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About SENC

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
  • Location:
    Carolina Beach
  1. APRIL 2018 OBS

    Just Shy of 3.75 total for this weeks lil rain shower(s).. Ground DID act like a sponge, soaking it up to the last drop.. Currently, Mostly clear.. 60/77 Low & high for today in the books.. DP of 57 Humidity @ 79%.. SSW Breeze 1-5 mph.. TramaDoc ask's What, no Johnny Mercer's? LOL NOPE not yet..... Next Closest One is the is down the beach from JMP... The Old Crystal Pier, Now known as the Oceanic "pier" & Restaurant http://www.surfchex.com/index.php
  2. APRIL 2018 OBS

    Ocean looks quite Angry this Morning! Just had a Wind gust at 46MPH.. Waves heights are breaking around 10 feet.. South to North "long shore current" is RIPPING! Live Cam of Muh "home Pier" if you wanna peek & watch the action.. http://www.surfchex.com/carolina-beach-web-cam.php
  3. APRIL 2018 OBS

    Good Morning.. From Carolina/Wilmington Beach this AM @8:04 AM Well looks like I was kinda wrong since 1:45AM.. VERY Heavy Rain, has fallen in the past 20 minutes.... About 3 Inches,, Gully washer type rainfall.. Temp currently; 61.98% humidity, 60.6 dew point, pressure 29.95 inches Winds ESE @ 25 MPH gusting to 36 MPH.. Looks & feels almost like a Tropical Storm outside ATM!
  4. APRIL 2018 OBS

    62/67(low & high).. Forecasted to be Again 59/69 Tomorrow... Overcast today, mostly, lotsa Sprinkles/light rain showers.. Don't think that 2~4 inches are going to Materialize by tomorrow afternoon.. 10 Day Temp forecast has Us at Low Mid 50's ~ barely cracking 70.... Until Maybe after Friday of next week.. Currently 62 Scattered Clouds 1400 ft Mostly Cloudy 2800 ft Overcast 4100 ft 96% Humidity 60.8 Dewpoint 0.17" in the Gauge so far @ 1:45 AM Pressure @ 30.09 inches Sea Surface Temps are now at 63.. BIG Chopper Blues are running the beach's;; As are Bonito,(Sarda sarda),, Great tasting Fish closely related to Tuna, NOT!!!! To be confused with the False Albacore. If this Wind Machine, (ever),, turns off here at the Coast so you can go out and catch some.. Winds are EAST at 20 MPH,,, gusting to 35mph... At least Were not suffering from Pollen Storms This spring!
  5. Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    KILM... Short term /Monday through Monday night/... as of 400 am Sunday...the time frame extending from the start of this period, 6am Mon, through Tuesday daylight morning, the local forecast area will see nearly a continuous shield of light to moderate stratiform type rains. Embedded in this shield of rainfall, will be a few thunderstorms. For the most part, the tstorm activity will occur over the Atlantic waters and given the trajectory of the swath of pcpn moving onshore, the coastal counties will be the 1st in line to experience a few of these storms. As the pcpn moves further inland, the lack of instability will keep tstorms from further developing or in this case, from progressing too far inland before it's demise. Models indicate an expansive area of strong uvvs across the forecast area and surroundings for a good 24 to 36 hrs. This a result of synoptic difluence aloft due to the positioning of the upper closed low as it moves from the lower Mississippi Valley Monday morning, to eastern Tennessee late Tue night before finally opening up to a S/W trof by Wed. Model soundings indicate 50+ kt east to southeast winds pumping in low level Atlantic moisture across the Carolinas. Gulf of Mexico moisture will have already been and continue to be tapped but by this time the main source will be Atlantic moisture. Forecast rainfall amounts during this 2 day period will range from 2 to 4 inches. Isolated higher amounts are possible mainly along the immediate coast due to the onshore movement of any convection before dying out as it pushes further inland into a more stable atm in the low levels. This modest rainfall amounts over a 2 day period will be extremely beneficial to farmers and local growers. Crops, plants, trees and etc, will literally act like sponges and absorb this water. And given the 2 day period of these rains, we do not expect high runoff problems.
  6. Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    SUMMARY...A marginal tornado/wind damage threat is expected across parts of southern Alabama, the Florida Panhandle and far southwestern Georgia this afternoon. The threats are not currently expected to be great enough to warrant watch issuance. DISCUSSION...Latest surface analysis shows a 1010 mb low across southern Mississippi with backed southeast flow across much of southern Alabama, southwestern Georgia and the Florida Panhandle. Surface dewpoints in these areas are in the mid to upper 60s F and the RAP is estimating SBCAPE values in the 750 to 1500 J/kg range. In addition, the Fort Rucker, Alabama WSR-88D VWP shows a curved hodograph with 0-3 km storm relative helicity around 300 m2/s2. This suggests that the stronger discrete cells will rotate and could have a marginal tornado and/or wind damage threat. In spite of this, a large area of cloudiness and rainfall is present from the Florida Panhandle northward across much of Alabama. This should limit any further destabilization and should keep any severe threat marginal this afternoon. Nevertheless, we will continue to closely monitor the situation.
  7. APRIL 2018 OBS

