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24 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

Good! We needed to dry out. It was becoming like Florida.

 

Not you, but to other posters… we are not in a drought! If you think this is a drought, you don’t even know what a drought is.

 

Being abnormally dry is worlds away from drought conditions.

anybody else remember John Paul, arriving at Newark and it raining and he showed the sprinkle sign from above? That was a drought. The early 2000s has another drought.

 

anybody on here trying to make the past year sound like a drought, it’s just being sensationalist and trying to make something bigger than it is. 

 

 

 

Maybe you should go look at the drought monitor map. Most of our area is now in a severe drought. Obviously you're not a farmer or gardener so you don't understand how rough these conditions are. 

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19 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

It’s actually pretty incredible how a storm this strong 985mb is able to pass this area precipitation free.


.

Yeah, a near to record Great Lakes cutter for this time of year. 

 

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Wouldn't this warrant an advisory?

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut, northeast New Jersey and southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Southwesterly winds gusts of 35 to 45 mph this afternoon into early evening. Isolated gusts to 50 mph possible. A few tree limbs could be blown down and poorly secured objects damaged.

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1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said:

Wouldn't this warrant an advisory?

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut, northeast New Jersey and southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Southwesterly winds gusts of 35 to 45 mph this afternoon into early evening. Isolated gusts to 50 mph possible. A few tree limbs could be blown down and poorly secured objects damaged.

My yard is a damn disaster again and this time is not from a thunderstorm passing through. 

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Parts of the region will see a shower or thundershower tonight. Not all areas will see rain. The wind will gradually diminish overnight.

Tomorrow through the weekend will feature high temperatures mainly in the lower 80s.

Monday and Tuesday will be cooler days. Rain is likely on Monday. The potential exists for a general 0.50"-1.50" rainfall.

No excessive heat appears likely through at least June 25th.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.3°C for the week centered around June 3. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.95°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.98°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was +3.87 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.261 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 78% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 73.8 (1.8° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.4° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

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