June 2026

[SACRUS]

 

39 MPH gusts here

[winterwx21]

24 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

Good! We needed to dry out. It was becoming like Florida.

 

Not you, but to other posters… we are not in a drought! If you think this is a drought, you don’t even know what a drought is.

 

Being abnormally dry is worlds away from drought conditions.

anybody else remember John Paul, arriving at Newark and it raining and he showed the sprinkle sign from above? That was a drought. The early 2000s has another drought.

 

anybody on here trying to make the past year sound like a drought, it’s just being sensationalist and trying to make something bigger than it is. 

 

 

 

Maybe you should go look at the drought monitor map. Most of our area is now in a severe drought. Obviously you're not a farmer or gardener so you don't understand how rough these conditions are. 

[winterwarlock]

How many times are the tv and internet blog mets going to bust with their calls for showers and thunderstorms. Been a bad few weeks for them

[Brian5671]

7 minutes ago, winterwarlock said:

How many times are the tv and internet blog mets going to bust with their calls for showers and thunderstorms. Been a bad few weeks for them

yeah alot of hype last night

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

It’s actually pretty incredible how a storm this strong 985mb is able to pass this area precipitation free.


.

[bluewave]

19 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

It’s actually pretty incredible how a storm this strong 985mb is able to pass this area precipitation free.


.

Yeah, a near to record Great Lakes cutter for this time of year. 

 

[qg_omega]

14 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, a near to record Great Lakes cutter for this time of year. 

 

And no sensible weather

[Stormlover74]

Wouldn't this warrant an advisory?

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut, northeast New Jersey and southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Southwesterly winds gusts of 35 to 45 mph this afternoon into early evening. Isolated gusts to 50 mph possible. A few tree limbs could be blown down and poorly secured objects damaged.

[Dan76]

You would think.

[forkyfork]

how often has ewr gusted to 50 mph at or above 90f

[IrishRob17]

1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said:

Wouldn't this warrant an advisory?

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut, northeast New Jersey and southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Southwesterly winds gusts of 35 to 45 mph this afternoon into early evening. Isolated gusts to 50 mph possible. A few tree limbs could be blown down and poorly secured objects damaged.

My yard is a damn disaster again and this time is not from a thunderstorm passing through. 

[psv88]

Temp up to 88.5. High of the day, doesn’t feel it due to the strong wind

[donsutherland1]

Parts of the region will see a shower or thundershower tonight. Not all areas will see rain. The wind will gradually diminish overnight.

Tomorrow through the weekend will feature high temperatures mainly in the lower 80s.

Monday and Tuesday will be cooler days. Rain is likely on Monday. The potential exists for a general 0.50"-1.50" rainfall.

No excessive heat appears likely through at least June 25th.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.3°C for the week centered around June 3. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.95°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.98°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was +3.87 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.261 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 78% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 73.8 (1.8° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.4° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

[winterwarlock]

11th 90 of season

[WestBabylonWeather]

Windy 

 

but where is the rain 

[SACRUS]

Today's Highs:


ACY: 95
BLM: 92
EWR: 92
PHL: 92
TEB: 91
New Brnswck: 90
LGA: 90
JFK: 89
TTN: 89
ISP: 87

NYC: 86

[gravitylover]

I was up in the Adirondacks yesterday and got pummeled. Tornado watches, extremely heavy rain, and crazy wind for hours. That was fun... 

[bluewave]

Warm spots like Newark are currently in 2nd place for most 90° days by the summer solstice.

But the area will see fewer 90° days in late June with the pattern closer to seasonable. So Newark should fall further back closer to 4th or 5th place by June 30th.
 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Most 90° days by June 21st
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	1991-06-21	14	0
2	2026-06-21	13	3
3	2021-06-21	12	0
-	1987-06-21	12	0
4	1986-06-21	11	0
5	1988-06-21	10	0

 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Most 90° days by June 30th
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	1991-06-30	18	0
2	2021-06-30	16	0
-	2010-06-30	16	0
3	1987-06-30	15	0
4	1986-06-30	14	0
5	2026-06-30	13	12
-	1965-06-30	13	0
-	1943-06-30	13	0
6	2024-06-30	12	0
-	1994-06-30	12	0
-	1993-06-30	12	0
-	1880-06-30	12	0

 

[Stormlover74]

Models with 1 to 1.5" Monday. Fingers crossed 

[SACRUS]

73 / 51 clouds with the rain staying south.  Should clear out by the 1pm.  Nice stretch through Sunday near normal low - mid, perhaps upper 80s ion Sunday in the warm spots.  Next shot at rain / storm Mon >0.5 - 1.00 or more widespread.  Trough into the northeast 6/21 - 6/27.  Also some rain chances next Thu/Fri but more scattered and less widespread.  Them remain ridge pushes east to close the month and overall warmer to hot develops with ridging into the east and perhaps along the coast by the close and beyond into next month.

[NEG NAO]

45 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Models with 1 to 1.5" Monday. Fingers crossed 

the higher end amounts will be in areas that get the thunderstorms predicted - going to be a wide range of totals region wide as of now.........

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

the higher end amounts will be in areas that get the thunderstorms predicted - going to be a wide range of totals region wide as of now.........

Par for the course during convention season. We really need this one to work out. That northward trend is not our friend


.

[jm1220]

29 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Par for the course during convention season. We really need this one to work out. That northward trend is not our friend


.

Some of the models are starting to favor I-90. This is a SWFE type system but in June and we all know how those normally turn out. 

[MJO812]

Countdown to less sunlight begins

[FPizz]

On 6/18/2026 at 9:00 AM, Stormlover74 said:

We're still in a slight risk

The risk turned out to be a very windy sunny warm day.  This was nothing for days storm wise.