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Mesoscale Discussion 1900 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0718 PM CDT Mon Aug 07 2023 Areas affected...Hudson Valley to western Long Island Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 608... Valid 080018Z - 080215Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 608 continues. SUMMARY...Damaging winds are possible with thunderstorms this evening. DISCUSSION...MCS that evolved over southeast PA continues its eastward surge early this evening. Latest radar data suggests an MCV is located along the PA/NJ line over eastern Monroe County PA. This feature is lifting northeast and will likely track across Orange County NY in the next 1-1.5 hours. Primary bowing segment south of the MCV is now surging off the NJ Coast, so the most organized portion of the MCS should focus across the lower Hudson Valley over the next few hours. Damaging winds are the primary concern.

 

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5 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Damn looks like a cold pool aloft type precip shield. We will take the rain on the drought stricken south shore

Haven't seen such a well defined mcs in a long while, i for sure thought it'd be a tad bit stronger than this on arrival (mainly in terms of lightning) 

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10 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

It looked like it briefly pulsed up

It did and is causing a rain delay at Citi Field, but even at that it was just some moderate rain. The evening part of this event ended up being a bust for most of the area, but we saw that coming. I don't get very excited about a severe threat when it's progged to hit this late at night. 

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8 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

Had one a few weeks ago which was much stronger for NYC and the island

Lol few hours earlier and we'd have no power right now , that was a baby compared to this. 

NJ...only place where you can get a f2 tornado in the middle of winter but a dying line in the dead of summer :lol:

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1 minute ago, winterwx21 said:

It did and is causing a rain delay at Citi Field, but even at that it was just some moderate rain. The evening part of this event ended up being a bust for most of the area, but we saw that coming. I don't get very excited about a severe threat when it's progged to hit this late at night. 

The only model that seemed excited about it was the euro. Ended up with .12" this round .8 for the day

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74 and windy, some of these gusts are pretty potent, I just had to avoid walking under some trees. Light rain fell apart on arrival, only sporadic raindrops at best.

High of 78, and a heavy rain induced low of 69. 1.05” today, all of it from this morning.

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8/7

 

Records:

 

Highs:

EWR: 100 (2001)
NYC: 104 (1918)
LGA: 99 (2001)

 

 

Lows:

EWR: 57 (1948)
NYC: 57 (1994)
LGA: 61 (1975)

 

Historical:

 

1904 - A flash flood near Pueblo, CO, washed a train from the tracks killing 89 passengers. A bridge, weakened by the floodwaters sweeping through the valley below, gave way under the weight of the train dashing all but the sleeping cars into the torrent drowning the occupants. Rail service was frequently interrupted in the Rocky Mountain Region and southwestern U.S. that summer due to numerous heavy downpours which washed out the railroad beds delaying trains as much as five days. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

1918 - Philadelphia, PA, established an all-time record with a high of 106 degrees. New York City experienced its warmest day and night with a low of 82 degrees and a high of 102 degrees. Afternoon highs of 108 degrees at Flemington NJ and Somerville NJ established state records for the month of August. (The Weather Channel) (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987)

 

1924: A tornado caused estimated F4 damage moved southeast from south of Osseo, WI to Black River Falls, WI. One person was killed as a home was leveled and a boy was killed running to the storm cellar near the start of the path. Two people died as farm homes were swept away near the northeast edge of Black River Falls. Damage totaled $200,000 as 50 farms were hit and buildings were unroofed in the town of Northfield. The tornado followed the present route of Interstate 94.

1984 - El Paso, TX, normally receives 1.21 inches of rain in August. They got it in forty-five minutes, with four more inches to boot, during a storm which left Downtown El Paso under five feet of water. (The Weather Channel)

1986 - A rare outbreak of seven tornadoes occurred in New England. One tornado carved its way through Cranston RI and Providence RI causing twenty injuries. Rhode Island had not reported a tornado in twelve years, and three touched down in 24 hours. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1987 - Morning thunderstorms drenched Goldsboro, NC, with 3.37 inches of rain. Late morning thunderstorms in Arizona produced dime size hail, wind gusts to 50 mph, and two inches of rain, at Sierra Vista. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - A dozen cities in the central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Waco, TX, with a reading of 107 degrees. The record high of 88 degrees at Marquette, MI, was their twenty-third of the year. Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in Nebraska, Minnesota and Wisconsin, with wind gusts to 81 mph reported at McCool, NE. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Forty cities in the central U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Valentine, NE, with a reading of 40 degrees, and Belcourt ND with a low of 37 degrees. Martin SD was the cold spot in the nation with a morning low of 30 degrees. Unseasonably hot weather prevailed over Florida and Washington State, with record highs of 100 degress at Daytona Beach, FL, 101 degrees at Walla Walla, WA, and 103 degrees at Hanford, WA. (The National Weather Summary)

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The next 8 days are averaging   79degs.(71/87) or +3.

Reached 79 here yesterday at 6pm.

Today:   77-82, wind w., m. cloudy, some sun late, 70 tomorrow AM.

71*(97%RH) here at 7am.       73* at 9am.      75* at 11am.      Reached 82* at 4pm.

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