    58/66 Today, ^^^^ What Yotaman said.. as of 3:22 PM
  8. APRIL 2018 OBS

    44/64 (todays high) Actually, it is 59 on the Beach ATM.. Winds are 15~20 MPH outta the NE. Dew point 40.3, 50% Humidity..
  9. 2018 Banter Thread

    Decided to put this in Banter, instead of the Long Term Disco.. Does this bear Watching & recording? Year without a summer? Per Se?????? Well; I actually mean, a COOL summer? at least until Mid~Late June? In science terms... Are we entering, a Maunder Minimum? Re: Low to No Sunspots, & Solar Minimum(s)??? Since the Topic: is Long range/Term Discussion... WHAT IF: We are entering a period of a "Solar Minimum"? I'm asking a very HONEST & Valid question... In all my 55 years on this Rocky Ball, I cannot remember *EVER* cool temps like this.. This Late for SouthEastern N.C. ALWAYS,,,,, BY THIS date, APRIL 20TH, I'm FISHING,, OCEAN CREST PIER , (Oak Island) and We are catching KING Mackerel & Spanish.(On or about this Date for years!, ).. (Since I stared King fishing in the Early-Mid70's),,, Yet the water temp, (even there)is 58~59 today.. Kings & Spanish preferred temps are 68 & above.. So a HONEST question.. What does the Long Term look like beyond 10 days? We have temps forecasted here in SENC, not even breaking 70 till next Sunday.. (10 Day) forecast. Are We entering a Solar Minimum? I ask because there are "numerous" Science articles out there like this one from 2017.. Solar Minimum is coming.. https://science.nasa.gov/science-news/news-articles/solar-minimum-is-coming How would/Will this affect OUR Long Term Weather outlook this Summer/Year? Sorry Mods.. I'm HONESTLY asking for a reasonable answer/discussion..
  10. Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    Solar Minimum?
  11. APRIL 2018 OBS

    46/59 here on the beach's
  12. 2018 Banter Thread

    ^^^ As in Calm Days, fair Skies & cool temps? (all summer)?
  13. Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    This "False Spring" is something ehh? At least I'm keeping the Electric bill to almost Nil... Sea surface Temp is stuck at 60... Mucho delaying the "spring" fish run down here.. Were Usually catching Spanish Mackerel by now... Or Sea Mullet.. No signs of either Species of Fish... except waaaaay down south, like in Florida.. Not supposed to get above 70 all this week here on the Beach's
  14. Apr 15 2018 severe weather thread

    VERY heavy rain & pea sized Hail, as this initial Squall moving through..
  15. Apr 15 2018 severe weather thread

    Jesus, sounds almost like a TS~Approaching hurricane outside,, Winds are just,, whats the word??? Ripping?