SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021

[SRRTA22]

Those storms have frequent lightning with it I can see them from here

[stemwinder]

Been watching another blob which is gonna hit the Princeton W Windsor area soon.  We aren't done this evening.

[Poker2015]

We had hail earlier tonight, about penny size it looked like...only for a couple minutes though...

.67 in of rain

My in laws in town had a tree get struck by lightning in their backyard too.

 

That storm to my east has some crazy lightning.

 

[winterwx21]

28 minutes ago, Rtd208 said:

Storms look like they are continuing to redevelop over Morris, Somerset, Union and Middlesex Counties.

Yeah, getting hit with another one right now. Lots of lightning along with the heavy rain too.

[Rtd208]

Getting hammered here, heavy rain, alot of thunder and lightning. 

[Stormlover74]

7 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Yeah, getting hit with another one right now. Lots of lightning along with the heavy rain too.

And there's another batch forming to the west 

[Rtd208]

Absolute deluge here.

[Rtd208]

Picked up 1.01" of rain so far today with more to come.

[ForestHillWx]

The lightening is awesome. Line is just south of me. Better than fireworks. 

[chrisNJ]

1.61” today before the current downpour here in Somerset County. Third separate Severe Tstorm warning since 630-7pm. 

[Poker2015]

6 minutes ago, chrisNJ said:

1.61” today before the current downpour here in Somerset County. Third separate Severe Tstorm warning since 630-7pm. 

What a night...hail, wind, over and inch of rain, constant thunder and lightning...looks like Round Valley didn't screw it up for our area tonight

[doncat]

Yeah have had 1.04" since the initial line fizzled.

[Intensewind002]

I swear ne nj is like a severe t storm/heavy rain hot spot. You guys over there have probably gotten more lightning today than i've had in the past few years

[TriPol]

Mets game has been canceled.

[Neblizzard]

Kenilworth NJ getting rocked for the 3rd time today . I haven’t seen lightning this bad in years 

[SnoSki14]

Lightning is constant. Ended up being a nice event.

[chrisNJ]

17 minutes ago, Poker2015 said:

What a night...hail, wind, over and inch of rain, constant thunder and lightning...looks like Round Valley didn't screw it up for our area tonight

Over 2” here but not sure how accurate my “Accurite” is. It’s typically close to surrounding stations. 

[doncat]

Over 2" now also here on si.

[stemwinder]

25 minutes ago, Intensewind002 said:

I swear ne nj is like a severe t storm/heavy rain hot spot. You guys over there have probably gotten more lightning today than i've had in the past few years

I grew up in Jersey City, near Bayonne, and I can vouch for that.  A lot of CG, and a lot of hail.

Tonight we are all getting shellacked, however.

[SRRTA22]

18 minutes ago, stemwinder said:

I grew up in Jersey City, near Bayonne, and I can vouch for that.  A lot of CG, and a lot of hail.

Tonight we are all getting shellacked, however.

I live in that area. I haven't seen hail today nor tonight. Though alot of wind damage 

[LIWeatherGuy29]

43 minutes ago, Intensewind002 said:

I swear ne nj is like a severe t storm/heavy rain hot spot. You guys over there have probably gotten more lightning today than i've had in the past few years

I've been watching storms on radar for over 20 years and that area in NJ often gets the strongest thunderstorms before they weaken. Storms will almost always weaken before hitting Southwest Nassau County or miss me completely. The better area for Thunderstorms in Nassau County is the north shore such as Port Washington, Westbury through Garden City.

[psv88]

Just now, LIWeatherGuy29 said:

I've been watching storms on radar for over 20 years and that area in NJ often gets the strongest thunderstorms before they weaken. Storms will almost always weaken before hitting Southwest Nassau County or miss me completely. The better area for Thunderstorms in Nassau County is the north shore such as Port Washington, Westbury through Garden City.

Your area is awful for all types of weather

[doncat]

2.17" here....Peak rain rate was 8.45".

[SRRTA22]

1 minute ago, LIWeatherGuy29 said:

I've been watching storms on radar for over 20 years and that area in NJ often gets the strongest thunderstorms before they weaken. Storms will almost always weaken before hitting Southwest Nassau County or miss me completely. The better area for Thunderstorms in Nassau County is the north shore such as Port Washington, Westbury through Garden City.

Union county always gets the goods. Hudson county is usually the graveyard for svr wx. Most of us always do well with storms coming from the NW. Storms moving from the south usually produce for us as well

[LIWeatherGuy29]

2 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Your area is awful for all types of weather

Very true... Same issue with Snowstorms

[SnowGoose69]

I was in Merrick and it was gusting 45-55 for what seemed like 7-10 minutes 

[LIWeatherGuy29]

13 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

I was in Merrick and it was gusting 45-55 for what seemed like 7-10 minutes 

Looked like that here in Lynbrook today.

[wdrag]

Well that was a bigger day than I imagined but in a way not a great surprise given the NW flow case. Attached  a few rainfall amounts, max wind gusts and LSR's.

Wed afternoon: could be another pretty BIG day... my guess is axised more I78-I84 region including w LI.  Instability large. Wind fields 5 kt less and slightly more west to east. Max point rainfall tomorrow may be close to 3".  Today had at least a couple over 2" (pls see examples attached),.

Thu afternoon: Could see newd moving SVR across NJ/NYS.

Early Fri: ELSA impact, could be 2-54 RAIN w Wind gusts 40 kt E LI and s NJ.

Figuring max point rainfall between today's rain and ELSA's ending midday Fri and the Wed-The SVR potential... iso 4.5-6", especially CT.

 

 

 

 

[Franklin0529]

In Monmouth county.  No power since 9pm.  Nasty storms for atleast 2 hrs. 

[STORMANLI]

Ended up with 0.56"

Still seeing DSNT LTGIC S-SW