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About FallsLake

  • Birthday 11/14/1965

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
  • Gender
  • Location:
    20 mi N of Raleigh NC
  • Interests
    Maps & weather

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  1. FallsLake

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Fall is normally beautiful here. If we're lucky we can get 4-6 weeks of open window weather.
  2. FallsLake

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    We do get a break this week. from RAH: .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 245 AM Monday... Much cooler and drier Wednesday through Friday, followed by a gradual warming trend over the weekend. High pressure is expected to extend into NC/SC from the north Wednesday through Friday. It will be much cooler and drier with very noticeable drops in both temperature and humidity expected. Sunny days and clear nights are forecast Wed-Fri, lows in the 50s. Highs in the mid 70s to around 80. The normally cool spots over the Piedmont will have some mid-upper 40s. The ridge aloft will build back into the region from the west over the weekend. This will allow the surface high to remain nearly stationary over our region Sat-Sun. A gradual warming trend will begin Saturday with highs in the 80s, after lows in the mid 50s to near 60. Highs Sunday should reach the upper 80s to around 90 with dry weather to continue. && **Those cooler spots are places like Sanford and Roxboro.
  3. FallsLake

    Sept 2019 Observations

    Definitely feel the difference this morning with the frontal passage. Cooler and overcast with a stiff NE wind. Still not the cool crisp dew points we're waiting for but a good break from the last couple of days.
  4. FallsLake

    Searching for Fall

    But, the models have been showing this in the LR for the last week or so. I'm afraid it'll just keep getting pushed back with each run. We've seen this before.
  5. FallsLake

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Yeah, we're already getting temps in 80s/60s while we're in a bad pattern. In July this would be at least 90s/70s. Last year we started to see some foggy nights in mid/late September. We kept the higher dew point, and with the longer nights allowed the air to saturate. Looks like we might see more foggy nights this year...
  6. FallsLake

    2019 Tropical Weather Discussion

    12 GFS still has the storm ~ Puerto Rico at day 7. Afterwards it shows it trying to recurve out to sea; but that's out in la la land. So anything is possible at this point.
  7. FallsLake

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Hopefully the 6Z GEFS is not good in the LR (2m temp anomaly for days 12-16):
  8. FallsLake

    Looking Ahead to Fall and Winter

    There was a lot of hype about a cold winter. Some of us did get lucky with the December storm, but otherwise it was a bad winter.
  9. FallsLake

    Looking Ahead to Fall and Winter

    Looks like a pattern. Everybody has heard of the 30s heat (dust bowl), maybe we'll start dropping back in the coming years. **not considering climate change.....
  10. FallsLake

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    The weaker the better. The official NHC track center keeps it off the NC coast line. The 6z GFS shows it going on shore or skirting the coast line right up over the outer banks. Honestly, I think the outer banks are at most danger. The only good thing is this should be weaker (cat 1 or 2) and it should keep moving. also, the outer banks are no stranger to this level of a storm.
  11. FallsLake


    I like the 12z NAM. It looks to keep the storm off the coast right up to hour 84. I'm sure the outer banks would still see some damage. But on a selfish note, it would pull down some nice low/mid 50s dew points into central and eastern NC.
  12. FallsLake


    I feel bad for those folks. A lot of the buildings are not built to withstand that kind of (prolonged) wind.
  13. FallsLake

    2019 Banter Thread

    Lol, yeah I was just joking with NRVwxfan. He moved from Columbia to SW Virginia and is rightfully expecting to see more snow. But it would funny to see a couple of southern sliders this year like the one shown. **I've been saying for the last two years we're due to see one of these storms.
  14. FallsLake


    For us in the Triangle, we'll be very close to the cut off line for excessive rain. 50 mile difference in the track will give folks in central NC 5" or very little. Lol, we'll probably have the Wake County cut off. But it will be opposite (then many winter storms) for the haves and have nots...
  15. FallsLake


    12 GFS looks like it rides just off the coast of the SE with maybe a touch of a landfall in SE NC. Would be bad for coastal NC. ^^as SENC just stated.. By the way, I'm having issues with Tropical Tidbits. It keeps wanting me to tour the sight (I have to hit skip for each click I make). Anyways to stop that?