Jump to content

FallsLake

Members
  • Content count

    5,901
  • Joined

  • Last visited

About FallsLake

  • Birthday 11/14/1965

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KRDU
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    20 mi N of Raleigh NC
  • Interests
    Maps & weather

Recent Profile Visitors

3,334 profile views
  1. FallsLake

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    If we actually get the cold the models have been advertising, I think suppression will happen and eastern snow will occur. Again, it's been some time since the Coastal Plain folks (especial south of Rocky Mount) have scored anything.
  2. FallsLake

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Tropical Tidbits is my favorite: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models Select Global models to see the FV3-GFS
  3. FallsLake

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Too bad RDU folks can't take the FV3 to the bank. Foot+ snows next weekend, followed by a small mixed precip system a few days later, then a major sleet fest at day 14. That would personally push this winter to an A.
  4. FallsLake

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    18z 3K NAM does show light spotty freezing rain/drizzle over NE Ga, Up state, into west and central NC. A couple of things that can make this worse than normal; we've had some really cold temps (surface/pavement temps are cold) and it would be coming early in the morning (no sun and then rush hour).
  5. FallsLake

    2019 Banter Thread

    Great game! I would love to see Brady win one more.
  6. FallsLake

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    A storm like this may not be modeled correctly right up to go time.
  7. FallsLake

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    They switched to a point of the FV3 is now showing a nice storm and the GFS not. But the FV3 still had the storm signal at 0z. This would be nice for the folks down east in SC and NC.
  8. FallsLake

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    As others have stated, we're not going to get a good model read on the sensible weather past 7 days. Indices are good for something to occur for the next two weeks. That's all we have at this point. I wouldn't be surprised to see another huge storm at 12z for the day 9/10(or 11...) period just to have it disappear at 18z (or vise versa). PNA - Stays positive until the LR, then it goes neutral; which others have stated could signify a whole continental trough. NAO - Looks to average negative AO - Looks to go and stay strongly negative https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/teleconnections.shtml
  9. FallsLake

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    And in a non-storm situation (...March 1980 had temps fall into the single digits during the day). I know there has been sunny days with highs in the teens, but single digits I don't know.
  10. FallsLake

    January 2019 Observations

    37 in Boone. One of the first times I’ve wished for the temp to go up. It was still below freezing late last night with snow still on the roads. I have to drive a trailer full of furniture to two different locations this morning.
  11. FallsLake

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Just read RAH discussion. As of last night they are siding with the euro’s more north track. But they did mention the GFS and of course this discussion was before the 6z came out. So hopfully the euro corrects south today.
  12. FallsLake

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Did other models show it? Asking because. I’m in Boone visiting family and haven’t been able to check model runs to well on my phone.
  13. FallsLake

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Problem with the 6z GFS is it doesn’t have support from other models and the event is close at 6/7 days out. Other models would need to trend quickly today for this to be “real” or I would sucspect the 12z GFS is going to go back north.
  14. FallsLake

    January 2019 Observations

    Pouring the snow right now. Close to an inch on the ground. In Boone right now visiting family
  15. FallsLake

    Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent

    I keep saying this, but you guys are due. I actually think this is the perfect "forecasted" pattern to give coastal areas snow. Strong blocking with strong highs that can suppress the storm track way south. Then when something does pop, you guys snow. **also if it gets cold enough, it would be cool to see bay effect snow again.
×