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January 16-17, 2022 MLK storm obs/now cast


George BM
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Just now, Bob Chill said:

Looks like peeps to the SW either hit "their bar" or overperformed. Will that trait with this storm suddenly vanish on our doorstep? Doubt it. 

My wild ass guess call 2 days ago was 3-4". Started doubting it but still feel good. Me thinks you hit double digits before the curtains close at 5k'. 

Hope you can hang on to ground temps as long as possible once we switch. Same hope here.

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3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Looks like peeps to the SW either hit "their bar" or overperformed. Will that trait with this storm suddenly vanish on our doorstep? Doubt it. 

My wild ass guess call 2 days ago was 3-4". Started doubting it but still feel good. Me thinks you hit double digits before the curtains close at 5k'. 

Not funny to mess with our emotions like that lol. My bar is set at 4" here. Anything additional is just a bonus.

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5 minutes ago, RDM said:
  1. Just came out at 13:02 EST  from NWS - KLWX

https://www.weather.gov/lwx/winter

 

DCZ001-MDZ005-006-008-011-503>508-VAZ052>055-502-506-170215-
/O.CON.KLWX.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-220117T0600Z/
District of Columbia-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Cecil-
Southern Baltimore-Northwest Montgomery-
Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard-
Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford-
Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax-
Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-Southern Fauquier-
Eastern Loudoun-
102 PM EST Sun Jan 16 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
MONDAY...
* WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches
with locally higher amounts around 6 inches possible and ice
accumulations of around one tenth of an inch. Winds gusting as
high as 45 mph.
* WHERE...Portions of The District of Columbia, central, north
central, northeast and northern Maryland and northern Virginia.
* WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 1 AM EST Monday.
* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Slow down and use caution while traveling.
When venturing outside, watch your first few steps taken on
steps, sidewalks, and driveways, which could be icy and slippery,
increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

&&

Up those snow totals! Over performer incoming. Going to be a great afternoon…

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5 minutes ago, nj2va said:

this aged well.

Flake size increased the last 10 mins.  Mod snow.  Measuring will be impossible with the wind.  

That traffic cam out of McHenry shows the wind!  Whipping snow across the lake.  Great mountain storm...enjoy.

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9 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Hope you can hang on to ground temps as long as possible once we switch. Same hope here.

For MBY, this storm feels like an unexpected bonus check. I never really got seriously invested because these types of deals absolutely LOVE to slip away. It did start doing that yesterday but felt really good this AM when I checked all the data. 

Imho (subjective topic) this storm is 3 for 3 for my yard. All 3 did pretty much everything they could to ensure I got "acceptable" outcomes. This has been a very friendly period. Could continue easily too. We are a persistence wx location 

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1 minute ago, poolz1 said:

That traffic cam out of McHenry shows the wind!  Whipping snow across the lake.  Great mountain storm...enjoy.

Yeah, LWX mentioned blizzard conditions at times in the warning text out here - I believe it for sure.  I’m hoping you stay snow for longer too…NAM sht the bed yesterday for sure.  

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Just now, Weather Will said:

This may be only game in town this week, Euro went poof this run for next weekend’s storm.

Next weekend has been on and off in unrealistically long models for weeks.

It wants to snow. This isn't the winter for 7 day lock ins. This is January of snow. 

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