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"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.


Ginx snewx
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16 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Seems to be congealing into a moderate to borderline heavy snow over E MA as the uber intense stuff is sinking a touch SE…but the subsidence zones are disappearing NW of 495

 

image.gif.9caa0a0258d9a5c25074c3ea12c4d720.gif

Yeah, not quite as intense when visby was under 1000' just west of Boston earlier, I'd still say it's pulsing between 1/2 S and 1/4 S+.

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Looking at some objective analysis today, and it does support what some of the more mesoscale guidance was showing Saturday/Sunday. The 850 mb frontogenesis while it does weaken in max intensity, does broaden and lift north towards southeast SNE.

25215039-9e3a-448f-8b90-16241665f14a.gif

The real kicker is 700 mb. Look at how stationary that forcing is from GON to ORH for the 12-18z period (remember north winds will cause snow to drift south of this forcing). So while 700 forcing was stationary, 850 mb forcing moved north to meet it. The end result is one very intensely forced band of snow with subsidence immediately to the west. But the storm is so intense that warm advection and deformation continues to expand northwest of the low and a secondary 700 mb frontogenesis max exists. That is the one that has struggled against dry air though for my forecast area.

fa773dbf-e983-40ea-8328-cea60201aaab.gif

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54 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

F winter continues. 

Oh This Winter is F- now.  

This Storm has done the Impossible.  


1. Giving me LESS than the SWFE I missed.

2. YET, is giving 24-36 INSIDE the smallest state in the Union which I’m in, where people are talking like it’s the Biggest and Baddest Storm since the Blizzard of 1978.  And I STILL Missed it.  I truly might not even get 20”.  

 

That, THAT is More Impressive than my 3 World Championships.  

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2 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:

Oh This Winter is F- now.  

This Storm has done the Impossible.  


1. Giving me LESS than the SWFE I missed.

2. YET, is giving 24-36 INSIDE the smallest state in the Union which I’m in, where people are talking like it’s the Biggest and Baddest Storm since the Blizzard of 1978.  And I STILL Missed it.  I truly might not even get 20”.  

 

That, THAT is More Impressive than my 3 World Championships.  

You are being willfully miserable.

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4 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

Looking at some objective analysis today, and it does support what some of the more mesoscale guidance was showing Saturday/Sunday. The 850 mb frontogenesis while it does weaken in max intensity, does broaden and lift north towards southeast SNE.

25215039-9e3a-448f-8b90-16241665f14a.gif

The real kicker is 700 mb. Look at how stationary that forcing is from GON to ORH for the 12-18z period (remember north winds will cause snow to drift south of this forcing). So while 700 forcing was stationary, 850 mb forcing moved north to meet it. The end result is one very intensely forced band of snow with subsidence immediately to the west. But the storm is so intense that warm advection and deformation continues to expand northwest of the low and a secondary 700 mb frontogenesis max exists. That is the one that has struggled against dry air though for my forecast area.

fa773dbf-e983-40ea-8328-cea60201aaab.gif

It took forever to saturate here, But been snowing now for about an hour or so, 1/2 mi vis, SN, 20/18°F

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2 hours ago, codfishsnowman said:

Yes....news swears its slightly over 50 at cef but I have kept records the 21 years I have lived here and I don't average 50 across those years with all the "big" winters in the 2010s. I am 3 mi from CT border. Most I measured was 71 inches 10-11, worst was kind of tied for a bunch in the very low 20s.

21 year average 43 inches, I keep thinking were due for a couple good storms or seasons to get us back towards 50.

Yeah - I've been in Easthampton since 2001 and definitely have not averaged 50" over that time. The last four winters before this one I went 23.5", 32", 22.5", 26.5".

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3 minutes ago, ChangeofSeasonsWX said:

A part of me wants PVD to break 1978's record but despite the totals nearby I don't think it's very likely to happen. Maybe they will be 2nd.

I have strong suspicion that they might as this point, they've been sitting under that band for at least a couple hours since the last observation plus it seems there is a bit of a westward expansion/extension right around PVD's latitude. Then you have all of the backside deformation/etc. to go as the storm continues lifting NE.

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14 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

Looking at some objective analysis today, and it does support what some of the more mesoscale guidance was showing Saturday/Sunday. The 850 mb frontogenesis while it does weaken in max intensity, does broaden and lift north towards southeast SNE.

25215039-9e3a-448f-8b90-16241665f14a.gif

The real kicker is 700 mb. Look at how stationary that forcing is from GON to ORH for the 12-18z period (remember north winds will cause snow to drift south of this forcing). So while 700 forcing was stationary, 850 mb forcing moved north to meet it. The end result is one very intensely forced band of snow with subsidence immediately to the west. But the storm is so intense that warm advection and deformation continues to expand northwest of the low and a secondary 700 mb frontogenesis max exists. That is the one that has struggled against dry air though for my forecast area.

fa773dbf-e983-40ea-8328-cea60201aaab.gif

Thanks for the analysis. I’m in the dry air and every time it looks like we’re gonna break into something decent. It cuts off or dries up. Frustrating.

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Snow started in Halifax about an hour ago. No real transition from flurries, to light snow to rippage - it went from nothing to near white out in 5 minutes. 
 

Most of the models had us only seeing 6-8 inches but I don’t think there’s any way we don’t bust high.

Congrats to all of you down there who are getting slammed! I will be thrilled if we see half of what most of you guys seems to be getting. 
 

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9 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:

Oh This Winter is F- now.  

This Storm has done the Impossible.  


1. Giving me LESS than the SWFE I missed.

2. YET, is giving 24-36 INSIDE the smallest state in the Union which I’m in, where people are talking like it’s the Biggest and Baddest Storm since the Blizzard of 1978.  And I STILL Missed it.  I truly might not even get 20”.  

 

That, THAT is More Impressive than my 3 World Championships.  

Were they world championships for whining? Imagine bitching about 20".

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4 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:

Oh This Winter is F- now.  

This Storm has done the Impossible.  


1. Giving me LESS than the SWFE I missed.

2. YET, is giving 24-36 INSIDE the smallest state in the Union which I’m in, where people are talking like it’s the Biggest and Baddest Storm since the Blizzard of 1978.  And I STILL Missed it.  I truly might not even get 20”.  

 

That, THAT is More Impressive than my 3 World Championships.  

Sorry for your loss, what a bust.

FFFFFFFFF

 

 

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So it was a nice storm. Thought I'd wake up to a bit more, but I think we'll end up about 12 to 13 here. That's about it but nothing to shake a stick at. I know there's a bunch of people out in Massachusetts and Rhode Island that have crushed it, and I know they have been due. Still seems like there's more winter on the table. Enjoy the snowfall 

 

PXL_20260223_155231651.jpg

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