Damage In Tolland Posted October 27, 2021 Share Posted October 27, 2021 That cold first 10 days of November vanished faster than Pickles undies on Dilf night. Persistent Gulf of Alaska trough stuck there thru Mid Nov. All Pacific air behind fronts 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 27, 2021 Share Posted October 27, 2021 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: That cold first 10 days of November vanished faster than Pickles undies on Dilf night. Persistent Gulf of Alaska trough stuck there thru Mid Nov. All Pacific air behind fronts Really ... nah - I see a teleconnector signaled, trend-footed confidence scenario for a "seasonal cold" wave - meaning ...nothing extraordinary, no. But pervasive sub 540 hydrostatic thickness, under a generally moderate +PNAP flow structure that pervades the continent, from ~ Nov 2nd through the 9th. Of course, that's going by the tenor of the operational GFS, combine with the telecon from the GEFs system - still... I don't find these sources, in that time range, to necessarily be auto- less reliable than the EPS cluster. I guess we'll see. But ...you know? part of the problem is that we are 'extraordinary event' saturated to the point where we don't see the middling 'normal' departures as readily. It's sort of conditioning us to collectively even inadvertently miss if not ignore them, altogether. Case in point: Imagine a scenario where there are three distinct winter events in a 10-day period. One is 3-5" with a big scale -up potential, one is 3-5 but is sketchy, but the D7 one is a historic blizzard. The first one verifies 4.5" ... while the D7/8 comes in modeled even more terrifying catastrophic.. The, the next sketchy one does surprisingly well, but by shadow of the looming ( now ) D6 cryo-bomb, does anyone even know it is snowing? Then, the big dawg busts. What do you think the opinion of those 10 days will be, when in fact ... 9 or 10" is a 7 to 10 day +snow anomaly? This is the life as weather chart over-stimulated storm junkies - not a very good or realistic perspective. I mean I'm not saying this is you .. I'm speaking the straw American weather site - ..Something like that and over-numbing may not be seeing this cool down in early November ( and this is in spirit been consistent for several consecutive cycles of the GFS) - and again.. fits the erstwhile PNA/NAO ... even hints in some Euro runs for -EPO 'blip' but cross that bridge: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 27, 2021 Share Posted October 27, 2021 Yeah... I think I'm good and ready for this Nor'easter to trundle its way out into its death smear across the norther Atlantic and good riddance. After awhile with these things ... I tend to get storm fatigue. Almost "modeling and following the f'er ad nauseam" fatigue, is more like it. I just get to a point, sometimes even before they happen where it is 'enough is enough' already. How many different model renditions of the same event does one need to field. Particularly when we all know it will strike one or two communities while sparing the rest of us a pedestrian ordeal. It's like a state Lotto ... If you are that lucky town, you won that storms drawing. And its like somehow by escape into the model triggered re-imagined reality, we up our chances of picking the right numbers on our tickets. So, most don't win.... But, because we risk "hurting the storms" feelings, during cancel-culture, or risk getting black-listed in the weather-social-media's equivalence to the House on being Un-American Activities Committee or something... the storm gets to be an all-timer. Gosh forbid one ever is - ..who's gonna know it? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 27, 2021 Share Posted October 27, 2021 Saturday as low topped coastal superell/TOR potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted October 27, 2021 Share Posted October 27, 2021 47 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Saturday as low topped coastal superell/TOR potential I wonder why nationally October has been such an active tornado month relative to last spring and summer? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 27, 2021 Share Posted October 27, 2021 5 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: I wonder why nationally October has been such an active tornado month relative to last spring and summer? We've had some pretty impressive systems digging into the West with unseasonably warm/moist conditions from the central U.S to the East. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 28, 2021 Share Posted October 28, 2021 8 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: Yeah... I think I'm good and ready for this Nor'easter to trundle its way out into its death smear across the norther Atlantic and good riddance. After awhile with these things ... I tend to get storm fatigue. Almost "modeling and following the f'er ad nauseam" fatigue, is more like it. I just get to a point, sometimes even before they happen where it is 'enough is enough' already. How many different model renditions of the same event does one need to field. Particularly when we all know it will strike one or two communities while sparing the rest of us a pedestrian ordeal. It's like a state Lotto ... If you are that lucky town, you won that storms drawing. And its like somehow by escape into the model triggered re-imagined reality, we up our chances of picking the right numbers on our tickets. So, most don't win.... But, because we risk "hurting the storms" feelings, during cancel-culture, or risk getting black-listed in the weather-social-media's equivalence to the House on being Un-American Activities Committee or something... the storm gets to be an all-timer. Gosh forbid one ever is - ..who's gonna know it? 500k people without power in Mass Lol more than 1 or 2 communities. I swear you might possibly live in the most boring spot for exciting weather in New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted October 28, 2021 Share Posted October 28, 2021 Chilly out. Down to 33. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 28, 2021 Share Posted October 28, 2021 12 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: That cold first 10 days of November vanished faster than Pickles undies on Dilf night. Persistent Gulf of Alaska trough stuck there thru Mid Nov. All Pacific air behind fronts Lay off the beers kid. