Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[SlantStickers Anonymous]

3 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Imagine if non-weather people could just observe us over the last 3 days

Involuntary commitment all around. Told my wife I may need to be given the Old Yeller treatment if she starts hearing more of the words "east trend." 

[cut]

6 minutes ago, Spaizzo said:

Further than that because southern nee haven county is considered yankee still. We are rarely blacked out for the yanks in favor of the Sox… 

Sox fan here. I have always sort of felt more of the 'tri-state' vibe than a New England vibe here near Bridgeport.

[PhineasC]

“Still a couple inches for the cape” coming by 00z? Wheels clearly coming off now. 

[jayyy]

Just popped in to give my condolences for the 30” of digital snow porn the NAM Euro ICON and RGEM just took away. 
 

But hey, at least you’re not in the mid Atlantic. 

[Wonkis]

Meanwhile, somewhere in the Atlantic

[JC-CT]

Just now, Hoth said:

Lol, 1 mm? What is this, a blizzard for ants?

i mean, the frame before is actually probably slightly better for you...but not much. You'd get about 10mm total through 84 and it's pretty much done for you at that point.

[moneypitmike]

12 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

If this ends up going east that's going to be absolute, total, 100000% cringe-worthy bull****. It will be catastrophic garbage. Only positive is all this time spent on this means time closer to May 1st. but this is bull****

I think this is Wiz's first winter melt.  Welcome to the club.

8 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

It the NAM scenario holds for the rest of the suite, TWC is also going to have a lot of egg on their face after hyping this all day today.

Not just them.  A whole bunch of people will.  Lots of 'boy who cried wolf' scenarios.

[Damage In Tolland]

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/01/first-call-for-potential-weekend.html

Took a lot of balls for me to hedge this strongly right now, but 'alas....

Ray.. I think that map is perfect .. and likely very close to final reality . Rare we agree . Do ce do your partners 

[EastonSN+]

7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/01/first-call-for-potential-weekend.html

Took a lot of balls for me to hedge this strongly right now, but 'alas....

Dear lord I hope.

[Hoth]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

i mean, the frame before is actually probably slightly better for you...but not much. You'd get about 10mm total through 84 and it's pretty much done for you at that point.

I'm good. If it doesn't snow, I won't care about it melting next week.

[JC-CT]

i'm looking forward to improvements at 0z, just to come to the realization by 12z tomorrow that 0z was a burp cycle

[LSC97wxnut]

12 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Both said the same thing!

I thought Jack used it after an Ozzie Smith home run?

[JC-CT]

Just now, Hoth said:

I'm good. If it doesn't snow, I won't care about it melting next week.

i said that 2 days ago lol

[weatherwiz]

10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/01/first-call-for-potential-weekend.html

Took a lot of balls for me to hedge this strongly right now, but 'alas....

Great stuff and write-up Ray (as per the usual). We share the same thinking for the most part.

[78Blizzard]

Might be good to have some Crown handy if you're going to be on here tonight.

[Patrick-02540]

13 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

It the NAM scenario holds for the rest of the suite, TWC is also going to have a lot of egg on their face after hyping this all day today.

Where they gonna send Cantore if the NAM verifies?

[Allsnow]

Just now, Patrick-02540 said:

Where they gonna send Cantore if the NAM verifies?

Obx 

[weatherwiz]

Bruins play at 10:00 tonight...all the reason to stay up for the NAM/GFS...or try too. I miss the days of staying up for the 0z runs

[snowgeek]

Where they gonna send Cantore if the NAM verifies?

A boat on the benchmark.


.

[The 4 Seasons]

11 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said:

The NAM is just about guaranteed to show a monster hit for all of SNE and near complete whiff in the next 84 hours.

Right.

[Brian5671]

Just now, weatherwiz said:

Bruins play at 10:00 tonight...all the reason to stay up for the NAM/GFS...or try too. I miss the days of staying up for the 0z runs

I stopped doing that years ago-need my sleep-just log on here first thing in the morning and read 5 posts and that's enough to tell where it's going lol

[wxsniss]

9 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Me too for my non weenie friends.   I’m a little reluctant to make any changes until the full 0z runs.

Same. A number of coworkers/friends/family counting on my forecasts.

For now, we hold.

Some are too quick to forget: 12z NAM 6 hrs ago was a huge hit. 12z Euro/GFS (more reliable than NAM at this range) were big hits for SNE. No overreactions and we wait at least until 0z for more clarity.

[Patrick-02540]

13 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Imagine if non-weather people could just observe us over the last 3 days

Usually I say it in response to something my wife has done, but it holds up well here.  "If aliens came to Earth and saw us doing this, what would they think?  For sure, they'd turn around."

[weatherwiz]

Just now, Brian5671 said:

I stopped doing that years ago-need my sleep-just log on here first thing in the morning and read 5 posts and that's enough to tell where it's going lol

I have zero energy for that anymore. It blows. 

[Patrick-02540]

10 minutes ago, cut said:

Sox fan here. I have always sort of felt more of the 'tri-state' vibe than a New England vibe here near Bridgeport.

For sure.  You can jump a train in the 'Port and be in the city in 35 minutes.  To Boston, probably takes 2.5 hours.  That's one of the main drivers of a demographic's metro allegiance. 

[MJO812]

Maybe this is the period where the models lose the storm and then bring it back later.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Just now, MJO812 said:

Maybe this is the period where the models lose the storm and then bring it back later.

Little late for that my man 

[TheSnowman]

Wait wait wait Waaaait.  

 

You guys have been hyping this up to be like the grand puba's of 2005, 2013, 2015.... and I NEED TO GET HOME.....

 

And I'm projected to be 9"-16"????  With confidence Getting Lower by the run?  Baaahahaha.  OK.  I'll be in LA.  

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

I’m a little shook,  not going to lie. A clear east trend on all 18z guidance so far, what new data could they have?

[OrangeCTWX]

18z GFS initialized. Not even sure I want it to, I’m not in the mood to be let down anymore lol.