January Discobs 2026

[North Balti Zen]

10 degrees here in fallston - same as this time yesterday. 

[aldie 22]

5.7 in Stephenson Virginia 

[HighStakes]

6.

[stormy]

4 this morning with 1 mph breeze. Was 7 with 12mph winds yesterday morning.

[aldie 22]

11 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

5.7 in Stephenson Virginia 

4.6 down a degree in 10 minutes...yesterday got down to 2 at this time...this is when the temps started to rise. I just took the dog for a walk...its cold but without wind its actually not awful 

[HighStakes]

2 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

4.6 down a degree in 10 minutes...yesterday got down to 2 at this time...this is when the temps started to rise. I just took the dog for a walk...its cold but without wind its actually not awful 

Same here. Just dipped to 4.

[Paleocene]

Local streets still not plowed here in moco 

[mappy]

51 minutes ago, HighStakes said:

Same here. Just dipped to 4.

3 here. Brrrr

[snowfan]

Morning ob after driving to work.....local DOTs have really forgotten how to appropriately clear roads. In many spots, you almost wonder WTF they were actually doing.

[kgottwald]

LWX AFD has not a word about the busted low temp forecast. The AFDs in general have gotten a lot more boring and cookie-cutter since I first started following them in 1993.

[Mrs.J]

Ok so what is up with this. Mr.J is headed into the office this morning. Looks like I need to alert him. 

[Terrapinwx]

Hi-Res Nam gets a few hours of light snow for some this evening


.

[snowfan]

https://x.com/i/status/2016518663214403809

[Ji]

HRRR has 1/2 to 3/4 inch today

[jayyy]

HRRR has 1/2 to 3/4 inch today

So does the NAM. That’s why NWS put the statement out. I expect at least some snow tv for many between dc and Baltimore today. 1/2 max somewhere seems most likely if it materializes

[Ji]

4 minutes ago, jayyy said:

So does the NAM. That’s why NWS put the statement out. I expect at least some snow tv for many between dc and Baltimore today. 1/2 max somewhere seems most likely if it materializes

we need to clean up this brown/black. I bet we get more snow today than this weekend lol

[T. August]

9.1° for the low.

[T. August]

Kind of sucks that the airports probably won’t capitalize on the snow cover and much below normals temps to hit subzero.

[pazzo83]

low of 14F here, 16F at DCA.  Huge bust in temps

[NorthArlington101]

30 minutes ago, pazzo83 said:

low of 14F here, 16F at DCA.  Huge bust in temps

fine with me - the commute this morning already sucked enough.

Hoping we can squeeze out some accumulations these evening to make the commute even worse.

[MN Transplant]

The fundamental problem with the lows is that the airmass is potentially historic in length, but not severity.  So, we are getting very cold in the favored spots, but overall it isn't just enough of a cold airmass to challenge some of the more fun numbers for many of us.

[pazzo83]

14 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

The fundamental problem with the lows is that the airmass is potentially historic in length, but not severity.  So, we are getting very cold in the favored spots, but overall it isn't just enough of a cold airmass to challenge some of the more fun numbers for many of us.

is there a good explanation for the big misses from the various model outputs?  Was there a model that was better on our actual realized temps?

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[Kay]

26 minutes ago, pazzo83 said:

is there a good explanation for the big misses from the various model outputs?  Was there a model that was better on our actual realized temps?

Been wondering about this too, specifically whether models may have "misjudged" the snow/ice cover contribution (? I have no guess, question for mets)

[Steve25]

Still running just about 5 degrees above modeled temps around Baltimore. Had me topping out around 21 degrees around 2 PM. It’s already 25

[dailylurker]

Just now, Kay said:

Been wondering about this too, specifically whether models may have "misjudged" the snow/ice cover contribution (? I have no guess, question for mets)

It seems like it was a problem during the cold spell last January. My forecasted highs were in the high 20's. I had drip drip and 34 every afternoon. Yesterday my forecast high was 26. When I hit 30 I figured drip drip time was coming. 

I'm seeing clouds coming in from our afternoon possible afternoon flizzard. 

[Steve25]

7 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

It seems like it was a problem during the cold spell last January. My forecasted highs were in the high 20's. I had drip drip and 34 every afternoon. Yesterday my forecast high was 26. When I hit 30 I figured drip drip time was coming. 

I'm seeing clouds coming in from our afternoon possible afternoon flizzard. 

I was seeing plenty of drip drip even when it was 18 degrees and sunny the other morning. Never ceases to amaze me how strong the suns impact is. 

[WEATHER53]

1 hour ago, pazzo83 said:

low of 14F here, 16F at DCA.  Huge bust in temps

Low if 12 here and I’m noticing humidity is not bone dry overnight and wondering if the snow pack interaction is keeping dew points higher and squashing the radiational?