Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.

[Chrisrotary12]

15 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Good spot right now on the 12z Euro a close miss.

Dare I say… could use some confluence to our northeast….

[ORH_wxman]

That’s a solid hit on the Cape on the OP euro. Total Phil on ACK

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Dare I say… could use some confluence to our northeast….

For fhis one yes.lol

[Chrisrotary12]

Canadian does seem more realistic from an upper atmospheric perspective? It keeps the bowling ball chugging whereas the Euro and GFS anchor it off Hatteras.  

[Go Kart Mozart]

I question the euro bowling ball off Myrtle Beach.  Let's get it to Chincoteague. 

[ineedsnow]

[ineedsnow]

[78Blizzard]

10 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

There are a dozen big hits there.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

11 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

All misses or EOR specials which given the upper air look, makes sense. Lets try to pull this further back NW then Jan 15…

[Baroclinic Zone]

EPS similar to GEFS. Solid QPF >0.50” over SE areas.

[tiger_deF]

1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said:

There are a dozen big hits there.

Four across four down is absurd, over 2.5 in of QPF in eastern mass. While the ratios might be lower than this weekend's system, that would be substantially more snow. 

[Damage In Tolland]

13 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

2015 vibes 

[78Blizzard]

2 minutes ago, tiger_deF said:

Four across four down is absurd, over 2.5 in of QPF in eastern mass. While the ratios might be lower than this weekend's system, that would be substantially more snow. 

Hopefully not an inland runner.

[dryslot]

Some better clustering with the members that are west of the mean.

[ORH_wxman]

24h QPF on ensembles....the total would actually be a bit more though since the timing isn't the same on all the members

 

[weatherwiz]

5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

24h QPF on ensembles....the total would actually be a bit more though since the timing isn't the same on all the members

 

That is a damn impressive signal this far out. I bet if this was inside 48 hours we would be seeing widespread 2"+ QPF...the inflow flux off the Atlantic in this would probably be even greater than this past weekend and the large-scale VVs would probably be much greater as we'd be developing closed mlvl circulations 

[MuddyWx]

GEPS - all ensembles looking solid

 

[tavwtby]

This has a chance to be a monster, true coastal instead of a hybrid SWFE coastal combo, need some ticks NW or it's game over for WOR folk.

[Kitz Craver]

It’s not close to game over for anyone yet. There are some really tucked wound up members. Some are too tucked

[EastonSN+]

29 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

24h QPF on ensembles....the total would actually be a bit more though since the timing isn't the same on all the members

 

Would like it to be where 0z was for us WOR crowd. 

[SouthCoastMA]

6 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Would like it to be where 0z was for us WOR crowd. 

Well, we all can't be winners every run. It's still 6+ days out and the ensembles have large spread. 

[cleetussnow]

uh no this is not a SWFE

More like a triple phaser?

[dryslot]

Don't want to be in the bullseye this far out anyways, I think this is going to come further north and west, I'd be more concerned on where it matures right now.

[mahk_webstah]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

Don't want to be in the bullseye this far out anyways, I think this is going to come further north and west, I'd be more concerned on where it matures right now.

Why do you think it will come further northern west if you don’t mind

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said:

Why do you think it will come further northern west if you don’t mind

Looking at where many members are on the ensembles and looking at the H5 maps, It has the look of getting tugged back west once it closes off, Where that happens i think is the most important part to me.

[Typhoon Tip]

WPC's caught on 

[HoarfrostHubb]

Anyone have a NBM map with pressure/Pryor for next weekend?

[Ginx snewx]

27 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Anyone have a NBM map with pressure/Pryor for next weekend?

 

[Hoth]

You just know the long range NAM is gonna deliver a few BECS runs in this setup. Remember when it spat out like 75” in the run up to Feb ‘13?

[Baroclinic Zone]

18z ICON shifted entire ULL north NNE about 200mi. Looks like following 120hr it would ride up coast before kicking out to sea.