July 2024

[cleetussnow]

I got a little rain from that near HPN - for 10 mins and some rumbles.

[BoulderWX]

.80 in 30 minutes in Morristown area

[TheClimateChanger]

4 hours ago, bluewave said:

Looks like another over the top warm up day 8-14 on the EPS. So the West and Canada will warm up first. So it may take a few days after for the warmest temperatures to work down into our area. 
 

 

Another? We haven't seen this pattern much at all this summer. The highest heat anomalies have been over the Mid Atlantic, Ohio Valley, and Southeast.

[steve392]

Unf'ing real

 

[bluewave]

1 hour ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Another? We haven't seen this pattern much at all this summer. The highest heat anomalies have been over the Mid Atlantic, Ohio Valley, and Southeast.

Yes. The summer pattern started over the top with the warmest departures up in Canada June 1st to 15th. Then our area got the stronger heat later in the month as the warmth eventually worked down into our area. July reverted back to the recent multiyear pattern of cool in the Midwest and warmth along both coasts.

 

 

[donsutherland1]

Near normal readings will prevail through the week. Showers and thundershowers are likely tonight through Thursday. There is some potential that the month could end on a hot note.

The latest summer guidance continues to suggest a warmer to much warmer than normal summer lies ahead. Some of the extended range guidance suggests that August could be warmer to much warmer than normal.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.2°C for the week centered around July 17. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.47°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.25°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the late summer or early fall.

The SOI was +5.35 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.325 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 95% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 80.1° (2.6° above normal). That would tie 2024 with 1993 as the 7th hottest July on record.

 

[MANDA]

Just trace of rainfall here today.  Skunked so far.  Some places did well but not widespread coverage.  Hoping for something decent over the next 2-3 days....at least an inch I hope.

[qg_omega]

Expecting little rain this week

[Stormlover74]

26 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

Expecting little rain this week

You may be right

[steve392]

A spritz of rain has fallen by me all day... 

[jm1220]

Looks like some heavier showers moving onto the south shore. Some light drizzle in the gross humidity earlier. 

[guinness77]

On the train, just went through some pretty moderate rain through Queens Village area. Appears to be some stuff on the radar popping up South Shore Farmingdale to Babylon area too. 

[psv88]

1/3” already. Of course when I’m going to block island and Newport for the week it’s going to rain 

[uofmiami]

Flood advisory issued. .40” so far and still coming down. 

[Rmine1]

South shore drought continues 

[winterwx21]

3 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

You may be right

Yeah it's not looking like the big wet week that the models were showing a few days ago. Some spots getting lucky obviously. Some downpours to the north and out on Long Island tonight, but not much during the day tomorrow and right now the models have the round of rain for tomorrow night mostly missing to the south and east.

There will be some activity on Thursday but it isn't looking that impressive. I hope we get a decent soaking before the dry weather settles in for Friday and the weekend, but it's certainly possible that we'll miss out since it's only widely scattered activity this week. 

[jm1220]

Woodbury/Plainview area might have 1". I have about 0.33". 

[uofmiami]

.67 in N Syosset, I’m sure LIE/135 area got close to 1”. 

[SACRUS]

 

Highs:

 

TEB: 87
EWR: 85
New Brnswck: 85
TTN: 84
PHL: 84
NYC: 84
LGA: 84
BLM: 83
ISP: 83
JFK: 82
ACY: 82

[BxEngine]

10 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

You may be right

Have had almost 2” since that post lol

[lee59]

.50 here between late last night and since midnight.

[bluewave]

Over an inch in spots with the heavy downpours.

 

Daily Precipitation Report
Station Number: NJ-BG-60	Station Name: Montvale 1.8 ESE
Observation Date	7/23/2024 8:00 AM
Submitted	7/23/2024 7:28 AM
Gauge Catch	1.32 in.
Notes	--

 

Daily Precipitation Report
Station Number: NJ-MS-102	Station Name: Chatham 0.6 NE
Observation Date	7/23/2024 7:00 AM
Submitted	7/23/2024 7:09 AM
Gauge Catch	1.22 in.
Notes	--

[uofmiami]

1.01” in Syosset from last night & this morning. 

