THE LAST 48 HOURS...

Location                     Amount    Time/Date       Provider             

...Connecticut...

...Fairfield County...
Danbury                      6.40 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
NEWTOWN                      5.89 in   0820 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Danbury                      5.52 in   0817 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
1 WNW Redding                5.38 in   0820 PM 07/06   AWS                  
Shelton                      4.65 in   0820 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Ridgefield                   4.34 in   0823 PM 07/06   AWS                  
2 SW Newtown                 4.22 in   0515 PM 07/06   Amateur Radio        
SHELTON                      4.20 in   0811 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Redding Ridge                4.18 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Bridgeport Airport           4.16 in   0822 PM 07/06   ASOS                 
REDDING                      4.12 in   0819 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Weston                       3.33 in   0825 PM 07/06   AWS                  
Stamford                     3.32 in   0820 PM 07/06   AWS                  
Fairfield                    3.29 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Westport                     3.25 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
STAMFORD                     2.26 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Greenwich                    2.02 in   0819 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
3 N New Canaan               1.79 in   0825 PM 07/06   AWS                  

...Middlesex County...
Saybrook Manor               4.51 in   0825 PM 07/06   AWS                  
Westbrook                    4.40 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Clinton                      4.01 in   0820 PM 07/06   AWS                  
MOODUS                       3.44 in   0816 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
3.5 NW Durham                2.92 in   0800 PM 07/06   HADS                 
Durham                       2.78 in   0817 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Chester Center 2.7 WNW       2.41 in   0643 PM 07/06   COCORAHS             

...New Haven County...
Milford                      5.36 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Stony Creek                  5.23 in   0816 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
ORANGE                       4.79 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
HAMDEN                       4.67 in   0820 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Seymour                      4.61 in   0820 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
New Haven Airport            4.44 in   0827 PM 07/06   ASOS                 
Outer Island, Branford       4.33 in   0825 PM 07/06   AWS                  
PROSPECT                     4.22 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
New Haven                    4.11 in   0825 PM 07/06   AWS                  
4 NW Hamden                  4.06 in   0824 PM 07/06   AWS                  
Oxford                       3.98 in   0813 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Waterbury Airport            3.89 in   0756 PM 07/06   AWOS                 
WOODBRIDGE                   3.87 in   0820 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Bethany                      3.51 in   0811 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Wallingford                  3.35 in   0801 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Meriden Airport              3.33 in   0753 PM 07/06   ASOS                 
NORTH PORT                   3.24 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Branford                     3.19 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 

...New London County...
New London                   3.18 in   0816 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Pawcatuck                    2.80 in   0820 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
GROTON                       2.57 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Lyme                         2.56 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
SALEM                        2.49 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Groton Airport               2.22 in   0756 PM 07/06   ASOS                 
Niantic                      2.00 in   0408 PM 07/06   Public               
Lisbon                       1.32 in   0820 PM 07/06   CWOP                 

...New Jersey...

...Bergen County...
1 SSE Franklin Lakes         1.94 in   0745 PM 07/06   IFLOWS               
Fair Lawn                    1.66 in   0820 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
RIVER EDGE                   1.63 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Emerson                      1.59 in   0808 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
New Milford                  1.54 in   0820 PM 07/06   AWS                  
Oakland                      1.51 in   0820 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Tenafly                      1.48 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Bergenfield                  1.28 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Lyndhurst                    1.23 in   0812 PM 07/06   AWS                  
Bogota                       1.21 in   0823 PM 07/06   AWS                  
Lodi                         1.20 in   0745 PM 07/06   IFLOWS               
Hasbrouck Heights            1.16 in   0819 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Teterboro Airport            1.09 in   0751 PM 07/06   ASOS                 

