Greg Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 We'll here's to hoping this is the farthest north in track these models get and then at 0Z tonight start going SE again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 hour ago, dendrite said: Saved to the weenie folder with all of the other failed NAM images over the years. You must have a hell of a lot of storage space Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 16 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: For Jerry....to satisfy his RPM fetish now that we're getting inside 48h. Congrats on a foot. Thanks Will! We take! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 hour ago, dendrite said: Saved to the weenie folder with all of the other failed NAM images over the years. Meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: Thanks Will! We take! Will knows he’s now obligated to post the hourly update each hour until tomorrow night now, right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Starting to think this goes over to zr after 4 to 6 inches of snow upper levels are really warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 You guys can ride the RPM, I like the RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 I've been looking at the models all day to consider this zr versus ip battle. The line of freezing rain should be really, really slim. Considering that, and movement of the sleet line overall, I think any damage due to icing will be minimal, and very isolated. I think everyone pounds sleet. It has that skinny warm layer and then it's a complete freezer to the surface. No doubt should be majority sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Now that's some bizarre shit right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: You guys can ride the RPM, I like the RGEM All of these shorter term models are hammering NE MA down to BOS even. of course moreso places like Methuen and Wilmington etc. But I think we're seeing a fairly decent signal here of a lot what Will and other red taggers have flagged. This sleet line makes significant progress, but it sure looks like it hits an absolute wall near the pike. If we toss the global thermals, replace with meso thermals, pretty much exactly what some have laid out here in the past few days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, sbos_wx said: I've been looking at the models all day to consider this zr versus ip battle. The line of freezing rain should be really, really slim. Considering that, and movement of the sleet line overall, I think any damage due to icing will be minimal, and very isolated. I think everyone pounds sleet. It has that skinny warm layer and then it's a complete freezer to the surface. No doubt should be majority sleet. Sleet is just useless. WPC has bullseye of 70> or greater shot at a foot from SW Vermont up to killington E to Squam lakes NH then S down east of Mt monadanock back west to SW VT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 6 minutes ago, powderfreak said: You guys can ride the RPM, I like the RGEM Not buying this crap, especially all that subsidence in NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 20 minutes ago, WxBlue said: This is actually pretty nice. Snow-to-liquid forecast from GYX. I love that.....does BOX have something like that? qpf on then NAM and GFS are really healthy. If only I could get some ratios with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 My goal is to get some OES CJ with IP. I want 1994. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Do we include euro with the mesos? If not why not? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, 78Blizzard said: Not buying this crap, especially all that subsidence. It’s showing up on models somewhat consistently one thing I noticed on 18z gfs , precip looked like it hit a wall of dry air over SW Maine and the area east of MHT to Concord a few hours longer holding off the thump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Sleet is just useless. WPC has bullseye of 70> or greater shot at a foot from SW Vermont up to killington E to Squam lakes NH then S down east of Mt monadanock back west to SW VT I will take sleet > rain a billion times out of ten. There is NOTHING more depressing than snow to plain rain. NOTHING. Divorce and death does suck though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, sbos_wx said: I will take snow > sleet a billion times out of ten. There is NOTHING more depressing than snow to plain rain. NOTHING. Divorce and death does suck though Oh agree frozen yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Oh agree frozen yes Love how I said snow > sleet instead of sleet > rain before I fixed it. My subconscious spoke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 21 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Dude ur icing Ya, question is....how bad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 I know it's difficult to do but could anyone possibly post the snowfall maps that the local mets have? Maybe not all of them but at least the big 3 (Harvey, Barry and Pete). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 8 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: It’s showing up on models somewhat consistently one thing I noticed on 18z gfs , precip looked like it hit a wall of dry air over SW Maine and the area east of MHT to Concord a few hours longer holding off the thump There has been a hole in that area of nh on several models for a couple days. wonder why Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: You're gonna get a total paint peeler in Tolland...after maybe 6" of snow. Bulletproof pack though. Willy do me do me 41.38 71.84 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Is this a repeat gtg when we got booted out of the room for hooting Barry’s 1-3? 8 verified btw. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 hour ago, dryslot said: First glance i saw positive depth charge................. Should say positive nuke charge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 13 minutes ago, weathafella said: Is this a repeat gtg when we got booted out of the room for hooting Barry’s 1-3? 8 verified btw. Lot is on the line w that initial thumpidy dumpidy if you toggle back on nam and gfs you can see that initial precip w the thump starts a couple hours later now of course these model observations are met w tantrums Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 I saw Ryan's thinking in CT regarding ZR and it seems like a good call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 6 minutes ago, Modfan said: I saw Ryan's thinking in CT regarding ZR and it seems like a good call. What was it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 35 minutes ago, weathafella said: Do we include euro with the mesos? If not why not? Euro isn't non-hydrostatic like a lot of the mesos. So while it has very good resolution, it handles convection differently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: What was it Pretty much an area from Putnam down to Ginx SW to Danbury area is a model blend; maybe .3-.6 accretion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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