[Dark Star]

9 hours ago, winterwx21 said:

Yeah it's not looking like the big wet week that the models were showing a few days ago. Some spots getting lucky obviously. Some downpours to the north and out on Long Island tonight, but not much during the day tomorrow and right now the models have the round of rain for tomorrow night mostly missing to the south and east.

There will be some activity on Thursday but it isn't looking that impressive. I hope we get a decent soaking before the dry weather settles in for Friday and the weekend, but it's certainly possible that we'll miss out since it's only widely scattered activity this week. 

A repeat of 2 weeks ago  Initial forecasts for a wet week, then essentially just a few scattered showers?

[psv88]

0.63 total, becoming a wet month, approaching 4 inches of rain 

[jm1220]

Up to about 0.7”. 

[Stormlover74]

27 minutes ago, Dark Star said:

A repeat of 2 weeks ago  Initial forecasts for a wet week, then essentially just a few scattered showers?

It was also going to be hit and miss. Some places are doing quite well

[SACRUS]

 

Records: 7/22

Highs:

EWR: 108 (2011)
NYC: 104 (2011)
LGA: 104 (2011)
JFK: 103 (2011)


Lows:

EWR 56 (1944)
NYC: 58 (1890)
LGA: 62 (1956)
JFK: 59 (1966)


Historical:

 

1918 - A single bolt of lightning struck 504 sheep dead in their tracks at the Wasatch National Forest in Utah. Sheep often herd together in storms, and as a result the shock from the lightning bolt was passed from one animal to another. (David Ludlum)

1986 - Hurricane Estelle passed 120 miles south of the Hawaiian Islands creating a ten to twenty foot surf. The large swells resulted from a combination of high tides, a full moon, and 50 mph winds. The hurricane also deluged Oahu Island with as much as 6.86 inches of rain on the 24th and 25th of the month. (Storm Data)

1987 - Barrow, AK, receives 1.38 inches in 24 hours on the 21st and 22nd, an all-time record for that location. The average annual precipitation for Barrow is just 4.75 inches. Thunderstorms in Montana produced 4 to 6 inches of rain in Glacier County causing extensive flooding along Divide Creek. Missoula, MT, received 1.71 inches of rain in 24 hours, a record for the month of July. (The National Weather Summary) (The Weather Channel)

1988 - Six cities in the south central U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Pueblo, CO, with a reading of 48 degrees. Thunderstorms over the Atlantic Coast Region drenched Wilmington, NC, with 6.49 inches of rain in about eight hours. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Showers and thunderstorms prevailed across the southeastern third of the country. Afternoon thunderstorms in Florida produced wind gusts to 86 mph at Zephyrhills, and gusts to 92 mph at Carrollwood and Lutz. Thunderstorm winds gusting to 69 mph at Crystal Lake damaged nineteen mobile homes. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

 

1993: The levee, holding back the flooding Mississippi River at Kaskaskia, Illinois, ruptures, forcing the town's people to flee on barges. The incident at Kaskaskia was the most dramatic event of the flood. At 9:48 a.m., the levee broke, leaving the people of Kaskaskia with no escape route other than two Army Corp of Engineers barges. By 2 p.m., the entire town was underwater.

[SACRUS]

 

75 / 71  cloudy.  Scattered showers today, some breaks in the clouds and a warm/muggy mid - upper 80s.  Hung up front next 3 days clouds and chance at more heavier rains.   Clear and dry out by Fri (7/26) and through the weekend, warming by  Sat (7/27) and  Sun (7/28). Ridge and heat expanding north and a hotter look by Mon (7/29) and beyond.  Onshore component of ridge position favors inland nd northern heat initially with flow turning and stronger heat reaching the area.

 

[bluewave]

Looks like the pattern will dry out before the weekend. Drier weather expected after Thursday. Then Canadian high pressure for the weekend with more comfortable temperatures than the month to date.