...Essex County...
0.6 SW Caldwell              1.88 in   0745 PM 07/06   IFLOWS               
1.6 W Millburn               1.55 in   0815 PM 07/06   HADS                 
WEST CALDWELL                1.52 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Montclair                    1.37 in   0825 PM 07/06   AWS                  
West Caldwell                1.28 in   0820 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Caldwell                     1.18 in   0816 PM 07/06   ASOS                 
Millburn                     1.01 in   0825 PM 07/06   AWS                  

...Hudson County...
Secaucus                     1.17 in   0825 PM 07/06   AWS                  
Harrison                     1.16 in   0416 PM 07/06   CO-OP Observer       

...Passaic County...
WAYNE                        1.81 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Ringwood                     1.72 in   0810 PM 07/06   RAWS                 
West Milford                 1.72 in   0745 PM 07/06   IFLOWS               
North Haledon                1.62 in   0820 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
1.5 SW Ringwood              1.60 in   0745 PM 07/06   IFLOWS               
2 ESE Barry Lakes            1.51 in   0825 PM 07/06   AWS                  
Oak Ridge Reservoir          1.48 in   0745 PM 07/06   COOP                 
0.8 E West Paterson          1.48 in   0800 PM 07/06   HADS                 
Hawthorne                    1.45 in   0820 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
0.8 SE Pompton Lakes         1.45 in   0800 PM 07/06   HADS                 
2.1 E Ringwood               1.40 in   0745 PM 07/06   IFLOWS               
CLIFTON                      1.32 in   0818 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Charlottesburg Reservoir     1.32 in   0745 PM 07/06   COOP                 
Clifton                      1.10 in   0820 PM 07/06   AWS                  
Wayne                        1.08 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
0.9 S Wayne                  1.00 in   0745 PM 07/06   IFLOWS               

...Union County...
Linden Airport               1.59 in   0815 PM 07/06   AWOS                 
Union                        1.54 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Mountainside                 1.16 in   0730 PM 07/06   IFLOWS               
Newark Airport               1.12 in   0751 PM 07/06   ASOS                 

...New York...

...Bronx County...
Fordham                      1.46 in   0815 PM 07/06   NYSM                 
1 NE Harlem                  1.30 in   0825 PM 07/06   AWS                  

...Kings County...
BROOKLYN                     4.45 in   0811 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Brooklyn College             3.19 in   0815 PM 07/06   NYSM                 
Dyker Heights                2.39 in   0820 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Brooklyn                     2.16 in   0816 PM 07/06   CWOP                 

...Nassau County...
NORTH MASSAPEQUA             4.62 in   0818 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
North Massapequa             4.28 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Oyster Bay                   3.66 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Farmingdale                  3.59 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Bethpage                     3.49 in   0823 PM 07/06   AWS                  
LONG BEACH                   3.46 in   0818 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Levittown                    3.36 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Syosset                      3.35 in   0820 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Massapequa Park              3.08 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
SYOSSET                      2.99 in   0818 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Wantagh                      2.77 in   0815 PM 07/06   NYSM                 
Bellmore                     2.75 in   0818 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
MASSAPEQUA                   2.72 in   0816 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
East Rockaway                2.64 in   0818 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
MASSAPEQUA                   2.64 in   0818 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Valley Stream                2.49 in   0816 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Hicksville                   2.40 in   0820 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
1 ESE Long Beach             2.30 in   0820 PM 07/06   AWS                  
Muttontown                   2.23 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Merrick                      2.20 in   0735 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
PORT WASHINGTON              2.03 in   0810 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
OLD WESTBURY                 1.67 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
North Merrick                1.65 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 

...New York (Manhattan) County...
Battery Park                 1.52 in   0824 PM 07/06   AWS                  
Central Park                 1.29 in   0751 PM 07/06   ASOS                 

