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About andyhb
- Birthday March 18
Profile Information
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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
KOUN
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Gender
Male
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Location:
Norman, OK
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Interests
Severe Wx, Music, Sports
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2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
andyhb replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
7 tornadoes confirmed thus far in the ILN CWA. -
2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
andyhb replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Now high end EF3. Have some suspicion that there are a few points that may be consideration for EF4. The Taco Bell and the church that were both completely destroyed in particular. -
2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
andyhb replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I'm not sure on the number of confirmed dead. The last more official statement I saw was 3 dead with the likelihood to rise. Also I believe the Lakeview tornado has been upgraded to EF3 from the earlier EF2 PNS in Orchard Island. -
2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
andyhb replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
The fatalities in Winchester were redacted later. I think someone got "casualties" lost in translation or something of the sort. -
2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
andyhb replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
https://www.whio.com/news/local/injuries-storm-related-damage-reported-mercer-county/ZE7JIPWZNNAFVKOUSCV3VTT5N4/ Fatalities confirmed in Logan Co. OH from the Wapakoneta/Lakeview tornado. -
2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
andyhb replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
andyhb replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
andyhb replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Need a separate thread for this. -
2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
andyhb replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
andyhb replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Tornado in Lakeview OH earlier. -
2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
andyhb replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Winchester IN just had a tornado go right through the middle of town. This is turning into a tornado outbreak very quickly. -
2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
andyhb replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Big wedge tornado approaching Lakeview OH. -
2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
andyhb replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Thursday will depend highly on the degree of cyclonic curvature within the mid/upper level flow. Most guidance is not in agreement with the 12z NAM/NAM 3 km idea of having a substantial shortwave eject ENE and induce stronger surface cyclogenesis and LLJ response. The 18z NAM also backed off on that idea. Moisture looks like a non issue and I don't see much concern for a washout especially further south, but the wind fields will be strongly affected by how amplified that feature is. -
2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
andyhb replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
18z NAM is absolutely nasty in the Midwest (IA/IL) on Thursday. Other models generally are not as favorable although they appear to be shifting towards a solution where a coherent shortwave ejects ENE/NE after Wednesday, which would increase the threat. Very, very cold air aloft with temperatures approaching -20 at 500 mb and -45 to -50 and 300 mb means that you won't need a lot of moisture to get strong updrafts. -
Blocking pattern looks to setup beyond mid month given the ongoing significant SSW and prolonged disruption/decay of the stratospheric PV (perhaps the final warming). Would think moderation of some of the warmth should occur during that period along with a decrease in severe weather chances.