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Winter Storm Threat Feb 22-24th

Rjay

By Rjay,
in New York City Metro

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Brian5671

Brian5671

Posted
Posted
37 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

The Post needs to up its game. Here's a revised headline: 'Nuclear bomb cyclone' could bring feet of snow to NYC this weekend.

Unfortunately, there's no escape from hype.

They are looking at yesterday's model runs...

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Rjay
Rjay

It's tiring reading the back and forth about starting a thread vs not starting a thread.  Who cares.  There's no such thing as a jinx and even though the models have been performing poorly at this ran

donsutherland1
donsutherland1

Model Debate:

Brian5671
Brian5671

Post more please Post less please

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Jt17

Jt17

Posted
Posted
As Yogi Berra said, it's getting late early (For this one)   Time to move on....

The NAM at 84 hours isn't something useful. First long range model run was 18z icon and it was much improved. Was able to gain more latitude, but started a hair too late. 2 inches into the city and still snowing at end of run. Was a complete whiff earlier.


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Wxbear25

Wxbear25

Posted
Posted

People really were spoiled rotten by yesterday’s early runs lol

We’re not some quantum leap from something bigger, y’all

And with how much energy/noise there is involved in this system, I sincerely doubt we’ve yet to see the final solution, good, bad, or inbetween 

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Brian5671

Brian5671

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, Jt17 said:


The NAM at 84 hours isn't something useful. First long range model run was 18z icon and it was much improved. Was able to gain more latitude, but started a hair too late. 2 inches into the city and still snowing at end of run. Was a complete whiff earlier.


.

maps please

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Wxbear25

Wxbear25

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

Icon is a terrible model now it shows a snowstorm for nyc

A snowstorm is a strong word for what it shows, methinks,  but yes it now does show snow now

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NJwx85

NJwx85

Posted
Posted

It's funny how I got killed a few hours earlier for saying that the early 12z suite was probably nonsense, and then the Euro came out, and it pretty much confirmed what I suspected. This could be a few inches, especially for Eastern areas, but I don't see how it's much more than that.

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Brian5671

Brian5671

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, NJwx85 said:

It's funny how I got killed a few hours earlier for saying that the early 12z suite was probably nonsense, and then the Euro came out, and it pretty much confirmed what I suspected. This could be a few inches, especially for Eastern areas, but I don't see how it's much more than that.

People hear what they want to hear....  The Euro is the 2nd best scoring model this winter outside its AI version so not having it on board is an issue

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weatherpruf

weatherpruf

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, NJwx85 said:

It's funny how I got killed a few hours earlier for saying that the early 12z suite was probably nonsense, and then the Euro came out, and it pretty much confirmed what I suspected. This could be a few inches, especially for Eastern areas, but I don't see how it's much more than that.

it's tough to get heavy precip these days. look at today; not enough precip to do much of anything.

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