July 2024

[TheClimateChanger]

3 hours ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, the areas east of NYC had much lower departures than in NJ due to the much stronger sea breezes this month.

LGA….+0.5

JFK…..+.1.7

ISP…….+1.9

NYC…..+2.1

EWR…..+3.1

FWN…..+3.5

SMQ…..+3.7

Hightstown….Was +5.0 on 7-25 but hasn’t updated for last week yet

 

Another thing to keep in mind is how they define normals. They keep jacking the so-called "normal" value up and up, especially in the summertime. Really the should be called climatological abnormals. In looking through the old records, I noticed the July normal mean temperature has been raised a full 3.6F (2.0C) for both Erie, Pennsylvania and Toledo, Ohio, since the 1980s. For these locations, the NWS now says a normal August is about 2F warmer than a normal July 35 years ago, and a normal June is nearly as warm as a normal July 35 years. At what point are they going to start telling us its normal for September to be warmer than a normal July in the late 20th century?

Just took a look at LaGuardia, and it's not up quite as much, but still +2.8F from the 1980s. Curiously, the July mean at Newark is only up +1.4F since the 1980s. It's an odd dynamic. A normal July at EWR was considered to be 0.4F warmer than a normal July at LGA in the 1980s. Today, a normal July at EWR is considered to be 1.1F cooler than a normal July at LGA. But if you look at recent years, it looks like EWR is again the warm spot among the two in the month of July. Not sure why they would bounce around like that, but I would expect EWR's normal to be increased precipitously in another 7 years.

[bluewave]

3 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Another thing to keep in mind is how they define normals. They keep jacking the so-called "normal" value up and up, especially in the summertime. Really the should be called climatological abnormals. In looking through the old records, I noticed the July normal mean temperature has been raised a full 3.6F (2.0C) for both Erie, Pennsylvania and Toledo, Ohio, since the 1980s. For these locations, the NWS now says a normal August is about 2F warmer than a normal July 35 years ago, and a normal June is nearly as warm as a normal July 35 years. At what point are they going to start telling us its normal for September to be warmer than a normal July in the late 20th century?

Just took a look at LaGuardia, and it's not up quite as much, but still +2.8F from the 1980s. Curiously, the July mean at Newark is only up +1.4F since the 1980s. It's an odd dynamic. A normal July at EWR was considered to be 0.4F warmer than a normal July at LGA in the 1980s. Today, a normal July at EWR is considered to be 1.1F cooler than a normal July at LGA. But if you look at recent years, it looks like EWR is again the warm spot among the two in the month of July. Not sure why they would bounce around like that, but I would expect EWR's normal to be increased precipitously in another 7 years.

That’s why my previous post was the rankings for the stations which are the absolutes rather than departures which change every 10 years. But the sea breeze influence was evident in both datasets. The sea breeze prevented Newark from having a 90° average high for July like Harrison and SMQ did. 
 

Time Series Summary for SOMERSET AIRPORT, NJ - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	1999	92.2	1
2	2022	91.5	0
3	2011	90.3	0
4	2024	90.0	0
5	2020	89.7	0
6	2010	89.4	0
7	2019	89.2	0
-	2012	89.2	0
-	2003	89.2	25
8	2016	88.9	0
9	2023	88.2	0
10	2006	88.0	0

 

Time Series Summary for HARRISON, NJ - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	2011	91.3	1
2	2022	91.0	0
3	2010	90.8	1
4	2019	90.6	0
-	2012	90.6	2
5	2024	90.5	0
6	2020	90.3	0
7	2002	89.7	0
8	2023	89.5	0
9	2016	88.9	0
10	2018	88.6	0

 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	2011	92.5	0
2	1993	92.2	0
3	2022	92.1	0
-	2010	92.1	0
4	1994	90.4	0
5	1999	90.2	0
6	2012	90.1	0
7	1966	90.0	0
-	1955	90.0	0
8	2024	89.7	0
-	1988	89.7	0
9	2019	89.5	0
10	1952	89.4	0

[EWR757]

On 7/27/2024 at 9:36 AM, FPizz said:

I feel like for the past couple years their temps have been running a little high on sunny days.  That's like 4 miles from me and is usually the highest temp in the area. @mgerb , have you ever noticed that or am I just wrong haha.  

Both Duke Farms and KSMQ reported max temperatures of 99 F on Thursday, August 1.   

[FPizz]

58 minutes ago, EWR757 said:

Both Duke Farms and KSMQ reported max temperatures of 99 F on Thursday, August 1.   

I was 97, but today wasn't totally sunny around the area so their temps lived better with surrounding areas and all the stations.

[mgerb]

1 hour ago, EWR757 said:

Both Duke Farms and KSMQ reported max temperatures of 99 F on Thursday, August 1.   

And 98 at New Brunswick, so pretty well in line. I think the dry conditions as of late may be playing a role in that regard. 

[bluewave]