dryslot Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 6 minutes ago, JC-CT said: It's a substantial improvement over 12z. Like, for everyone. Bumped .30" from 12z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 This has always looked like a total beast aloft for SNE since early in the week. It’s just that bizarre convective train going fishing in George’s Bank decided to show up late last night/today on guidance. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 I live in the NYC subforum. Only going to get 3 to 6 inches down my way. I ALMOST took an airbnb tonight thru Monday in Wayland MA specifically to be up there for the storm. I wound up not doing it as I hemmed and hawed. Anyway, I'll be living vicariously through you guys on this one. GL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 2 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said: All models have had a tough time with this one… fyp 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 I just realized I never made a call. Let me have a few cocktails first. 4 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 13 minutes ago, TheSnowman said: Wait - RAY IS BULLISH AGAIN?? OFF of What?? He talked to Harvey. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 That met Mixmaster Magic Mike called this earlier . What a win 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: This has always looked like a total beast aloft for SNE since early in the week. It’s just that bizarre convective train going fishing in George’s Bank decided to show up late last night/today on guidance. I honestly believe it wont be like that.. This is going to be a beast for most Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 13 minutes ago, JC-CT said: It's a substantial improvement over 12z. Like, for everyone. The conservative tick west by the Euro should be extended and enhanced by upcoming models. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: This has always looked like a total beast aloft for SNE since early in the week. It’s just that bizarre convective train going fishing in George’s Bank decided to show up late last night/today on guidance. Such a strange evolution. I'm placing my bet that the upper levels win the day. If not, we can cancel the rest of winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I just realized I never made a call. Let me have a few cocktails first. Let’s see a call playboy 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 1 minute ago, Patrick-02540 said: The conservative tick west by the Euro should be extended and enhanced by upcoming models. Why lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 15 minutes ago, TheSnowman said: Wait - RAY IS BULLISH AGAIN?? OFF of What?? You should try to hook up with your buddy Cantore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I just realized I never made a call. Let me have a few cocktails first. And weed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 55 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Most difficult forecast I have ever observed in multiple decades of following winter weather. Anyway, here is my view on the impending Blizzard (hopefully, maybe) of '22. For in depth look at why this forecast is so excruciatingly, if the event that you have a rather keen interest in watching paint try, have read for a glimpse into my rationale. Otherwise, should be firing up around midnight from south to north, and going (hopefully) strong throughout the day tomorrow before winding down Saturday evening. If this comes together as is should/could, it has the potential to deposit snowfall rivaling that of the Blizzard of 1978, however, confidence in an outcome of that magnitude is tempered by some odd phenomenon going on offshore (see blog). Infrastructure is likely to be paralyzed tomorrow, unless I am somewhat delusional, which is a possibility. Now time to sleep for about 12 hours- https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/.../blizzard-of... @Damage In Tolland Thanks for the heads up on the map mistake, fixed that missed range...also changed Berks from 4-8 to 5-10" 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 10 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Good think Kevin and I have matching hair styles. Mimicking your elders? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 It's hard to look at this and hate what it shows for east of a BDL/ORH/GYX line. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 6 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: fyp FYC… Sorry I see what you did there to my post. FV3 has had the toughest time… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 3 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Why lol Because the euro makes small jumps and clown shows like the NAM make large jumps…we’ll go with that 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Cute Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 11 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: PLEASE let those Kutchera ratios be correct. BOX AFD discussion said they could be as high as 20-25 to 1 in bands, so clown maps could be understated for once in their life. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 24 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Yeah storm on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: My beard is grey It's not that often that your locale and mine are both looking good in a snowstorm. Enjoy the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Great Euro run. 965mb just off the Cape. By the way this run brings snow to every place in New England. From the SW corner of Connecticut to Caribou Maine. Not one person sees a flip or a mix. When was the last time that happened? What a frickin ride this week. Off to bed so I can wake up early. Thanks to all the great analysis. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Because the euro makes small jumps and clown shows like the NAM make large jumps…we’ll go with that That's exactly my thought. Sorry of if I was unclear. Bring on the clown show!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: This has always looked like a total beast aloft for SNE since early in the week. It’s just that bizarre convective train going fishing in George’s Bank decided to show up late last night/today on guidance. The Euro has zeroed in on BOS metro and south for days and days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Just now, 78Blizzard said: BOX AFD discussion said they could be as high as 20-25 to 1 in bands, so clown maps could be understated for once in their life. I’m still skeptical on that. It would need to really be the perfect conditions. 12-15 to 1 is a more reasonable expectation and you still get a dumping of snow with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: It's hard to look at this and hate what it shows for east of a BDL/ORH/GYX line. Bald and beers are beautiful 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Dryslot Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 If the SPC mesoanalysis maps are to be believed, when comparing actual hour 0 to the latest RAP initialization, the RAP initialized with the SLP 2mb weaker and with a slightly broader trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 24 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro coming back and both HRRR/RAP trending better....this one's gonna be a beast. we wait for the Arpege to confirm. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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