Terrapinwx

Not seeing much rotation on either tor warned cell. Feel like a tor possible tag on a severe warning would have been more appropriate .

My PWS in Chesapeake Beach hit a HI of 136!! It’s probably a bit overdone, my station seems to run a few degrees higher than those around me after baking in the sun all day. But checking the surrounding PWS and they all got up to 99/84 around the same time. .

Heat Index 111 before noon in Leesburg, gross .

Soaking up the last bit of winter .

Up to almost an inch here in Calvert, roads starting to get covered. If rates stay close to this through the evening we have a good shot of reaching 6” .

Chesapeake Beach Flakes mixed in around 12 but nothing was sticking until the last hour .

Temperature down to 32.5 with snow sticking to most surfaces. Temperatures spike during lulls but as long as we get consistent bands snow will be able to stick during the day .

Stalls too far south to get a GFS result, but gets solid coastal action into the cities .

On my PWS we still haven’t made it to single digits this week, but kinda expected that being right by the open Bay. Still very impressed with a 6 day average barely being above 20. .

Hi-Res Nam gets a few hours of light snow for some this evening .

The individual members on the ensemble support this. Still no consensus but seems that any storm that amplifies put us in the game. Even a few that take the low up the Bay .

ICON-EPS mean took a big jump west .

Solid layer of ice on everything, going to be a beautiful scenery when the sun comes up in the morning .

In a lull now before the back side moves in. Switched over to all freezing rain and temp has started to drop with winds switching to the NW. Between the sleet and now the FR the snowpack is solid as a rock, glad I cleared the driveway before the flip. Would estimate about a .1 of ice build up on trees already .

Temperature really climbing now. Was 21 at 2:40 but up to 27 now. Still mostly sleet but freezing rain is mixing in. Can’t see it falling but everything is beginning to get a glaze. Models had the temp crashing as the backside moves through, hoping that turns back to sleet instead of becoming all freezing rain .