Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,502
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Weathernoob335
    Newest Member
    Weathernoob335
    Joined

February 7th Storm Threat Discussion/Obs


mappy
 Share

Recommended Posts

1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said:

This isn't even in the same stratosphere as the last system. Evolution and moisture transport are totally different. Upper levels are different. This will come down to rates and evap cooling of the lowest 3000' in the boundary layer. Baltimore still looks good, but areas west of I-83 need to watch for anymore NW trend. 

Not saying the genesis of the storms are similar at all - just noting the similarities in trends. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

The watch can be issued prior to fine tuning the grids. I personally don't like doing that, but I think they want to get the word out quickly and then shape up the grids to accurately portray what they are thinking right now. 

Yup makes sense.  Looks like they wanted to be sure and then just pulled the trigger after coordinating with surrounding WFOs. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, MDRandy said:

Another win for the Euro by the way. The GFS has had as much success at long-range forecasting as the Buccaneers are going to have slowing down the Chiefs offense on Sunday. 

Probably best not to declare any model a winner until after the threat happens. ;) 

  • Thanks 2
  • Haha 1
  • Weenie 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

20 minutes ago, MDRandy said:

Just like last week when model consensus at this time consistently showed double digit totals up and down 95. 

This is a completely different system.  We don't have a low to our west driving north of our latitude with a transfer to the coast.

eta:  Just saw your post, but my point, which you get, was that your not comparing apples to apples.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

This is a completely different system.  We don't have a low to our west driving north of our latitude with a transfer to the coast.

eta:  Just saw your post, but my point, which you get, was that your not comparing apples to apples.

Do you think there will be enough blocking to prevent further NW trends? Just curious. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

40 minutes ago, MDRandy said:

One more tick NW - probably tonight or tomorrow - and the 95 corridor is just a rain/snow mix. This looks like a 81 corridor special 

I dont think so.. I mean I guess anything is possible.. but when we saw the jackpot in VA tidewater we knew that we were sitting in the perfect spot... its only about 36 hours from the onset.. the track is fairly locked in at this point.

  • Weenie 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

Could we possibly get our 3rd 6"+ storm of the season?  I've never personally seen more than 3 in a season before. Would enter rarified air, with the rest of the season to bag  historic #4.

I'd like my first 6" storm of the season. In fact, I'd like at least 6" total, given that I'm at 5.5". Let's woo away any more NW jogs in this thing and keep it where its at. Those people up in PA have already had enough snow already. :D

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • WxUSAF unpinned and pinned this topic
  • WxUSAF unpinned this topic

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...