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Amos83

December 8-10 Winter Storm Obs

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8 minutes ago, SnowDeac said:

Both the HRRR and RGEM show a decent burst for the SC midlands and SE NC tonight. Hope some our friends further south can sneak out a quick dusting/inch.

Can you post the HRRR and RGEM?  Thanks in advance!

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36 minutes ago, Solak said:

NWS RaleighVerified account @NWSRaleigh 1m1 minute ago

 
 

A light batch of mixed wintry precip may develop east of I-95 this evening. Amounts will be light, but even a light coating of snow/sleet on the roads can create travel difficulties. If traveling in this area this evening be alert for quickly changing road conditions. #ncwxDuFiHvxXgAEiIrz.jpg

Yeah hoping the last run of the HRRR is right gives us a inch or so and with temps getting below freezing that would probably stick fairly well....now I just need it to be a bit stronger than forecast if I can grab 2" tonight that would give us 6" total for the 2 systems and put us at 100% of average for the winter.....before winter even starts. 

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1 hour ago, gman said:

Local Mets saying future radar shows snow in the Upstate tonight around 9:00. Temps need to drop drastically for that to happen. 

Yeah, not going to happen. Not sure about column temps but surface is 37 here. Looks like a pretty big batch so could be a few inches if all snow, but I think all its gonna do is wash away the little remaining snow.:cry:

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52 minutes ago, Iceagewhereartthou said:

Yeah, not going to happen. Not sure about column temps but surface is 37 here. Looks like a pretty big batch so could be a few inches if all snow, but I think all its gonna do is wash away the little remaining snow.:cry:

Have some snow mixing in with the rain here currently and 36.5.....after a high of 42. Despite being totally saturated and having drizzle/heavy mist all day...Temp dropped 4 degrees in about an hour after the sun set and the precip that is originating upstairs actually started falling.  Temps at 950mb to the surface are as marginal as they can get here so doubt it does any more than this before it ends  but  I think a full changeover is possible over toward greenwood/columbia since it's slightly colder there just off the ground per 3km nam and hrrr (if it lasts long enough).  Been watching it all day but was scared to say anything out of jinxing it lol....sad. 

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Wow, checked radar again and that's it for me. It went from east to south on a dime. Some one could definitely score later tonight...won't be us though. This just wasn't our storm, but hopefully we'll get something a little better later on.

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6 minutes ago, Iceagewhereartthou said:

Wow, checked radar again and that's it for me. It went from east to south on a dime. Some one could definitely score later tonight...won't be us though. This just wasn't our storm, but hopefully we'll get something a little better later on.

Yea this one was a tough one to watch..glad I wasnt shut out completely but virtually no frozen stuff left..and its pouring

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21 minutes ago, Dunkman said:

That band is really picking up on radar hope it's snow for you guys!

Agreed, watching radar from ILM, the snow has been creeping south,, it's with-in 50 miles, of ILM.. Edit to add the radar returns are "blossoming" as it get closer to the coast.. 

35F DP of 31

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As of 915 PM Monday...

Yet another shortwave disturbance rotating through the base of the 
mid/upper trough in place across the SE US will bring one last 
brief bout of wintry precipitation to NC Sandhills and southern
coastal plain counties over the next 3 to 5 hours. 

Radar returns have really blossomed, within the developing mid-level 
deformation band setting across SE portions of the area. Snow is 
also now being reported by several metar sites in the area, along 
with a handful of public reports. Though it will brief, forcing will 
sufficiently strong to produce liquid equivalent amounts ranging 
from a few hundredths to a tenth of an inch, the highest amounts 
across Sampson, Wayne, and far eastern Cumberland counties through 
06z. Using a 5/6:1 snow liquid ratio, could see a stripe of a 
quarter(dusting) to half an inch of snow across those far SE 
counties. Shortly after 06z, precip will start to push east, and out 
of the area, as impressive low-level dry air advection spreads in 
from the west. 
     
For the remainder of the forecast area, cannot rule out flurries as 
far as west as Wake County, otherwise expect NW to SE clearing late 
tonight. 
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14 minutes ago, sctvman said:

Flurries showing up all over the Pee Dee and part of the Midlands. Including Hartsville. Dusting of snow there

 

 

Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

 

First flakes of the year for Columbia at both CUB and CAE. Also ground truth from Darlington which has 33 and -SN

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55 minutes ago, SENC said:

Agreed, watching radar from ILM, the snow has been creeping south,, it's with-in 50 miles, of ILM.. Edit to add the radar returns are "blossoming" as it get closer to the coast.. 

35F DP of 31

Precip seems to be moving east at a very slow crawl.

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rain mixed with big IP and mangled snowflakes...starting to see more mangled flakes so hopefully it switches over in the next hr, if we went all snow with how heavy the precip is I could see a quick 1-2" type event.....need it to switch soon though should end in 3-4 more hrs....

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Well now that it is officially over, I ended up with 3.32 in qpf total. Problem is the overwhelming majority of it was rain or sleet. This may be as close as I have come before on hitting the big one, a degree or so at the surface and a degree or so aloft and I’d be measuring in feet. All in all was a fun one to track though. 

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