JerseyWx Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 3 hours ago, Cfa said: ^^^This is my first year seeing them ever, none by me luckily. Man we have a ton here. I was trimming a tree today and there were several on 1 branch alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 Have seen hundreds over the last few months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 This summer is a little more active than last summer thunderstorm wise. Perhaps, just perhaps, that means winter will be more active as well. I mean it can't get less active than last winter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 14, 2023 Author Share Posted August 14, 2023 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 14, 2023 Author Share Posted August 14, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 8/13 EWR: 90 ACY: 90 BLM: 89 JFK: 89 PHL: 89 New Brnswck: 88 LGA: 88 TEB: 88 ISP: 88 NYC: 88 TTN: 86 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 The next 8 days are averaging 80degs.(72/89) or +4. Reached 91 here yesterday at 6pm. Today: 83-86, wind w. to s., p. cloudy, Rain late---by midnight tonight, 75 tomorrow AM. 74*(76%RH) here at 7am. 80* at 10am. 82* at Noon---3pm. 85* at 4pm. Reached 86* at 4:30pm. 79* at 7pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 11 hours ago, Intensewind002 said: Saw a spotted lanternfly for the first time today, I know theyve been seen in NJ for a couple years now but this is the first time I’ve seen them out by me. Saw one at a parking lot near Yankee Stadium a few weeks ago then this past Saturday morning, again (oddly), in a parking lot at a nearby Mall in Whitestone. Never seen one before this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 9 hours ago, BxEngine said: Have seen hundreds over the last few months. Same here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 11 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: Slight risk should be bumped north. Things look particularly active tomorrow evening/night It's the timing. Most of the activity around here should come between 08-10z. The 06z 3K NAM soundings do look mildly interesting over the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 Just now, NJwx85 said: It's the timing. Most of the activity around here should come between 08-10z. The 06z 3K NAM soundings do look mildly interesting over the interior. Yes but they did adjust north with the slight risk as well compared to yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 16 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Yes but they did adjust north with the slight risk as well compared to yesterday High confidence in thunderstorms, low confidence in the severe threat. They can make further adjustments if needed based on latest guidance/observations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderbolt Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 15 hours ago, Rjay said: First one Lol - They have been out here for three years. They eat what they’re going to eat and move on. At this point we have a lot of well fed birds that eat them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 18 minutes ago, Tatamy said: Lol - They have been out here for three years. They eat what they’re going to eat and move on. At this point we have a lot of well fed birds that eat them. I see them all the time. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 6 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: I see them all the time. WX/PT They are in Great Neck. Office building was crawling with them Friday when I went to get a file from storage unit. Haven’t seen any in Syosset or Muttontown yet but I’m sure they are around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 23 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: I see them all the time. WX/PT Yeah they aren’t the plague they were originally billed to be. We actually had more last summer on the uws than this summer. Finally a droughtless summer on the island I’m more interested in that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 Rgem went way south with heavy rain. Gives most of us around .25" 3knam is also pretty dry. Euro and regular nam are .5 to 1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 16 hours ago, Rjay said: First one First?! I see them daily. I gave up with trying to kill them, I just accepted them as a permanent part of the landscape now. I've learned to recognize what stage of development they are based on appearance. Last summer was more though. I am mad they destroyed a cucumber plant I had growing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jacob brooklyn Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said: Rgem went way south with heavy rain. Gives most of us around .25" 3knam is also pretty dry. Euro and regular nam are .5 to 1" Rinse and repeat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 2 hours ago, Tatamy said: Lol - They have been out here for three years. They eat what they’re going to eat and move on. At this point we have a lot of well fed birds that eat them. Originally, "they" said there were no known predators. Now I am hearing that birds, as well as preying mantis feed on them/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 17 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: Had a ton last year but only a couple this year Same here. I saw thousands of them last year but none this year. Strange how they just disappeared from our area. I don't know if the extremely dry weather we had in May had something to do with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 6 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Same here. I saw thousands of them last year but none this year. Strange how they just disappeared from our area. I don't know if the extremely dry weather we had in May had something to do with that. Same here. Loaded last year, just disgusting and this year none, at least so far. Thankfully. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 Is this is a special bug thread? Anyway, not to be off-topic, CMC forecasting some high heat Tuesday and Wed of next week we are inside of 582dm thicknesses. Probably close to or around 100 Tuesday and about 98 before the b-door front comes through Wednesday if CMC were correct. Much cooler Thursday on brisk n-ne winds. GFS and ECMWF much different each model indicating one marginally hot day if that probably on Monday. We'll see which is right. WX/PT 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wishcast_hater Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 How is the weather looking for Tuesday evening? I'm going to the Guns N' Roses concert and don't want a rain out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 82 / 67 and partly/mostly cloudy. Showers and storms later / overnigh and into Tue (8/15)t with the worst more north. Wed (8/16) - Fri (8/18) warm and more humid by Thu with next round of storms / showers with trough on Friday- Sat. Beyond there models correcting with the mega ridge centered in the southern plain peaking 600 DM. Worst of the heat looks to stay south of the region but even the NW flow 8/20 - 8/23 looks warm with shot at 90. NW flow goes more N/NE for a periodas the ridge periphery wanes south and west. Overall warm with strongest heat just south. The Midsection and southeast look to broil. Tropics alive by day 9/10. Should ridge correct north - east hotter scenario. EC ridging does showup in the way beyond but seasonal tendeny would need to break to put much stak in it. https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/GIFS/GOES16-NE-GEOCOLOR-600x600.gif 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 Continues to look like a nice airmass coming in at the end of the week with dewpoints dropping to the 50s. Saturday looks like a spectacular day to start off the weekend with sunshine and low humidity. Then it heats up on sunday and we'll have to see what the magnitude of the heat is early next week, as WX/PT said. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 38 minutes ago, wishcast_hater said: How is the weather looking for Tuesday evening? I'm going to the Guns N' Roses concert and don't want a rain out. Does not look bad unless you are down in SNJ. I think the convection here would depend on needing to develop near the surface low feature and would be later in the evening maybe 9pm-12am. I am not confident much fires at all on the front 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 15 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Does not look bad unless you are down in SNJ. I think the convection here would depend on needing to develop near the surface low feature and would be later in the evening maybe 9pm-12am. I am not confident much fires at all on the front The latest HRRR says otherwise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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