SACRUS Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 9/18 EWR: 85 New Brnswck: 85 BLM: 85 PHL: 85 TEB: 85 LGA: 85 JFK: 84 NYC: 83 ACY: 82 TTN: 82 ISP: 81 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 85 today in Suffolk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 A brisk sea breeze, temperatures in the lower 80s, and abnormally warm ocean temperatures made for a great beach day. Some photos from Robert Moses State Park from this afternoon. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 Morning thoughts… Today will be variably cloudy and very warm. High temperatures will reach the middle and upper 80s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 85° Newark: 88° Philadelphia: 88° It will turn cooler tomorrow. A sharp cold shot is likely after midweek. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 75.1°; 15-Year: 76.1° Newark: 30-Year: 76.6°; 15-Year: 77.7° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 77.9°; 15-Year: 78.7° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 It looks like the heat may peak today in the upper 80s instead of the mid 90s which was forecast last week. So I guess this counts as making slow progress toward fall. NYC could see the first lower 50s of the season by next weekend as a stronger blocking pattern sets up. New run for today Old run much warmer Cool down for later in week 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 The next 8 days are averaging 69degs.(61/77) or +2. Month to date is 72.8[+1.4]. Should be 71.6[+1.6] by the 27th. Reached 84 here yesterday. Today: 82-86, wind w., clouding up, rain by 6pm?, 67 tomorrow AM. 70*(85%RH) here at 7am. 71* at 9am. 77* at Noon. 80* at 1pm. Reached 84* at 4pm. Quick Rain at 5:30pm. 72* at 6pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 1 hour ago, bluewave said: It looks like the heat may peak today in the upper 80s instead of the mid 90s which was forecast last week. So I guess this counts as making slow progress toward fall. NYC could see the first lower 50s of the season by next weekend as a stronger blocking pattern sets up. New run for today Old run much warmer Cool down for later in week Never trust the GFS with temps in the LR-seems to have a warm bias in the summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 14 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Never trust the GFS with temps in the LR-seems to have a warm bias in the summer That’s a given but the GEM and Euro were just as hot. The blocking verified stronger. So we get a +10 day instead of +15 to +20. That’s what passes for cooler in our warming climate. Almanac for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ September 19, 2022 Daily Data Observed Normal Record Highest Record Lowest Max Temperature M 77 93 in 1983 62 in 1987 Min Temperature M 60 70 in 2016 44 in 1959 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 No place for feelings in science, but I have a feeling this is going to be an interesting fall/winter one way or another. With the strong SH stratospheric cooling and the climate system’s tendency toward balance, maybe we get some stratospheric warming up here and a weakened PV (there was some correlation shown in an article linked a ways back, was interesting if nothing else). Or maybe the extra water vapor broadly keeps things slightly warmer. In other threads here I saw some speculation about a -NAO Dec with a potential fast start to winter (perhaps front loaded), but I remember last Dec originally being forecasted cold and, yeah big nope. Prob smarter to always assume we’ll be in shorts and flip flops Xmas day lol. One things for sure, after this consistently hot summer I’m well prepared to enjoy some cool crisp air, so I’m looking forward to the cold front and cooldown however long it lasts. Great hiking weather and my favorite time of year to be outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 74/ 64 and on way to upper 80s. Clouds likely in the way of a late season hot 90 at the warmer spots. Already area of clouds and showers pushing into C-PA and should arrive here by 12:30 - 2:00PM (mainly the clouds not many showers). Outside chance of 90 but likely capped 87-89. Riding the rim of the huge ridge centered over the TX/OK border and with it a wave of low pressure will bring some rain/storms into NY state and New England Mon PM Tue (9/20. Warm back up Wed (9/21) and again outside chance of a over performer coupled with recent dryness. Other wise the front and with rain / storms will cap Thu even with 850s of >18c into the upper 70s low 80s. By the end of this week and coming weekend, the coolest air of the season Fri (9/23) - Sun (9/25) arrives. 40s for inland areas at night. Warms back up by next Mon (9/26) before the next cool down towards the end of next week / Sep. Beyond there do we head back into a relatively overall warmer by a bit after the open of next month with riding pushing into the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 My kid is at school in Brockport and she said the thunder was making the ground shake, it's dark like nighttime and the rain is insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 Noon Roundup New Brnswck: 86 BLM: 85 EWR: 84 LGA: 84 PHL: 84 TEB: 84* ACY: 83 JFK: 83 NYC: 83 ISP: 82 TTN: 82 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 About an hour before clouds and maybe some showers push into W-NJ and 2 before moving into the NYC area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 Currently 85 here............... DP 61/RH 45% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 88 degrees here right now. Had a high temp of 85 yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 85.8 high, 84 now with much more clouds than sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 Anyone else having issues with RadarScope Pro today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 87F Most in the mid-upper 80s. If it weren't for the clouds I think many would've seen low 90s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 21 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Anyone else having issues with RadarScope Pro today? Workin fine for me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 Ewr 88 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 29 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Ewr 88 We probably would have been around that up here too without the shower that passed through. Hit 85 before the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 86 the high here, now down to 80 with a sea breeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 Upton only going with 30% chance of rain but radar looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 Gusty T-shower underway here. Moving quickly based on radar so not expecting much in the way of rainfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 Pretty impressive wind gust just now..easily 40+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 26 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Pretty impressive wind gust just now..easily 40+ flower pot massacre at my parents' house 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 Pouring in the UWS, not sure how in the world the NWS went with a 30% pop in their afternoon update considering how the radar looked! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 29 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said: Pouring in the UWS, not sure how in the world the NWS went with a 30% pop in their afternoon update considering how the radar looked! It was because the models had been showing almost nothing. I was surprised when radar was looking that good. You're right, you have to adjust and increase the rain chance in the forecast when radar shows that the models were wrong. I had a pretty good downpour with some wind here too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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