...Orange County...
Otisville                    8.40 in   0815 PM 07/06   NYSM                 
Montgomery                   6.22 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Newburgh                     5.40 in   0806 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Port Jervis                  5.40 in   0818 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
4 SSE Middletown             5.12 in   0550 PM 07/06   AWS                  
US Military Academy          5.05 in   0655 PM 07/06   RAWS                 
CORNWALL ON HUDSON           4.88 in   0816 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
NEW WINDSOR                  4.84 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Vails Gate                   4.25 in   0816 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
1 N Chester                  4.01 in   0301 PM 07/06   Cocorahs             
Chester                      3.92 in   0820 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Warwick                      3.92 in   0815 PM 07/06   NYSM                 
2.6 NW Tuxedo Park           3.68 in   0745 PM 07/06   HADS                 
Harriman                     3.03 in   0824 PM 07/06   AWS                  
Port Jervis                  3.01 in   0825 PM 07/06   AWS                  
Walden                       2.84 in   0818 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Tuxedo Park                  1.84 in   0825 PM 07/06   AWS                  
Washingtonville              1.37 in   0820 PM 07/06   CWOP                 

...Putnam County...
Mahopac                      4.03 in   0825 PM 07/06   AWS                  
Lake Carmel                  3.94 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Brewster                     3.31 in   0815 PM 07/06   NYSM                 

...Queens County...
OZONE PARK                   3.52 in   0816 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
NYC/JFK Airport              2.63 in   0751 PM 07/06   ASOS                 
Kew Garden Hills             2.09 in   0815 PM 07/06   NYSM                 
NYC/La Guardia               1.17 in   0829 PM 07/06   ASOS                 
Beechhurst                   1.03 in   0820 PM 07/06   CWOP                 

...Richmond County...
College of Staten Island     2.38 in   0815 PM 07/06   NYSM                 
Eltingville                  2.30 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 

...Rockland County...
Stony Point                  5.00 in   0824 PM 07/06   AWS                  
1 SSW Mount Ivy              2.62 in   0824 PM 07/06   AWS                  
New City                     2.49 in   0823 PM 07/06   AWS                  
Blauvelt                     2.38 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Spring Valley                2.32 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Nanuet                       1.83 in   0730 PM 07/06   IFLOWS               
Bardonia                     1.81 in   0823 PM 07/06   AWS                  
Suffern                      1.46 in   0815 PM 07/06   NYSM                 
Montebello                   1.36 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 

...Suffolk County...
1 WSW West Islip             4.41 in   0815 PM 07/06   Trained Spotter      
North Babylon                4.33 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
ORIENT                       3.83 in   0820 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
1 SW Babylon                 3.80 in   0758 PM 07/06   Amateur Radio        
Copiague                     3.76 in   0800 PM 07/06   Amateur Radio        
1 ESE Copiague               3.70 in   0749 PM 07/06   Public               
Orient                       3.70 in   0846 PM 07/06   CO-OP Observer       
Melville                     3.62 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
1 NNW Copiague               3.56 in   0646 PM 07/06   Trained Spotter      
East Hampton                 3.53 in   0820 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Farmingdale Airport          3.33 in   0753 PM 07/06   ASOS                 
Miller Place                 3.32 in   0820 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
COMMACK                      3.25 in   0819 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Saint James                  3.19 in   0814 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
SMITHTOWN                    3.11 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
2 WNW Riverhead              3.10 in   0823 PM 07/06   AWS                  
North Patchogue              2.95 in   0820 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Stony Brook                  2.94 in   0811 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Dix Hills                    2.92 in   0819 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
East Setauket                2.91 in   0816 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
ISLIP                        2.91 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Blue Point                   2.84 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
3.6 NE Calverton             2.84 in   0500 PM 07/06   COOP                 
Islip Airport                2.83 in   0756 PM 07/06   ASOS                 
1 WNW Oakdale                2.78 in   0636 PM 07/06   Trained Spotter      
West Gilgo Beach             2.78 in   0820 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
N. Babylon                   2.68 in   0820 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
1 ENE Cold Spring Harbor     2.55 in   0530 PM 07/06   Public               
ISLIP                        2.54 in   0817 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Sayville                     2.45 in   0813 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
FAIR HARBOR                  2.44 in   0818 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Ridge                        2.43 in   0816 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Amityville                   2.35 in   0304 PM 07/06   Trained Spotter      
Old Field                    2.27 in   0825 PM 07/06   AWS                  
Shirley                      2.27 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Smithtown                    2.22 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Eastport                     2.21 in   0745 PM 07/06   RAWS                 
Westhampton Airport          2.18 in   0753 PM 07/06   ASOS                 
1 NNW East Patchogue         2.00 in   0242 PM 07/06   Public               
Northport                    1.97 in   0820 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Southold                     1.97 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Manorville 2.8 NE            1.95 in   0430 PM 07/06   COCORAHS             
1 E East Hampton Airport     1.94 in   0755 PM 07/06   AWOS                 
Montauk Airport              1.83 in   0754 PM 07/06   ASOS                 
Remsenburg                   1.71 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Kings Park                   1.59 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 

