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August 2022


Rtd208
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12z Euro continuing with the record 100° heat potential for Thursday. Then a slow moving cold front from Friday into the weekend. Impressive mid 70s dewpoints  pooling near a stalled out frontal zone. So at least part of the region could pick up some heavy convection day 5-10 as Canadian high pressure pushes up against the Bermuda high.

 

5EBBE76A-DFEE-4444-B75D-FFD4252E8A30.thumb.png.073bdb5bd7a5467e79b24e532952c5c5.png

5EAE7296-4A27-4434-A2C7-F581A70EDCC6.thumb.png.ef9ae2fb152df8d38f803fa4f7c0863e.png

637AEB48-3080-46B2-B66D-44DBF543CB19.thumb.png.7d78662482700033cd9cea5dc6a67a99.png

A22A310C-594F-4438-A766-0AD8883CD159.gif.dacf4ddd4b9342aa5ba70b87a3fdc9db.gif

 

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2 minutes ago, bluewave said:

12z Euro continuing with the record 100° heat potential for Thursday. Then a slow moving cold front from Friday into the weekend. Impressive mid 70s dewpoints  pooling near a stalled out frontal zone. So at least part of the region could pick up some heavy convection day 5-10 as the Bermuda high duels with the Canadian high. 

 

5EBBE76A-DFEE-4444-B75D-FFD4252E8A30.thumb.png.073bdb5bd7a5467e79b24e532952c5c5.png

5EAE7296-4A27-4434-A2C7-F581A70EDCC6.thumb.png.ef9ae2fb152df8d38f803fa4f7c0863e.png

637AEB48-3080-46B2-B66D-44DBF543CB19.thumb.png.7d78662482700033cd9cea5dc6a67a99.png

A22A310C-594F-4438-A766-0AD8883CD159.gif.dacf4ddd4b9342aa5ba70b87a3fdc9db.gif

 

We may finally get our much needed rain. It would be funny if we go from to dry to, to wet in short order. Eventually the pendulum has to swing the other way.

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19 minutes ago, Rtd208 said:

We may finally get our much needed rain. It would be funny if we go from to dry to, to wet in short order. Eventually the pendulum has to swing the other way.

It will be interesting to see if we can eventually get a tropical system like we did in 1999 after the hot and dry July that year. 
 

 

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4 hours ago, winterwx21 said:

RGEM is closer to just a quarter inch for most of the area. Maybe some of the other models will be right about getting more significant rain, but I'm not getting hopes up too high.

Might be one of those situations where the rains weaken as they move in. Even .25 or something will be better then nothing 

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3 hours ago, Allsnow said:

Might be one of those situations where the rains weaken as they move in. Even .25 or something will be better then nothing 

Precip amounts with this system so far have been generally less than 0.10” in PA except for higher amounts in southern PA and places to the S&W of the Harrisburg area.

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Morning thoughts…

Clouds and showers will slowly give way to sunshine. High temperatures will reach the upper 70s and lower 80s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 79°

Newark: 84°

Philadelphia: 86°

Hot air will return tomorrow.

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 84.7°; 15-Year: 85.6°

Newark: 30-Year: 86.3°; 15-Year: 87.5°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 87.3°; 15-Year: 88.0°

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July ended at  79.5[+2.0].

The first 8 days of August are averaging  84degs.(75/93) or +7.           Solar Summer ends August 08----it started May 08.

Big change around the 13th?---till the 18th maybe.      Talk about Dry............Dallas working on day 59 with no rain.        That too may change around the 13th.

Average date for the first named Hurricane of the season is August 11............we could easily miss that date.

Reached 83 here yesterday.

Today:   76-81, wind e. to n. to w., rain ending by 10am, clearing late.

69*(97%RH), light rain, here at 7am.         73* at Noon.       75* most of the afternoon.        Reached 78* at 7:30pm with the late clearing skies.        72* at 9pm.

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.13” at the wantagh meso. The south shore loves to drought in the summer. Even mature trees are starting to drop leaves. If we do not get anything soon trees will start to die. Which happened in 1998? The year with the sunrise fires. A beautiful grove of 100’+ tulip trees died in a preserve near wantagh high school. They could be seen for miles around as they were the tallest trees on the south shore by far. 

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