Synoptics here scream regional severe wx outbreak. One of the more synoptically evident events we’ve seen in recent years. Now it’s down to the mesoscale to decide on ceiling. Not every day you see a trough with a 110+ kt 500 mb max impinging on a warm sector with mid-upper 60s dewpoints regardless of season.
Wind fields seem to be gradually shifting towards more of the “these cells could be strongly tornadic” idea, but I’d also like to see what we wake up with tomorrow. I have little doubt the NAM 3 km is at least somewhat off in terms of eastward extent of the warm sector though.