December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread

[eduggs]

39 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Probably beginnings of the sneaky heavier Nor 

 

Saturation is below the snow growth zone. The moisture is very shallow. That's probably snow grains and/or ZR. Not impossible a few spots get lucky if lift/saturation is more robust than modeled... seems doubtful for now.

[SouthCoastMA]

GFS has something on 12th, near benchmark. Weak, but workable 7 days out

[Baroclinic Zone]

2 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

GFS has something on 12th, near benchmark. Weak, but workable 7 days out

Workable for sure at this time period. Flow as currently modeled is relatively flat with not much ridging in PNA. Euro seems a bit more amplified with this. Something to watch. Until than not much going on. Catch some FROPA and and maybe a Clippah.

[Hoth]

42 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said:

Let's get it to look like Hoth

I like the cut of your jib. My last and only experience with a norlun was Jan 2011. Let’s go for a repeat of that month!

[H2Otown_WX]

19 minutes ago, Hoth said:

I like the cut of your jib. My last and only experience with a norlun was Jan 2011. Let’s go for a repeat of that month!

That was the month of a lifetime for CT. I'm glad I was 19 and studying meteorology. Great timing to enjoy it especially after the frustration of freshman year's winter. 

[CoastalWx]

Little pond at the end of my street is frozen enough to walk on the edge. Can’t recall that recently. 

[dendrite]

Already 8.3°. Brutal. 

[ORH_wxman]

11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Little pond at the end of my street is frozen enough to walk on the edge. Can’t recall that recently. 

Pond skating of yore this month. Serious lack of any torches on guidance (aside from a quick mini warm sector from Ottawa clippers…but warm sectors with sub-540 thicknesses just don’t bite very hard)

[HoarfrostHubb]

15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Little pond at the end of my street is frozen enough to walk on the edge. Can’t recall that recently. 

Stay very very safe

[Damage In Tolland]

12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Pond skating of yore this month. Serious lack of any torches on guidance (aside from a quick mini warm sector from Ottawa clippers…but warm sectors with sub-540 thicknesses just don’t bite very hard)

And of course there’s no pack to protect the one Dec there’s no furnace 

[ORH_wxman]

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

And of course there’s no pack to protect the one Dec there’s no furnace 

Hope for 12/13 to work out. Too bad the Sunday night clipper couldn’t dig a bit more like the GFS was trying to show yesterday. 

[Damage In Tolland]

15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Hope for 12/13 to work out. Too bad the Sunday night clipper couldn’t dig a bit more like the GFS was trying to show yesterday. 

 Hoping for 1-2” tomorrow .Protecting that before it falls 

[Modfan2]

35 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

 Hoping for 1-2” tomorrow .Protecting that before it falls 

Start a thread!

[metagraphica]

Have had random flakes coming down for the past hour.  Bodes well for tomorrow I think.

[Snowcrazed71]

3 minutes ago, metagraphica said:

Have had random flakes coming down for the past hour.  Bodes well for tomorrow I think.

Same here. There's been some random and rogue flakes flying around now for the past hour and a half

[Damage In Tolland]

Flurries here as well 

[Kitz Craver]

I got nothin boys

[powderfreak]

9F

[Go Kart Mozart]

30 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

I got nothin boys

We had some flakage down here.  Fear not, I took the proper precautions and stayed safe....

[SouthCoastMA]

Touched 17° an hour ago, now we creepin up to 21°

[DavisStraight]

47 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Touched 17° an hour ago, now we creepin up to 21°

I was down to 15, just bumped up to 16, gonna be a little melting tomorrow.

[powderfreak]

HIE and Alex the early leaders tonight out of the gate at -4F .

[ORH_wxman]

Temps been rising since the overcast moved in. 

[powderfreak]

Normal for today is 36/18 here.

Today was 19/-10 (hi/lo).  After 26/6 and 26/10 days.  The warmest in these first 5 days of December was 37/10 (-4 departure).

The first 5 days have been -10.5  Short sample size but high-end cold for this time of year.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Straight up whiffing on these op runs. Weak.

[WinterWolf]

15 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Straight up whiffing on these op runs. Weak.

It’s a possibility…has happened before. It can happen again. Sometimes the stuff goes north and south of us…we might be in that set up.  Sucks..but it happens. 

[WxWatcher007]

5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

It’s a possibility…has happened before. It can happen again. Sometimes the stuff goes north and south of us…we might be in that set up.  Sucks..but it happens. 

I think it’d be catastrophic to get through this particular pattern without at least climo December snow, but it’s clear we’re going to be riding the line so to speak with this fast flow torpedo shortwave pattern.

No time to worry yet. Keep the eastern warmth at bay and keep allowing our source region in SE Canada to freeze. 

[WinterWolf]

10 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I think it’d be catastrophic to get through this particular pattern without at least climo December snow, but it’s clear we’re going to be riding the line so to speak with this fast flow torpedo shortwave pattern.

No time to worry yet. Keep the eastern warmth at bay and keep allowing our source region in SE Canada to freeze. 

Oh god ya….no worrying yet, but I lived through the 80’s…it can happen. Everything around us, but nothing hits us. That’s the way it’s looking at the moment. Everybody north and south, east and west getting in on all the action…while we get jumped over. Been there done that 40 years ago.  We will see. 

[Snowedin]

1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

Oh god ya….no worrying yet, but I lived through the 80’s…it can happen. Everything around us, but nothing hits us. That’s the way it’s looking at the moment. Everybody north and south, east and west getting in on all the action…while we get jumped over. Been there done that 40 years ago.  We will see. 

My parents often told me how the mid to late 80s winters were more often brutally cold but without much snow to boot. It always killed inside as a kid too when we’d have periods of cold and dry weather and I just remember looking out the window in school desperately trying to find that one little snowflake descending to earth. It’s amazing how much of a boost that used to be as a little dude just trying to get through the day!

[Torch Tiger]

it's nice to see a garbage 1-2" otg hang around in early December.  I can't lie.  In this particular area near Lowell (lol) in a valley, is practically impossible without optimal conditions