Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[STILL N OF PIKE]

9 minutes ago, dan11295 said:

IMHO I am surprised BOX upped the amounts with the models all starting to agree on the dual low setup which could threw a wrench in this a bit, especially in NW zones (SE MA still looks good for a pounding). I fully expect the Euro to come down a notch as well.

75-80% of time outlets are higher than what falls 

The public doesn’t complain when 20 “ is forecast And 10” falls but if 10” is forecast and 20” falls..well that’s worse and that’s true 

they tend to highlight the higher impact option in their forecast totals imo 

[TalcottWx]

17 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

Trend today so far has been away from the monster event, IMO. Or at least narrowing the range of the best totals. Still a great storm. 

We need less awful posts like this. 

[DomNH]

9 minutes ago, Mj-pvd said:

Going to be a mess in providence and Boston tomorrow.  Grocery stores in providence look like black Friday at Best Buy. 

Nashua last night wasn't any better. People are dopes. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Just now, dryslot said:

Not everyone is seeing historic.

Shocking 

[dryslot]

Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Shocking 

It will be for the ones that thinks its going to be.

[MarkO]

3 minutes ago, mattm4242 said:

WBZ finally expanded their 18-28 zone.

NGroton in the bullseye. Can't wait for Ray to be ordering me Shirly Temples all night.

[JC-CT]

10 minutes ago, Cold Miser said:

Not sure.  Why would they?

they wouldn't be

[NeonPeon]

27 minutes ago, RI Rob said:

Solid map. 

I'd love that, I just ... I've seen things. I don't know if I can ever learn to love again.

[PhineasC]

2 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said:

We need less awful posts like this. 

Try not being high like 24/7 dude? 

[JC-CT]

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Not everyone is seeing historic.

but everyone is living though history

[Damage In Tolland]

[wxeyeNH]

People know Im into weather up here at Newfound Lake.  Been getting messages and texts all day.  I see this as no big deal.  3-6"ish.  We are on the edge anyhow and downsloping off the Whites kills us.  Only caveat is would we be in a deformation zone?

[Great Snow 1717]

2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

75-80% of time outlets are higher than what falls 

The public doesn’t complain when 20 “ is forecast And 10” falls but if 10” is forecast and 20” falls..well that’s worse and that’s true 

they tend to highlight the higher impact option in their forecast totals imo 

..at least that percentage ......and 100% correct when a forecast is on the low side...

[TalcottWx]

Just now, PhineasC said:

Try not being high like 24/7 dude? 

Maybe take a seat in the back of the room? Harvey Leonard who is a literally the best New England forecaster alive has comparisons to the worst blizzard in New England's history, right now. You've lived here for how long? You're posting garbage and it's resulting in more garbage. You should know better. How many years you been on this forum? 

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, PhineasC said:

I can't not be a troll 24/7 dude

FYP.  

[OceanStWx]

3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

75-80% of time outlets are higher than what falls 

The public doesn’t complain when 20 “ is forecast And 10” falls but if 10” is forecast and 20” falls..well that’s worse and that’s true 

they tend to highlight the higher impact option in their forecast totals imo 

Whether intentional or not, we (NWS) tend to focus on the maximum amounts and be too broad with those amounts than realty. But it’s also nearly impossible to forecast the location and intensity of a band even at this range.

[DavisStraight]

7 minutes ago, amarshall said:

I couldn't be more dead center in that bullseye 

You and Scott should crush it.

[PhineasC]

Just now, DotRat_Wx said:

Maybe take a seat in the back of the room? Harvey Leonard who is a literally the best New England forecaster alive has comparisons to the worst blizzard in New England's history, right now. You've lived here for how long? You're posting garbage and it's resulting in more garbage. You should know better. How many years you been on this forum? 

I don’t watch the TV weather man, but not sure why you are jumpy enough to let some rando on a weather board referencing precip maps spook you? Trust in Harvey or whatever. 

[Zeus]

3 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

Try not being high like 24/7 dude? 

I believe that to broker such a deal, you might need to, in return, ease off predictions of rain each day in that there Hundred Acre Wood.

[bristolri_wx]

1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

FYP.  

FYC

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said:

Maybe take a seat in the back of the room? Harvey Leonard who is a literally the best New England forecaster alive has comparisons to the worst blizzard in New England's history, right now. You've lived here for how long? You're posting garbage and it's resulting in more garbage. You should know better. How many years you been on this forum? 

His statement wasn't false....12z guidance has definitely toned down a little bit.

[TalcottWx]

Just now, PhineasC said:

I don’t watch the TV weather man, but not sure why you are jumpy enough to let some rando on a weather board referencing precip maps spook you? Trust in Harvey or whatever. 

Please move back to DC. 

[HimoorWx]

9 minutes ago, amarshall said:

I couldn't be more dead center in that bullseye 

I just snuck in to the northwestern edge of 24-30 when no one was looking.

[TalcottWx]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

His statement wasn't false....12z guidance has definitely toned down a little bit.

You see a scenario where this isn't a historic storm for a lot of people in Eastern MA? Because I don't 

[PhineasC]

2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

FYP.  

LOL what I posted originally was completely tame and true to the model output. SE MA clearly on edge due to the latest runs. Sheesh. 

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, DotRat_Wx said:

You see a scenario where this isn't a historic storm for a lot of people in Eastern MA? Because I don't 

We are only talking about E MA now?

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

His statement wasn't false....12z guidance has definitely toned down a little bit.

people who refuse to look at model guidance are great. but people who refuse to let other people look at model guidance are gold.

[JC-CT]

Just now, DotRat_Wx said:

You see a scenario where this isn't a historic storm for a lot of people in Eastern MA? Because I don't 

historic for Eastern MA <> historic storm. Many mid-tier nesis storms were historic for some localized area. the storms of lore are big for many.

[EastonSN+]

Not Happy!

 

 

[MarkO]

1 minute ago, DotRat_Wx said:

Please move back to DC. 

Am I going to have to separate you two? One more word and I'll send you both to your bedrooms. No building bunkbeds, no activities, and I don't care if it's shark week.