TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 25 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: EPS says to keep en eye out, but I admit...my gut says probably misses SE. Like I said yesterday, and not even trolling, these threats this winter have gone the opposite of whatever way we need them to go. It’s just the reality of the situation. Sunday would have been a half decent setup, but of course, after one good run, it’s gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 2 hours ago, Spanks45 said: and just like that the Sunday "storm" vanished....Might be time to pack it up for us south of Hartford, maybe closer to 84, just doesn't look like much for us down here. I'm sure some scraps here and there, but nothing to get very excited about from this point on. Nah... the ICON and GGEM both brought that back pretty coherently in their respective runs so it's solidly got good modeling integrity and the outlook is hugely intact - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 For anyone looking for something to latch onto that surely won’t fail... the icon at 12z had some semblance of the weekend deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 25 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: For anyone looking for something to latch onto that surely won’t fail... the icon at 12z had some semblance of the weekend deal Anddddddd predictably it vanished at 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Ryan has 50 and rain next week. All this BS talk of pattern looks great after this week. So bad 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ryan has 50 and rain next week. All this BS talk of pattern looks great after this week. So bad No one said that. Just embrace the suck. We’re almost done. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 4 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: No one said that. Just embrace the suck. We’re almost done. are we still thinking 2/15 and March for winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 12 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: are we still thinking 2/15 and March for winter? Don't get sucked in. Its not happening. I have been grasping each week at... " it will change in a week ". I am done. At least next winter cant be worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 10 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Don't get sucked in. Its not happening. I have been grasping each week at... " it will change in a week ". I am done. At least next winter cant be worse. Oh it can...lol 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Never say never. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 55 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: No one said that. Just embrace the suck. We’re almost done. Yes that was certainly mentioned. There was lots and of talk of favorable pattern after this week. I never bought it as I thought the whole month was shot, but those posts are there if you look 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yes that was certainly mentioned. There was lots and of talk of favorable pattern after this week. I never bought it as I thought the whole month was shot, but those posts are there if you look I saw lots of posts about how it looks improved, but we’re still prone to cutters. We ride the line. Gradient pattern. SWFEs and cutters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 8 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: I saw lots of posts about how it looks improved, but we’re still prone to cutters. We ride the line. Gradient pattern. SWFEs and cutters. There were those too. But some mets said after this week was favorable 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 40 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: There were those too. But some mets said after this week was favorable No! You’re such a spinner. They said the pattern improves some; cold would be close. And we’re gonna ride the line...and just maybe we get lucky. That’s what was said. You are the Biggest Wishcaster in here. The way it’s gone so far...I didn’t put any faith in that idea, it’s just not our year in SNE. But no MET said favorable in the way you are trying to make it look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 7 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: No! You’re such a spinner. They said the pattern improves some; cold would be close. And we’re gonna ride the line...and just maybe we get lucky. That’s what was said. You are the Biggest Wishcaster in here. The way it’s gone so far...I didn’t put any faith in that idea, it’s just not our year in SNE. But no MET said favorable in the way you are trying to make it look. Get a grip and read 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 1 hour ago, NorEastermass128 said: I saw lots of posts about how it looks improved, but we’re still prone to cutters. We ride the line. Gradient pattern. SWFEs and cutters. If we thread the needle. Possible front end thump. If this if that. Never looked good... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Get a grip and read That’s funny...cuz that’s Exactly what you need to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 4 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: I mean we'll find most years post ... ~ Feb 10.. the slope of season recovery starts - 2015 is about the greatest polar exception as is physically plausible, and it happened.. but by and large, Feb 10+ is about big bombs with intervening sun eating snow banks back... OR, no bombs, and the sun eating snow banks back. Either way, the pack retention curve isn't enthusiast's friend. The solar nadir ends on the 10th and streets start steaming when the snow ends prior to noon and the sun comes out. I always thought of Feb as kind of the antithesis of Augie ... same deal though. You can be in the thick of the seasonal weeds, but there are subtleties in either that betray the faltering ... It matters because June 15 won't be very different than August 15.. .but August 15 can be very different than Sept 21...particularly if we're frosting early. Feb can be powder 'cane on the 20th but be weird 80 F on March 15 like three weeks later. You're not going to get that between Dec 15 and Feb 15 Oh wait ... not supposed to anyway - Sure but a -nao ala Mar 18 could give us a couple weeks of fun. I just don’t see it as every good look past d10 has morphed into rubbish found at the bottom of kitchen sinks. We’ll probably get lucky at some point, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 17 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Sure but a -nao ala Mar 18 could give us a couple weeks of fun. I just don’t see it as every good look past d10 has morphed into rubbish found at the bottom of kitchen sinks. We’ll probably get lucky at some point, right? Gefs have looked a bit better the past couple of runs past day 10, especially out toward days 13-16...I know it's the GEFS, but they are eroding the -pna in the long range...salvage a couple of weeks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 5 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: Oh that's still in the cards for March Prolly be an east-baster just for the impudent implicit idea that -NAO means good for us.. but -NAO of some kind that doesn't snow but f-up the entire April-May part of MLB is a slam dunk - But beyond sarcasm and grousing, there are larger conceptual reasons to look for that. Hopefully they fail I sense an extreme reversal of the record breaking +AO/NAO pattern. Extreme flips are the new normal. Expect a few snowy nor'easters and bitterly cold temps for March. Enjoy! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 9 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: I sense an extreme reversal of the record breaking +AO/NAO pattern. Extreme flips are the new normal. Expect a few snowy nor'easters and bitterly cold temps for March. Enjoy! I can't wait for the 6SD -NAO/-AO in May. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 1 hour ago, dendrite said: I can't wait for the 6SD -NAO/-AO in May. I wonder how folks down there would cope with sheet drizzle and temps in the 40's? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 4 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Sure but a -nao ala Mar 18 could give us a couple weeks of fun. I just don’t see it as every good look past d10 has morphed into rubbish found at the bottom of kitchen sinks. We’ll probably get lucky at some point, right? Well, I don't see same type of mechanism that we has in '18...no. But we'll sew if we can muster something up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 My stuff isn't perfect, but sometimes the math does work. You can predict the winter NAO tendencies pretty well using a regression of Sept-Mar and May-Apr. The February values are probably going to verify pretty well too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 8 minutes ago, raindancewx said: My stuff isn't perfect, but sometimes the math does work. You can predict the winter NAO tendencies pretty well using a regression of Sept-Mar and May-Apr. The February values are probably going to verify pretty well too. Yea, that -.20 figure for March seems reasonable to me...I don't see anything to indicate an extreme period of NAO, like 2018, but you don't necessarily need that for some nice events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 How we looking for Thursday? Rain day right? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Weekend wave vanished Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Euro creates a black hole off the coast of Greenland. About the only interesting thing to look at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 8 hours ago, dryslot said: I wonder how folks down there would cope with sheet drizzle and temps in the 40's? Probably just fine. They do it all winter . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Can something actually work out for once. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now