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Active mid December with multiple event potential


Typhoon Tip
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7 minutes ago, ice1972 said:

The valley isn't always a death sentence.....if the death band rolls over the valley the valley will do well.....we got 30" in Feb 2013

Also, I don't think the wind direction is very favorable for valley shadow or downsloping. what would get us is any subsidence if we are on wrong end of the band.

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22 minutes ago, PWMan said:

Funny thing is that 3 or 4 days ago I would've been very happy with 2-4 inches. But once those bigger totals are shown and you see that warning color on the map there's no going back - feels like a screw job.

I always felt like a high end advisory was our upside here given the pattern, so I never really bought our 8-9” forecast. :o

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5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I am a bit concerned down here though about busting too high. I also find it quite intriguing there is such an intense fronto band shown without the pleasure of a more compact closed H7 low but the profile certainly favors it

I don’t think the subby zones will be that drastic. Like 2-3”/hr in band vs .5-1”/hr in ‘subby’. We’ll be aight.

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