Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    18,487
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    RHiggins
    Newest Member
    RHiggins
    Joined

Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread


WxWatcher007
 Share

Recommended Posts

Short of a two foot pack, we are approaching peak winter aesthetics with this event. Every branch and twig is caked in snowy vestments, every footfall squeaks pleasingly, and big fluffy dendrites drifting down. This snow has excellent purchase as well. I just floated through a six mile run in the woods, replete with deer and cardinals and one barred owl. The temperature is ideal for being outside as well. Give me this vibe for a month and I won't care at all if we fall short of our average snowfall.

  • Like 8
  • 100% 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Hoth said:

Short of a two foot pack, we are approaching peak winter aesthetics with this event. Every branch and twig is caked in snowy vestments, every footfall squeaks pleasingly, and big fluffy dendrites drifting down. This snow has excellent purchase as well. I just floated through a six mile run in the woods, replete with deer and cardinals and one barred owl. The temperature is ideal for being outside as well. Give me this vibe for a month and I won't care at all if we fall short of our average snowfall.

Beautiful prose and so true. Its not always quantity 

  • Like 1
  • 100% 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Short of a two foot pack, we are approaching peak winter aesthetics with this event. Every branch and twig is caked in snowy vestments, every footfall squeaks pleasingly, and big fluffy dendrites drifting down. This snow has excellent purchase as well. I just floated through a six mile run in the woods, replete with deer and cardinals and one barred owl. The temperature is ideal for being outside as well. Give me this vibe for a month and I won't care at all if we fall short of our average snowfall.

 

IMG_1320.jpeg

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

this morning's band down there was supposed to be roughly SE NY to SE NH  ... it's been in the models, even as near as yesterday.  It seems to be situated a considerable error from where it was modeled to be, certainly for just 24 hours - 

little leery of this being an omen for all this business ending up SE. 

 at this point i have issue fatigue with this event.  almost suffice it is to say that i just give a shit what it does anymore.  hahaha.  no but i think even a 3 or 4" thing is still a relative win - obviously being that it is not a complete whiff, and it would pull those ai solutions back to reality.  kind of a compromise 

we'll see

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

this morning's band down there was supposed to be roughly SE NY to SE NH  ... it's been in the models, even as near as yesterday.  It seems to be situated a considerable error from where it was modeled to be, certainly for just 24 hours - 

little leery of this being an omen for all this business ending up SE. 

 at this point i have issue fatigue with this event.  almost suffice it is to say that i just give a shit what it does anymore.  hahaha.  no but i think even a 3 or 4" thing is still a relative win - obviously being that it is not a complete whiff, and it would pull those ai solutions back to reality.  kind of a compromise 

we'll see

It seems to me there were two bands modeled , this one albeit stronger than modeled, then the one to our NW, which still verified, so I feel like it’s going as planned. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

28 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Short of a two foot pack, we are approaching peak winter aesthetics with this event. Every branch and twig is caked in snowy vestments, every footfall squeaks pleasingly, and big fluffy dendrites drifting down. This snow has excellent purchase as well. I just floated through a six mile run in the woods, replete with deer and cardinals and one barred owl. The temperature is ideal for being outside as well. Give me this vibe for a month and I won't care at all if we fall short of our average snowfall.

This is from yesterday.  Great looking snow

IMG_8833.jpeg

  • Like 1
  • 100% 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

This is what I was talking about earlier on a lot of these runs this evening. That heavier stuff is slamming the DGZ pretty hard…this is the latest hrrr but NAM has been showing it pretty consistently for several hours….so there could be some pretty efficient QPF to accumulation ratios if that pans out (and as a rule, you can lower that DGZ a little for us in SNE since we tend to have a lot of salt nuclei in the clouds here versus much of the country further away from the ocean)

image.thumb.png.2f0d990451b786e265f4290cac0463d1.png

  • Like 3
  • 100% 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

30 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

this morning's band down there was supposed to be roughly SE NY to SE NH  ... it's been in the models, even as near as yesterday.  It seems to be situated a considerable error from where it was modeled to be, certainly for just 24 hours - 

little leery of this being an omen for all this business ending up SE. 

 at this point i have issue fatigue with this event.  almost suffice it is to say that i just give a shit what it does anymore.  hahaha.  no but i think even a 3 or 4" thing is still a relative win - obviously being that it is not a complete whiff, and it would pull those ai solutions back to reality.  kind of a compromise 

we'll see

I was just about to post that it looks to me like the radar down in the mid Atlantic is heading more northeast. I’m sure it will still give a good snowstorm to southeast New England but I don’t think I’m getting one to 3 inches up here unless there’s some sort of inverted trough.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...