PackGrad05

6Z GFS likes March 8 for some snow!

The end of the GFS wants to dump a lot of arctic air down onto the east coast.

The EPS and GEFS are showing snow for portions of central NC with the PD storm. EURO OP also shows it. GFS OP is a near miss. Interestingly, the GFS OP looks better in the longer range than it has with another 2-3 opportunities.

It isn't far at all. Need to watch afternoon ensemble runs.

February 18/19 has EPS and GEFS support. and EPS has some "noise" on a couple other events after that...

Still liking the look over next 7-14 days. I like the look of the storm for VD and for PD. Just need a little suppression and we are in business.

If you are basing your predictions on a each model run of the OP GFS, then you might as well just look at your apple weather app. The overall pattern over the next two weeks is as good as we can hope for. At least 2-4 storms rolling through the south and a chance to hook up with some cold air. The EPS looks the best it has looked this morning. GEFS coming on board as well.

18Z OP GFS looked nice to me. Plenty of chances to reel something in. EPS and ensembles still have noise, too.

Source? Link?

Pattern between 2/14 and 2/25 still looks really nice.

The 18Z GFS really looked nice. 3 storms with some cold air from February 14 onward. Suppressed for now for the last two.

12Z GFS still has good signal for 17-20 time period. EPS on board with noise around that time as well.

We are just now getting into range of the middle of February... and even that is still in fantasy land. I like the look of the long range.

February 15-17 looks decent.. Definitely has the split flow look.

the 18Z GFS was so close. The high pressure is less transient and the low was suppressed just enough.