...Westchester County...
1 S Peach Lake               6.04 in   0825 PM 07/06   AWS                  
Somers                       5.51 in   0815 PM 07/06   NYSM                 
Mount Kisco                  5.07 in   0819 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
3 ESE Goldens Bridge         3.29 in   0807 PM 07/06   AWS                  
Yorktown Heights             3.11 in   0820 PM 07/06   AWS                  
Ossining                     2.14 in   0818 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Pleasantville                2.06 in   0825 PM 07/06   AWS                  
Rye Brook                    1.98 in   0824 PM 07/06   AWS                  
PORT CHESTER                 1.97 in   0817 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
White Plains Airport         1.83 in   0756 PM 07/06   ASOS                 
Tarrytown                    1.81 in   0817 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Armonk                       1.72 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
CHAPPAQUA                    1.71 in   0816 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
Rye                          1.65 in   0825 PM 07/06   AWS                  
SCARSDALE                    1.58 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
New Rochelle                 1.55 in   0815 PM 07/06   CWOP                 
&&
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1 hour ago, bluewave said:

A piece of good news is that the record 600 DM ridge next week is forecast to remain over Minnesota and Iowa. So we probably max out from 95° to perhaps around 100° instead of 104° to 106° like this recent record heatwave.

Probably ridge riding convection going over the top. So more opportunities for much needed rainfall. But could also come with more severe potential. 
 

IMG_6892.thumb.jpeg.f53de75e500c01132e5a0d809f85a734.jpeg

 

IMG_6891.thumb.png.dd334fdbd25d1bd52d86b11a3f2b9b6e.png

 

That thing is massive 

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Received just .26" here yesterday.

Rainfall maps: Yesterday and since Friday - click to enlarge.

Everyone across this subform got a good soaking.  Localized places too much.

Everything has greened up nicely for early July.  Won't have to water anything this week.

As we move deeper into hurricane season I'm interested to see how it evolves.  Hostile as it gets looking ahead the next 2-3 weeks based on any parameter you want to look at.

Screenshot 2026-07-07 at 10.54.30 AM.jpg

Screenshot 2026-07-07 at 10.55.04 AM.jpg

Screenshot 2026-07-07 at 10.56.03 AM.jpg

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3 hours ago, bluewave said:

A piece of good news is that the record 600 DM ridge next week is forecast to remain over Minnesota and Iowa. So we probably max out from 95° to perhaps around 100° instead of 104° to 106° like this recent record heatwave.

Probably ridge riding convection going over the top. So more opportunities for much needed rainfall. But could also come with more severe potential. 
 

IMG_6892.thumb.jpeg.f53de75e500c01132e5a0d809f85a734.jpeg

 

IMG_6891.thumb.png.dd334fdbd25d1bd52d86b11a3f2b9b6e.png

 

Looks like a good setup for severe to ride over the ridge. 

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