Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)

[HoarfrostHubb]

43 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Not seeing it 

I'm leaning towards minor changes around the 20th-ish

[dryslot]

33.1°F yesterday, 33.6°F this morning for lows with back to back frost.

[Typhoon Tip]

32 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

I'm leaning towards minor changes around the 20th-ish

If by minor changes we mean upslope snow occurrences over a couple ... three different flat windy CAA intervals, with an in between season's first synoptic snow possibility - verification notwithstanding - before Halloween?  sure

[kdxken]

50 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

I'm leaning towards minor changes around the 20th-ish

 

[jsw]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Not seeing it 

From NWS just now, exerpt, Brattleboro:

Tuesday Night

Showers likely, mainly after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Wednesday

Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 68. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Wednesday Night

A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 40. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

 

Discussion:

While the dry and unseasonably warm trend continues into
Monday, our attention then turns to a shortwave trough and
associated sfc cold front progressing form southern Canada into
the Northeast. Guidance has trended earlier with the start time
of the rain ahead of the sfc boundary with most ensembles now
suggesting rain spreads into areas north and west of Albany
Tuesday evening before rain advances further east overnight.
There remains uncertainty regarding the intensity of the
shortwave trough tracking through Canada which will provide the
necessary forcing for ascent to enhance the precipitation
shield along the incoming boundary. Ensemble clusters suggest
two types of scenarios. If the trough become neutrally to even
slightly negatively tilted by Tuesday night, the CVA ahead of it
should be strong enough to support a widespread soaking rain
with 24-hr rainfall probabilities through 00 UTC Wed for near
or above 0.50" ranging 50-70%. On the other hand, should the
trough be weaker, limited CVA along the boundary will keep
rainfall amounts lower with 24-hr rainfall probabilities for at
or greater than 0.50" near or under 30%.

 

[tamarack]

1 hour ago, dryslot said:

33.1°F yesterday, 33.6°F this morning for lows with back to back frost.

Late last evening the temp was 5° lower than same time day before, but this morning's low of 31 was 2° higher than yesterday morning.  Warmer aloft - 8 AM at MWN: 46° (and TD -8!)

[Damage In Tolland]

2 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

I'm leaning towards minor changes around the 20th-ish

It’s a fast west east zonal flow on ensembles. Doesn’t appear to be much troughiness at least thru last week of music nth 

[Damage In Tolland]

1 hour ago, dryslot said:

33.1°F yesterday, 33.6°F this morning for lows with back to back frost.

Stay warm n safe 

[UnitedWx]

5 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Side piece?

My husband is 20 years younger, I can't handle anything more  And, I may be gayer than D.I.T.s jogging shorts... but I'm a one man guy

[40/70 Benchmark]

21 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

My husband is 20 years younger, I can't handle anything more  And, I may be gayer than D.I.T.s jogging shorts... but I'm a one man guy

Well played, sir.

[CoastalWx]

1 hour ago, UnitedWx said:

My husband is 20 years younger, I can't handle anything more  And, I may be gayer than D.I.T.s jogging shorts... but I'm a one man guy

 

[Ginx snewx]

On 10/2/2025 at 1:36 PM, mreaves said:

I keep thinking about they saying you've shared in the past about winter not starting until the swamps are filled.  If that's the case, winter is a looong way off up here.

Cold will take hold when the rivers are bankful. 

November is going to be a very wet month.

[Cyclone-68]

I apologize in advance but I figure somebody here would know. I’m traveling to Italy and Greece later this month. Any idea what kind of weather/climate to expect? 

[HoarfrostHubb]

4 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

Cold will take hold when the rivers are bankful. 

November is going to be a very wet month.

I think you will be right on this one.   

[alex]

5 hours ago, Cyclone-68 said:

I apologize in advance but I figure somebody here would know. I’m traveling to Italy and Greece later this month. Any idea what kind of weather/climate to expect? 

I grew up in Italy. It’s a surprisingly big country from a climate perspective. Right now you could be making snow angels in Courmayeur or hanging on the beach in Tropea, so the climate really depends on where you’re going! 

[kdxken]

5 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

Cold will take hold when the rivers are bankful. 

November is going to be a very wet month.

I kind of have that feeling as well. The old rubber band. October is a notoriously dry month anyway. Think I'm going to make a push to sell all my wood by the end of the month. No sense in loading trucks in the rain.

[rimetree]

First 30's this morning...10 days ahead of last year. Looks warm coming up the next few days then off to Sacramento next week to get pretty much the exact same weather. 

[ineedsnow]

0z ICON goes from drought to floods

[Snowcrazed71]

1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

0z ICON goes from drought to floods

ICON..... More like I'CANT!