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About usedtobe

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    Dunkirk, Maryland

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  1. usedtobe

    July Discobs Thread

    Starting Saturday morning These are my COCORAHS reports Sunday morning 7.20 Monday Morning 5.08 Tuesday morning 1.50 Wednesday morning 2.77. My 4 day total was 16.55" The heaviest 4 day stretch I can recall at my house.
  2. usedtobe

    July Banter Thread

    I haven't been around lately but still love you guys. Wildfire Today has a cool video of a fire tornado transitioning to a waterspout. Jebman, sorry about your dad. http://wildfiretoday.com/2018/07/16/fire-whirl-or-waterspout-or-fire-tornado/
  3. usedtobe

    March 20/21 STORM Obs/Discussion- No Banter

    My next door neighbor measure just over 7"
  4. usedtobe

    March Banter

    Gosh, I feel like complaining. I hate the time change. Waiting and extra hour for the models to runn is a wasted hour....especially if I want to go fishing. I'm not rooting for the March 22 storm.
  5. usedtobe

    March 11-12 Potential Storm

    The 12 Ukie is horrible. What a shift from 24 hours ago. Looks like it wouldn't give us any precip.
  6. usedtobe

    March 11-12 Potential Storm

    we just need the low over the upper low not to stall and actually shift a couple of degrees latitude closer to Nova Scotia. It's the reason why out storm moves east too much before turning. As you say, we don't need a huge change but we do need that feature to get a little out of the way.
  7. usedtobe

    March 11-12 Potential Storm

    I worry that the vortex now over the northeast may be just a little too far west to allow our shortwave room to come north and its proximity is what ends up shearing our trough a little too much to get the bext precip to us.
  8. usedtobe

    March 11-12 Potential Storm

    Randy, is this feeling like the MLK storm of yesteryear?
  9. usedtobe

    PD3.5 Lite Obs and Nowcasting

    Grass, mulch and car top has caved. Deck starting to go and I'm seeing a little snow starting to stick to the edge of the driveway. 34 degrees with moderate snow, solid moderate.
  10. usedtobe

    PD3.5 Lite Obs and Nowcasting

    I like it. I don't see DC getting any accumulations except maybe a dusting on mulch. Not sure 35 degrees and 0.40 or so precip will do much.
  11. usedtobe

    PD3.5 Lite Obs and Nowcasting

    That was a much different storm. It had a really strong southern system and had a 50 50 low to help lock in the cold air. There never really were any question concerning ptype for DC.
  12. usedtobe

    PD3.5 Lite Obs and Nowcasting

    That's why I think our CWG forecasts are more likely to bust low than high as I don't trust the NAm amounts and because of that don't trust the temps. hope I'm wrong.
  13. usedtobe

    PD3.5 Lite Obs and Nowcasting

    Thanks, I've never liked the snow products that much as too many people seem to get stoked on the amounts where the real way of figuring snowfall accumulations is to look at sounding as also at the ground and near surface temps. In this case none of them argue for high ratios and there are big questions about how quickly the temps aloft will warm up.
  14. usedtobe

    PD3.5 Lite Obs and Nowcasting

    I'm not sure some of the snow maps use algorithms that look at the full depth fo the soundings. The WxBell ones are usualy way overdone in my region unless I've got an arctic airmass in place. This is a case where the accumulated snow depth shoulld be way better than the WxBell produce though it could fail in an S+ band with temps at the surface a tad above freezing.