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 28, 2021 Share Posted October 28, 2021 1-2" coming Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted October 28, 2021 Share Posted October 28, 2021 First region-wide freeze looking possible end of next week/weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted October 28, 2021 Share Posted October 28, 2021 11 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: 500k people without power in Mass Lol more than 1 or 2 communities. I swear you might possibly live in the most boring spot for exciting weather in New England. It's probably more like 1 million, or 1.5 million people since customers represent households. "Particularly when we all know it will strike one or two communities while sparing the rest of us a pedestrian ordeal." That's one way to downplay impacts that don't affect one's backyard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 28, 2021 Share Posted October 28, 2021 24 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: First region-wide freeze looking possible end of next week/weekend. It’s about time, I still have cherry tomatoes, cosmos and morning glories growing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2021 Share Posted October 28, 2021 First mention of snow in my P/C forecast, And so it begins. Saturday A chance of rain showers before 9am, then a chance of rain and snow showers between 9am and 10am, then rain showers after 10am. High near 50. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Little or no snow accumulation expected. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 28, 2021 Share Posted October 28, 2021 1 hour ago, dryslot said: First mention of snow in my P/C forecast, And so it begins. Saturday A chance of rain showers before 9am, then a chance of rain and snow showers between 9am and 10am, then rain showers after 10am. High near 50. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Little or no snow accumulation expected. I like the avatar-where is that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2021 Share Posted October 28, 2021 1 minute ago, weathafella said: I like the avatar-where is that? Snowmobile trail ITS 89 over by Jackman. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted October 28, 2021 Share Posted October 28, 2021 2 hours ago, dryslot said: First mention of snow in my P/C forecast, And so it begins. Saturday A chance of rain showers before 9am, then a chance of rain and snow showers between 9am and 10am, then rain showers after 10am. High near 50. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Little or no snow accumulation expected. I've got to finish winterizing the boat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2021 Share Posted October 28, 2021 4 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: I've got to finish winterizing the boat. Good luck, You're going to get your rain wish saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 28, 2021 Share Posted October 28, 2021 25 minutes ago, dryslot said: Snowmobile trail ITS 89 over by Jackman. Used to ride there a lot in the early 90’s. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2021 Share Posted October 28, 2021 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Used to ride there a lot in the early 90’s. Its my go too now, First tracks out is the best. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 28, 2021 Share Posted October 28, 2021 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Snowmobile trail ITS 89 over by Jackman. Nice! I can be there in 4-5 hours although probably add an hour for lower speeds on winding 2 lane roads.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2021 Share Posted October 28, 2021 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: Nice! I can be there in 4-5 hours although probably add an hour for lower speeds on winding 2 lane roads.. It would be on RTE 201 off of 495, Come Jan-Feb there are sections like a wash board with the frost so yeah it will rattle your teeth ha ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 28, 2021 Share Posted October 28, 2021 19 minutes ago, dryslot said: It would be on RTE 201 off of 495, Come Jan-Feb there are sections like a wash board with the frost so yeah it will rattle your teeth ha ha. When I’d head up from here, I’d get off 95 at the 201 interchange exit, and go through Skowhegan. Very hairy road for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2021 Share Posted October 28, 2021 6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: When I’d head up from here, I’d get off 95 at the 201 interchange exit, and go through Skowhegan. Very hairy road for sure. Yeah its 95 once you get to thru here and its the Fairfield/Skow exit 133 to hit 201. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted October 28, 2021 Share Posted October 28, 2021 3 hours ago, dryslot said: Yeah its 95 once you get to thru here and its the Fairfield/Skow exit 133 to hit 201. Once you're out of the built-up section of Skowhegan one can roll, slowing for Solon/Bingham and the nasty curves just north of the latter. The road north of there grows some frost heaves as winter goes on but the log trucks run 70+ if the pavement isn't icy. Some truth in the joke about the PQ driver stopped for speeding on the interstate south of WVL. "But officer, the sign says 95 and I was only 5 mph over." After being instructed that it was a route number not a speed limit, he added, "I'm sure glad you didn't catch me on 201!" 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 29, 2021 Share Posted October 29, 2021 Kcef down to 31 we freeze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted October 29, 2021 Share Posted October 29, 2021 3 hours ago, ineedsnow said: Kcef down to 31 we freeze Got stuck at 33* and fog here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted October 29, 2021 Share Posted October 29, 2021 got down to 29, lowest temp since april 22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 29, 2021 Share Posted October 29, 2021 MEH 43F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HimoorWx Posted October 29, 2021 Share Posted October 29, 2021 Got down to 38. First 30s of the season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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