SabreAce33

If I'm reading 18z GFS ZR maps on pivotal right, that's close to half an inch of freezing rain in a band from Cecil County through Harford and Baltimore, down into Howard and Montgomery Counties (also further inland in Carroll/Frederick). I know consensus is still missing so we're still low confidence, but the GFS really does not want to budge. I'm sure there are some considerations around using the "ice clown maps" to gauge real world impact as with snow (and I'd love to hear more about them from red taggers or others knowledgeable), but yikes, no thanks.

Freezing rain in Bel Air, 29/27.

Sleet now in Bel Air, 28/26.

Cold hanging on here in Bel Air, 25/22. Moderate snow.

First flakes in Bel Air. 28/21

More dry slot probably means less rain. EDIT: NorthArlington101 beat me to it.

Slow cooker chicken mole underway at 25/17 here in Bel Air, hopefully the snow will be soon as well.

Bob's on the money, no surprise. I'll be checking in every day or two and not sweating it. The overall pattern is better than we've seen in a long while and I'm happy to be patient and wait for the stars (or jet ) to align in our favor. I honestly expected nothing more than a couple of small events this year given the La Nina, so I'm happy with whatever comes and pleasantly surprised we got some decent snow already.

Moderate to heavy snow now in Bel Air, cars already covered, sidewalks caving. 31 degrees.

Still virga here in Bel Air.

It's about what I have in Bel Air South presently FWIW.

37/28 here in Bel Air, light mixed precip.

@litigator01 totally admire the spunk, but know that we're deeply superstitious about these things. Particularly in this winter of marginal airmasses and fickle suppression trends where 50 miles and a handful of hours makes all the difference.

A nine post user started the thread....may the weenie gods have mercy on us all.

Liking the trends today, but wary of the gradual reversal that set in as we approached showtime over the last couple of storms.

Climo doing the climo thing in December. Shocked The 12z varsity op runs will be telling. Good luck everyone.

27/24 in Bel Air, moderate to heavy snow, pretty fluffy stuff from the looks of things, somewhere between 2-3 inches.

Heavy snow in Bel Air, 29/22.

29/18 in Bel Air. RH at 56%.

37/13 here just E of Bel Air. Wind NNW 9 MPH.

Ripping here in Bel Air right now. Probably best rates of the day. Got to imagine we'll get the warm nose before too long?

Don't worry, I'll always love you

Snow TV here in Bel Air for my first storm after moving off the Eastern Shore; maybe 3 on the ground per the old Mk. I eyeball. Light, but steady fluffy flakes, very pleasant.

Dry slot blues here in SBY. Occasional light/moderate snow or drizzle.

SBY looks to be riding the figurative boundary for quite a lot of this storm, given the warm nose. It's going to be one of those boom or bust scenarios where 30 miles makes all the difference in the world.