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78 / 72 cloudy with some shower around.  Another 36 hours caught up near the boundary with more scattered storms and showers.  Clears up and dries out Fri (7/26) and through the weekend.  Warmer by Sun  - upper 80s - low 90s.  Cut off low meandering offshore next week Mon - Wed.   Ridge building north and heat expanding east - onshore component keep the strongest heat north /west (inland initially) overall hotter by the 31st and beyond.  Tropical activity may kick in later next week.

 

 GOES16-NE-GEOCOLOR-600x600.gif

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1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said:

I wish it would just rain and clear up. This constant cloudy weather is awful

So much for the rain this week. Looks as if we're down to just the very slight chance of a spotty storm for later today or tonight. Good chance we're gonna get through this whole hyped week with almost nothing. Awful. Lots of watering will be needed in the coming days. Our next chance doesn't come until next Tuesday or Wednesday.

But like you said, it's nice that we'll have some beautiful weather to enjoy. Dew points down to the mid 50s Friday will feel great. 

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10 hours ago, jm1220 said:

Any rain over the summer unless it’s a large scale synoptic system is widely scattered. I happen to be lucky this summer but others develop flash droughts. 

I don't know..this event was well advertised to bring 1-2 inches of rain...not just a late day t storm 

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Near normal readings will prevail through the week. Showers and thundershowers are likely tonight through Thursday. Warmer air will begin to arrive to close the weekend. There is some potential that the month could end on a hot note.

The latest summer guidance continues to suggest a warmer to much warmer than normal summer lies ahead. Some of the extended range guidance suggests that August could be warmer to much warmer than normal.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.2°C for the week centered around July 17. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.47°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.25°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the late summer or early fall.

The SOI was +2.15 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.497 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 95% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 79.9° (2.4° above normal). That would rank 2024 as the 10th hottest July on record.

 

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Records:

Highs:

EWR: 102  (2022)
NYC: 97 (2010)
LGA: 98 (2022)
JFK: 97 (2010)


Lows:

EWR:  55 (1947)
NYC: 56 (1893)
LGA: 59 (1992)
JFK: 58 (1997)

Historical:

 

1886 - Rain fell at Lawrence, KS, for the first time in four weeks. Rain fell over much of the state of Kansas that day relieving a severe drought which began in May. The very dry weather ruined crops in Kansas. (David Ludlum)

1936 - A record all time Kansas state high temperature set just 6 days earlier was tied in the town of Alton, located in Osborne County. (US National Weather Service Wichita)

1942 - The temperature at Las Vegas, NV, hit 117 degrees to set an all-time record for that location. The record was tied on July 19, 2005.

1947 - One of the most powerful strokes of lightning ever measured yielded 345,000 amperes of electricity in Pittsburgh, PA. (The Weather Channel)

1952 - The temperature at Louisville, GA, soared to 112 degrees to establish a state record. (The Weather Channel)

1980 - Claudette, a weak tropical storm, deluged southeastern Texas with torrential rains. The Houston suburb of Alvin received 43 inches, a 24 hour record for the U.S. (David Ludlum)

1987 - Twenty-one cities in the eastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. The high of 91 degrees at Beckley, WV, was their hottest reading in 25 years of records, and marked their third straight day of record 90 degree heat. Bakersfield, CA, dipped to 60 degrees, marking their eighth straight morning of record cool weather. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced large hail and damaging winds in Oklahoma, and over Nebraska and Wisconsin. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 75 mph at Brainerd, NE. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Afternoon thunderstorms produced some flash flooding in New Mexico. Albuquerque, NM, was deluged with an inch and a half of rain in forty minutes. Evening thunderstorms soaked Whie Pine, PA, with two inches of rain in one hour. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

 

2008: A tornado fluctuated between the category EF1 and the more destructive EF2 strikes Northwood and Pittsfield, as well as nine other towns in New Hampshire. It first touches down in Deerfield, then travels through Northwood, Epsom, Pittsfield, Barnstead, and Alton. From there, it rages through New Durham, Wolfeboro, Freedom, Ossipee, and Effingham. The storm destroys several homes, damaged dozens of others and kills at least one person.

 

 

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3 hours ago, doncat said:

Only 0.23" for what had looked like a wet week. Have done ok here though for the month as a whole with 4.45".

The high pressure to the north overperformed. It’s one of the few times that a strong Southeast ridge influence gets muted around here. The good news is that there will finally be a dry weekend coming up. A more active convection pattern should return as that big Canadian high shifts out to Bermuda in about a week to 10 days.

IMG_0605.thumb.png.595284bed7003d8bb873271dc7ac5aa1.png
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IMG_0607.thumb.png.daf47f2598469522a31ac1262e5d78c2.png

 

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17 hours ago, MANDA said:

What a waste of a soupy moisture laden air mass.  Have about .30" to show for it.   :thumbsdown::thumbsdown::thumbsdown:

anyone who thinks this has been a hot summer, this has not been a hot summer.

We have had a total of 5 days of 90+ and the highest was 92.

The city only touched 95 one day.

 

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26 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The high pressure to the north overperformed. It’s one of the few times that a strong Southeast ridge influence gets muted around here. The good news is that there will finally be a dry weekend coming up. A more active convection pattern should return as that big Canadian high shifts out to Bermuda in about a week to 10 days.

