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1900hurricane posted a topic in Tropical HeadquartersIt has been a somewhat slow Western Pacific Typhoon Season so far this year. The season started late in July, only four or five (depending on your choice in agency) typhoons have been observed so far, and ACE still remains a fair bit below 100*10^4 kt^2. Things may be changing though, especially with La Nina struggling to develop. At the time of this original post, Tropical Storm Meranti has just developed, and it may go on to be a very powerful typhoon. WV loop above will continue to update and stay current.
Jebman posted a topic in Weather Forecasting and DiscussionI don't see any discussion about Hagupit. Thats TWO big typhoons in a row in two years in the same region! Anyone on this board live near where hagupit hit? Did Josh chase the storm? This is THE Premier meteorological board on the Net. I expect full, in-depth coverage of Hagupit. C'mon meteorologists! Get with the Program! Let's see some discussion of this storm! The folks in the Philippines are fighting for their very lives! Some of them were STILL living in tents from last year's typhoon when Ruby struck!
I might as well start this thread since someone has just broached the taboo on starting tropical threads under names other than Josh's or Adam's. Peak season is some months away, but past experience shows that neutral-warm ENSO years with a slow-moving MJO centered in this region can often produce some of the most intense storms. I think we will see at least four +140-kt cyclones with a tendency to track more to the NE this year, i.e. toward the Ryukyus and Japanese islands, as in 2004. Thoughts?