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WxUSAF

January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)

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Just now, BristowWx said:

RIC with the flops and tree budding weather on the UKIE.  Damn.  

Right lol...nice to know we could either be in the 60s with our flops on or in the 20s with snow shovels...

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10 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said:

Farther N, but not as bad as the crazy 00z run

North of the CMC???  I honestly thought that cmc run was eye opening bad in how far north it was. Kinda hoped that would be an extreme outlier. 

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Just now, Baltimorewx said:

Right lol...nice to know we could either be in the 60s with our flops on or in the 20s with snow shovels...

Gradient patterns will do that. Like PSU has been saying, where's the cold tho? In any normal winter the gradient with that look would be 60s to the South and upper single digits/teens not too far N.

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1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

North of the CMC???  I honestly thought that cmc run was eye opening bad in how far north it was. Kinda hoped that would be an extreme outlier. 

It was somehow even further north than that at 00z.

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if the euro goes north today....it needs to do that at 00z to get worried. SO far we cant get a model to show the same thing twice 2 runs in a row

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2 minutes ago, Ji said:

if the euro goes north today....it needs to do that at 00z to get worried. SO far we cant get a model to show the same thing twice 2 runs in a row

If you ignored the gfs the cmc and euro were pretty consistent for several runs until today 

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4 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

So far so good on the Euro

looks north/warmer compared to 12z yesterday 

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it is snowing at 120. Lets see if it stops gaining latitude. Looks juicy though

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Just now, stormtracker said:

heavy snow at 126

we got plenty of time to get it track back south but not far south. 

  • Weenie 2

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132 is dry slot/wintry mix. we just need it 50-100 miles more south to be "safe". congrats psu

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3 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

thumpage? before rain...prateptype_cat_ecmwf.conus.png

That's a strong ass primary trying to drive into that block. Banana high over top of it at the surface . 

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