Rjay Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 9 minutes ago, Rjay said: Light snow. In Massapequa 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 .2 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Nothing on the euro for the 17th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Byrdhousebv Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Mood flakes in eastern Monmouth County....they're working! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 2 minutes ago, David-LI said: Nothing on the euro for the 17th 8 days aways Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Turn out to be a nice snowy day here 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Snow started around 11-11:30AM here in Jersey City, coming down decently here and there. Nice dusting on grassy areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 light snow in yonkers, not sticking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 11 minutes ago, JoshSnow said: Wrong Virga? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 8 minutes ago, bluewave said: We kept the pattern going. No snow the rest of the month? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 3 minutes ago, Allsnow said: No snow the rest of the month? Nice signal for a coastal on the GEPS and EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 On 12/7/2020 at 8:45 AM, North and West said: Pretty, but I'm thinking of the flood potential and wet basement looking at that. There was definitely that potential, but we had a slow meltout right through the first days of March. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 6 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: There was definitely that potential, but we had a slow meltout right through the first days of March. Lucked out-a couple cutters with temps in the 50's would have been a disaster of epic proportions 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 53 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Turn out to be a nice snowy day here Picked up a half inch of snow here, and a beautiful postcard scene with the wet snow coating the trees. A nice surprise today. I knew we'd see snow showers today, but wasn't expecting this much accumulation. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Vortex split on the Euro according to Webb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Still a few mood flakes falling; 1" on the slate patio. Roads were treated; watched them drive by twice. Road crews must be pumped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Nice to see that snow for 90mins. Only CMC has (7") here on the 17th, everything else seems zippo throughout their durations. This includes the ensembles. Everybody In the Pool!(outdoors) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 29 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Vortex split on the Euro according to Webb That doesn’t look like a true vortex split, the model shows something, then backs off, shows something then backs off. I hope this doesn’t turn into yet another winter of chasing phantom “vortex splits” and SSWEs from now until March.... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 5 minutes ago, snowman19 said: That doesn’t look like a true vortex split, the model shows something, then backs off, shows something then backs off. I hope this doesn’t turn into yet another winter of chasing phantom “vortex splits” and SSWEs from now until March.... it certainly is a a full split 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 MILLER B EVENT SEEMS LIKELY DEC 16 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 1 hour ago, DTWXRISK said: MILLER B EVENT SEEMS LIKELY DEC 16 What is the MJO forecasted a week from now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Fun little storm to set the mood for the holidays. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 9, 2020 Author Share Posted December 9, 2020 Looks like Newark was the big local ASOS winner. SNOWFALL (IN) TODAY 0.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 3 hours ago, Snowlover11 said: light snow in yonkers, not sticking. The heaviest snow went south of us...We just never had that intensity in southern westchester 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Good lord the 18z GEFS are drool worthy lol! What a ridge bridge 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 @bluewave niño look coming back on the ensembles 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Milder air is now poised to move into the region. The remainder of the week will feature above normal to perhaps some much above normal temperatures. Somewhat cooler air could return to the region after next weekend. A sustained warmer pattern could develop toward the winter solstice. The closing 10 days of December could wind up generally warmer than normal. The EPS weeklies and new subseasonal guidance are in strong agreement that the last week of December will likely be warmer than normal. The latest CFSv2 weekly guidance favors much warmer than normal readings. Historic experience following exceptionally warm November cases suggests that a warmer than normal December remains the base case. Almost 90% of cases with a November mean temperature of 51.5° or above in Central Park (2020 saw the temperature average a record 52.9° in November) went on to record a warmer than normal December and just over three-quarters of such cases saw December register a monthly mean temperature of 40.0° or above. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -1.1°C for the week centered around December 2. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.77°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -1.35°C. La Niña conditions will likely prevail at least through the winter. The SOI was +5.29. Today, the preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was -0.913. On December 8 the MJO was in Phase 5 at an amplitude of 0.901 (RMM). The December 7-adjusted amplitude was 0.678. Based on the latest guidance, no significant stratospheric warming event is likely through the first half of December. Since 1950, there have been five cases where a La Niña developed during June-July-August or afterward following an El Niño winter. 4/5 (80%) of those cases saw a predominant EPO+/AO+ winter pattern. The most recent such case was 2016-17. 10/11 (91%) of the La Niña winters that followed an El Niño winter featured a predominantly positive EPO. A predominant EPO+/AO+ pattern is very likely for winter 2020-21. It is likely that the Middle Atlantic and southern New England areas will see a warmer than normal winter with below normal snowfall. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 73% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal December. December will likely finish with a mean temperature near 40.0°. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Took this at a red light on the way to work this morning 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Picked up 1" today. Still a few very light flurries blowing through. 30° 2.5" for the season so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 1 hour ago, Rjay said: Took this at a red light on the way to work this morning Red Sky in morning - Sailor's take warning ! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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