November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...

[tamarack]

52 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Gotta love the 'ole 3-11" and 1-6" forecast ranges.....must really boost scores.

Models are squabbling and marginal temps.  Unless the Euro and GFS get some resemblance, we might still be seeing absurd ranges this time tomorrow.

[Hoth]

The Pats kicking ass is a good augury for winter. We had a lot of great winters during their dynastic period and winters have sucked since Tom left. Some day the Pats’ win record may go hand in hand with beehive height and squirrel obesity as great winter predictors. 

[jbenedet]

I have roses, daisies, pansies and Lilly’s still budding. Lawn is still lush green. Being at a local max altitude in downtown — my thinking is —this makes for a very specific phenomenon, as the rad cold sinks down the hill to the Cocheco River adjacent and to the heart of down town below.
 

If we can avoid good radiational conditions over the week, could be around through thanksgiving.

[moneypitmike]

1 hour ago, dryslot said:

And so it begins for places that it should.

 

0-1 for my hood.  

[dryslot]

Just now, moneypitmike said:

 

0-1 for my hood.  

Expect the same, Some snow showers going on now here.

[dendrite]

37 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

In love with him and the uniforms. Keep him healthy and you have a perennial MVP candidate. The shoulder logo is sick

I feel like the unis would look amazing in a legit snow game. There’s something arctic looking about them with the white and slate blue/grey. 

[CoastalWx]

22 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I feel like the unis would look amazing in a legit snow game. There’s something arctic looking about them with the white and slate blue/grey. 

Wonder if we’ll ever see that. Game uniforms should be a darker Bahama Blues since that is what we get now.

[dendrite]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Wonder if we’ll ever see that. Game uniforms should be a darker Bahama Blues since that is what we get now.

Should we mention CO2 again?

[mahk_webstah]

30 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I feel like the unis would look amazing in a legit snow game. There’s something arctic looking about them with the white and slate blue/grey. 

I think the green really does look great in the snow. 

run

[WxWatcher007]

Words & phrases I don’t want to hear this winter:

-Compression 

-Too much confluence 

-Not enough confluence 

-Dual low

-Perfect track rainer

-Rains to Maines

-Hudson runner

-D10

-Congrats New Orleans

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

57 minutes ago, Hoth said:

The Pats kicking ass is a good augury for winter. We had a lot of great winters during their dynastic period and winters have sucked since Tom left. Some day the Pats’ win record may go hand in hand with beehive height and squirrel obesity as great winter predictors. 

My winters began sucking before Tom left.

[kdxken]

 

[Damage In Tolland]

6 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Words & phrases I don’t want to hear this winter:

-Compression 

-Too much confluence 

-Not enough confluence 

-Dual low

-Perfect track rainer

-Rains to Maines

-Hudson runner

-D10

-Congrats New Orleans

 

Rains to Maines is a lock multiple times 

[dendrite]

8 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

I think the green really does look great in the snow. 

run

We’re definitely used to here with snow covering lush lawns.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, kdxken said:

 

Yea,  if it's snowing at 4'K in n VT, it will surely be great in DC.

Idiot.

[Snowcrazed71]

30 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Rains to Maines is a lock multiple times 

Lol... I was just going to respond to his email saying that this is one of your favorite phrases to say. Lol

[WinterWolf]

36 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Words & phrases I don’t want to hear this winter:

-Compression 

-Too much confluence 

-Not enough confluence 

-Dual low

-Perfect track rainer

-Rains to Maines

-Hudson runner

-D10

-Congrats New Orleans

 

You forgot one….”If it wasn’t for the frieken Scooter Shit streak.”  
 

Now it’s complete. 

 

[CoastalWx]

34 minutes ago, kdxken said:

 

More garbage 

[metagraphica]

2 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

"EPS looks good" "EPS looks good" blah blah blah, tired of hearing it. It's the same routine every year.

1. EPS shows a big pattern change around Thanksgiving 

2. Looks like EPS is delaying the pattern change to around Dec 10. 

3. EPS is delaying the pattern change to around Christmas, but don't worry, it's delayed not denied. 

4. Well we're into the New Year, but winter us just about to begin. EPS shows the pattern changing in a big way by the 10th. 

5. Well looks like the pattern change doesn't occur until the end of Jan but we should be in store for a big Feb...look at that trough on the EPS!!!!

6. winter's over. just couldn't cash in. March comes, finally get a good pattern - now a bit too warm outside of northern New England and elevation. 

Rinse, wash, repeat. 

First melt of the season. I love it!  Don't worry May 1st is right around the corner. 

[dendrite]

15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

More garbage 

Most snow I ever had on 10/30 is 2011. 

RED FLAG

[CoastalWx]

Just now, dendrite said:

Most snow I ever had on 10/30 is 2011. 

RED FLAG

The guy talks about back breaking summer in late July from a CFS prog, then says winter “ain’t over till it’s over” because the gfs at hr 384 has a blue dot over Mount Pocono PA in late April. Get the eff out of here.

[CoastalWx]

Anyways the Skynet ensembles have a much better H5 look towards the end vs EPS. Hopefully it’s right. 

[eduggs]

3 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

What a colossal joke between the Euro and GFS with the overall evolution and structure of the pattern next week and it goes beyond this. It's legit been increasingly difficult to find any strong model consensus or consistency. How the hell is anyone really supposed to glean a signal when assessing medium-to-long range (particularly longer range and by longer range I mean 8-10+ days out, not seasonal) outside of just basing off "analogs". 

Literally, who cares what EPS's show past D10 or what the EPO, NAO, PNA, AO, whatever are "forecast" to do. These facets have been irrelevant the last several years and when we've seen these features evolve as is...what was expected in terms out production was still wrong. 

Until we can figure out what the hell is going on with this model inconsistency and discrepancy it's all really just a big joke.  

This is an example of "progress blindness" with underlying aspects of negativity bias, availability heuristic, and confirmation bias. Long-range ensembles have never been as reliable as they are now. At the same time, they are not now and never previously have been particularly useful for sub-continental-scale pattern forecasting beyond day 10.

[dryslot]

1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Words & phrases I don’t want to hear this winter:

-Compression 

-Too much confluence 

-Not enough confluence 

-Dual low

-Perfect track rainer

-Rains to Maines

-Hudson runner

-D10

-Congrats New Orleans

 

That's what i don't want to hear