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September 2023


Stormlover74
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Surfers delight pattern with a very clean 10”+ swell making it back to Long Island and a perfect offshore flow. Great for migrating shorebirds as the overwash will fill up the back beach tidal pools behind the berm. Sure there will be some beach erosion, but nothing as bad as we have seen at times in the past when the low was much further west.

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99E39A15-FE2D-41EA-8859-6D103D9FF6C7.thumb.png.836d83e34c6c376e8d5370a74044022c.png

 

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The next 8 days are averaging   70degs.(63/78) or Normal.

Reached 81 here yesterday at 5pm.

Today:   76-80, wind variable, m. cloudy, on- off Rain till 8pm., 66 tomorrow AM.

74*(*97%RH) here at 7am.     73* at 9am.      79* at 2:30pm.     77* at 3pm.      Reached 86* with a H.I. of 95 at 5:30pm.     76* at 8pm.

 

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8 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Looks like one of the bigger busts....1-2 inches of rain in Upton's forecast so unless something develops later most will see nothing unless you're well north-models too far south with the convection

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HRRR says that's all folks!

hrrr_apcpn_neus_18.png

Not sure what the hype was. Models weren't all that enthused and the timing was off. 

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11 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Looks like one of the bigger busts....1-2 inches of rain in Upton's forecast so unless something develops later most will see nothing unless you're well north-models too far south with the convection

-

HRRR says that's all folks!

hrrr_apcpn_neus_18.png

Yep a big bust

It was supposed to rain all day. Looks like it will rain this morning.

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1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said:

.13 is well below what any model had although they all started pulling back yesterday 

Yep it was a bust but I'm ok with that. Obviously we didn't need anymore rain. It has been an extremely wet pattern ever since the end of June. I enjoyed all the storms this summer, but I think I'm finally burned out on it. I'm ready for some nice dry fall weather.

Looking forward to dewpoints in the 40s the next few days, and even beyond then it looks nice. Even though the longer range looks a little warmer than normal, it's still going to be very comfortable. Next week looks like highs of 75 to 80 with dewpoints in the 50s. Beautiful fall weather settling in. 

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16 minutes ago, gravitylover said:

Bust bust bust, ahh bullshit. That was intense. The cross street at the end of my block looks like the local creeks after a hurricane, filled with debris and large branches that washed down the hill.

It's not just about your backyards. 

When a huge area the size of NJ has a flood watch and they get .10-.25, that is a bust.  Your backyard didn't, congrats.  

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30 minutes ago, gravitylover said:

Bust bust bust, ahh bullshit. That was intense. The cross street at the end of my block looks like the local creeks after a hurricane, filled with debris and large branches that washed down the hill.

It's not just about your backyards. 

There was supposed to be more rain. It's a bust.

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44 minutes ago, gravitylover said:

Bust bust bust, ahh bullshit. That was intense. The cross street at the end of my block looks like the local creeks after a hurricane, filled with debris and large branches that washed down the hill.

It's not just about your backyards. 

If you look at it from a geographic view it was a bust.   A couple areas got big rains, but 90-95% of the subforum saw close to nothing.   

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72 / 70 rain moved through front should clear later this pm with clearing skies, droppimg dew points and humidity.  Thu (9/14) - Sun (9/17) looks very nice with Lee well east this weekend aside from E-LI the area looks very nice.  Near normal upper 70s / near 80.  850 temps do rise from Lee so perhaps Sat or sun low 80s and a bit more humid. 

 

Overall odd upper flow with trough moving through 9/18-19 and  cut off ULL west and south and east coast ridging building over.  SO its overall warmer , perhaps more humid and dpending on fronts or ULL near by it could be a bit wet.   Warm close to the Sep overall

 

GOES16-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif  

 

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