IMG_0605.thumb.png.595284bed7003d8bb873271dc7ac5aa1.png
IMG_0606.thumb.png.6a9911c18a83229bc83ad22e62106aab.png

IMG_0607.thumb.png.daf47f2598469522a31ac1262e5d78c2.png

 

This has not been a hot summer though.

The West has had the hot summer.

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Humidity sucks though and now most of you should understand why I said we need to suck out about 20% of the water on this planet and move it to Mars or some other space colony.

The amount of water vapor in our atmosphere is literally sickening and we dont need 70% of our planet covered in water, 50% is just fine thank you very much.

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27 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

This has not been a hot summer though.

The West has had the hot summer.

The sea breeze has kept the maxes down a JFK.The high of 91° so far there is the 4th lowest on record. But the high dew points have kept the minimums warmer at 3rd warmest. JFK recently set the longest streak for under 100° days at 4024. And it’s very possible this streak will extend at least into next year. Much stronger sea breeze influence since 2014. 

 

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2009-07-24 85 0
- 1948-07-24 85 46
2 1979-07-24 89 0
- 1967-07-24 89 0
- 1951-07-24 89 0
3 2023-07-24 90 0
- 2007-07-24 90 0
- 1960-07-24 90 0
4 2024-07-24 91 0
- 2021-07-24 91 0
- 2014-07-24 91 0
- 2004-07-24 91 0
- 1996-07-24 91 0
- 1985-07-24 91 0
- 1976-07-24 91 0
- 1975-07-24 91 0
- 1973-07-24 91 0


 

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 1948-07-24 69.3 46
2 2010-07-24 69.0 0
3 2024-07-24 68.3 0
4 2013-07-24 68.0 0
5 1984-07-24 67.8 0
6 1952-07-24 67.4 0
7 1994-07-24 67.3 0
- 1981-07-24 67.3 0
8 2011-07-24 67.2 0
- 2008-07-24 67.2 0
9 2015-07-24 67.1 0
10 1983-07-24 67.0 0


 

Number of Consecutive Days Max Temperature < 100 
for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Period of record: 1948-07-17 to 2024-07-24
1 4024 2013-07-19 through 2024-07-24
2 4016 1999-07-06 through 2010-07-03
3 4009 1972-07-24 through 1983-07-15
4 3610 1983-08-21 through 1993-07-08
5 2210 1966-07-05 through 1972-07-22
6 2185 1993-07-11 through 1999-07-04
7 963 1960-05-02 through 1962-12-20
8 857 1955-03-18 through 1957-07-21
9 817 1951-11-07 through 1954-01-31
10 736 1948-08-28 through 1950-09-02

 

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11 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The sea breeze has kept the maxes down a JFK.The high of 91° so far there is the 4th lowest on record. But the high dew points have kept the minimums warmer at 3rd warmest. JFK recently set the longest streak for under 100° days at 4024. And it’s very possible this streak will extend at least into next year. Much stronger sea breeze influence since 2014. 

 

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2009-07-24 85 0
- 1948-07-24 85 46
2 1979-07-24 89 0
- 1967-07-24 89 0
- 1951-07-24 89 0
3 2023-07-24 90 0
- 2007-07-24 90 0
- 1960-07-24 90 0
4 2024-07-24 91 0
- 2021-07-24 91 0
- 2014-07-24 91 0
- 2004-07-24 91 0
- 1996-07-24 91 0
- 1985-07-24 91 0
- 1976-07-24 91 0
- 1975-07-24 91 0
- 1973-07-24 91 0


 

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 1948-07-24 69.3 46
2 2010-07-24 69.0 0
3 2024-07-24 68.3 0
4 2013-07-24 68.0 0
5 1984-07-24 67.8 0
6 1952-07-24 67.4 0
7 1994-07-24 67.3 0
- 1981-07-24 67.3 0
8 2011-07-24 67.2 0
- 2008-07-24 67.2 0
9 2015-07-24 67.1 0
10 1983-07-24 67.0 0


 

Number of Consecutive Days Max Temperature < 100 
for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Period of record: 1948-07-17 to 2024-07-24
1 4024 2013-07-19 through 2024-07-24
2 4016 1999-07-06 through 2010-07-03
3 4009 1972-07-24 through 1983-07-15
4 3610 1983-08-21 through 1993-07-08
5 2210 1966-07-05 through 1972-07-22
6 2185 1993-07-11 through 1999-07-04
7 963 1960-05-02 through 1962-12-20
8 857 1955-03-18 through 1957-07-21
9 817 1951-11-07 through 1954-01-31
10 736 1948-08-28 through 1950-09-02

 

I think NYC and PHL have also not hit 100 in many years.

NYC since 2013 and PHL since 2012?

All the record heat has been out west.

No 95s here either and NYC has only had one.

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38 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Humidity sucks though and now most of you should understand why I said we need to suck out about 20% of the water on this planet and move it to Mars or some other space colony.

The amount of water vapor in our atmosphere is literally sickening and we dont need 70% of our planet covered in water, 50% is just fine thank you very much.

Good morning Liberty, I pray you are well. Not sure if the result would end up in the ‘be careful what you wish’ for category. As always ……

 

IMG_0479.png

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