Bob Chill Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 minute ago, osfan24 said: But did the AI models? They might have adjusted slightly but I remember them, especially Euro AI, hardly budging. This setup is much different. Far more boom bust potential and complex progression than the recent storm. Im not saying I think a boom is likely but the chance of significance shifts in any op/ens suite is FAR greater than the last storm. This is not a 2k mile moisture plume from a typical shortwave 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 2 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: I want to be back in if you guys open up the door for me… but remember when NC weenies put all there hopes and dreams in the GFS when it was the last model for hope for them? That’s where I’m struggling here. But the west trend over the last several runs is interesting Yeah, but I think the GFS jumped back in forth last week instead of continuing to trend one way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 We want to be in/close to the bullseye on Thursday and Friday. Right now seeing a big storm close by inside 100 hours is pretty awesome and is a big part of the reason we do what we do. Keep hope alive! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 7 minutes ago, Leaking Gut said: Wish we could see a median instead of a mean 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Nothing like getting busy only to come back to 145 unread posts.. not to mention some of them have me ROLLING over here with the commentary. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 6 minutes ago, soadforecasterx said: Trend on GFSai 100 miles west and we score. We're so close. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, peribonca said: Wish we could see a median instead of a mean Extrapolate: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keith1174 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 48 minutes ago, Amped said: Takes almost 24 hours to get from Raleigh to DC lol, what a sharp gradient, 8" in harford county, 20" middle eastern shore, and 40" lower eastern short Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 5 minutes ago, DaleCityDave said: The trend is our friend! The gfs, aigfs and icon trends are. The cmc, uknet ,and euro trends are not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, Amped said: The gfs, aigfs and icon trends are. The cmc, uknet ,and euro trends are not. Not exactly the models I want in my foxhole 1 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Guys, I’m in Pi Planning today…stop distracting me by posting potential stemwinder nor’easters that have no mixing issues inland. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Climate175 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 8 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said: I believe the word is “cluster”. Pretty strong signal for a deepening lie around the benchmark. You are 100% correct! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 For those interested. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 6 minutes ago, peribonca said: Wish we could see a median instead of a mean The clustering of sfc low positions gives better info than median, while median is better for looking at scalar variables like temps/QPF/snowfall amounts. You can see lots of western clustering to the left of the mean low 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 2 minutes ago, StormyClearweather said: For those interested. Lots of big hits in there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 26 minutes ago, IronTy said: On Saturday we just need the whole board to go outside and point their vacuum cleaners east and turn them on full blast. We can pull it in. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
batmanbrad Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 minute ago, The Dude said: this kinda reminds me of the movie Spaceballs... suck, suck, suck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 minute ago, batmanbrad said: this kinda reminds me of the movie Spaceballs... suck, suck, suck! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 I am just glad one of the globals is still a hit. Makes each model run more interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Anyone got a light? 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Gefs trend. 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, Bob Chill said: Gefs trend. How many more ticks do we realistically need? 1? 2? 3? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 This one is fun. I see a few of my friends in here. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, Bob Chill said: Gefs trend. Crazy how GEFS and EPS are trending in opposite directions. We don't usually see that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 3 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Anyone got a light? Winning. Though would have changed smoking causes weenie anguish haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Here we go. May the odds be in our favor. Euro has begun 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, Terpeast said: Crazy how GEFS and EPS are trending in opposite directions. We don't usually see that. This is a touchy setup to put it lightly. Will be a bit of a gut punch if the euro brothers whiff/deteriorate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, stormtracker said: Here we go. May the odds be in our favor. Euro has begun Bring it home ST Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, stormtracker said: Here we go. May the odds be in our favor. Euro has begun Out to hour 6, we are cooked. Well that was fast 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alfoman Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Gefs trend. GFS first taketh and wrongeth, then GFS giveth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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