Jump to content

packfan98

Members
  • Content count

    2,517
  • Joined

  • Last visited

About packfan98

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KGSO
  • Gender
    Not Telling
  • Location:
    Sophia, NC (Randolph County)

Recent Profile Visitors

The recent visitors block is disabled and is not being shown to other users.

  1. packfan98

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    Here's the NWS Raleigh Discussion: As of 350 PM Sunday... Surface low has emerged off the SE Coast and will pull slowly east- northeast away from the NC coast as a series of shortwaves eject east through the base of mid/upper level trough trough in place across the SE US. Per 18z/9 GSO sounding, the cold deep near freezing isothermal layer did indeed prevail across the far northern/northwestern Piedmont, in the heart of the cold air damming region in place east of the mountains. As of 20z, latest reports coming in across that region have a snowfall maximum of 14 to 14.5 inches across Forsyth and Person counties. However, impressive mid-level dry punch overspreading the area from the west signals the loss of saturation aloft and ice crystals aloft, which will largely end the production of accumulating snow and sleet, that is until the arrival arrival of the next shortwave later this evening and overnight. Thus, expect the snow/sleet across the far northern zones to change-over to light freezing rain/drizzle to occur within the next hour. The approach of the upper wave late this evening and overnight will lead to re-saturation and cooling aloft. At the same time, weak cold dry air advection on the back-side of the surface low moving farther offshore, will result in near to sub-freezing temps across the the northern two-thirds of the forecast area. The re-introduction of lift and ice into the cloud will result in another period of light snow/sleet across spreading east across the area. Additional snowfall amounts are expected to be light, ranging between a half inch to 1 to 1.5 inches across the far northern zones. While the far SE counties could see some a mix wet snow and rain, above freezing temps in the mid 30s will result in little to accumulation.
  2. packfan98

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    NWS Raleigh is going for around an inch of accumulation tomorrow. Here are the expected and max potential maps:
  3. packfan98

    December 8-10 Winter Storm Obs

    Me too. I don't want any more fzrn!
  4. packfan98

    December 8-10 Winter Storm Obs

    The elusive FOOT of snow! Congrats. I'm guessing Triad schools will be out all week.
  5. packfan98

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    RGEM has it too:
  6. packfan98

    December 8-10 Winter Storm Obs

    I just got in from a brief walk. I measured between 7-8 inches. I'm about 10 miles away from the sleet line and wanted to measure before the changeover. As soon as I came back in the death band of snow started. EXTREMELY HEAVY rates. Looks like the forecasts were just right for this area. However, just 30 miles south there is less than 1/2 inch of slop. Extremely tight gradient.
  7. packfan98

    December 8-10 Winter Storm Obs

    Nice! Looks like I might get one more hour of snow down here in NW Randolph County. Look to have 3-4 inches. I hope that I hold on to sleet as long as possible before the freezing rain sets in. Looks to be about .25 inches of ice coming just south and east of the Triad.
  8. packfan98

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    Do you think there will be any significant icing? Seems like some of the models are picking up on the potential just SE of the Triad between Charlotte and RDU. I'm in NW Randolph Co just south of Archdale and am hoping to stay snow/sleet and avoid an ice storm.
  9. packfan98

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    And the Kuchera map from 22z HRRR from Pivotal.
  10. packfan98

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    There’s a separate map for freezing rain but not sleet. I would imagine cutting the totals on the map in half would be closer to reality.
  11. packfan98

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    Matches pretty well with the Kuchera map from Pivotal:
  12. packfan98

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    @griteater have you had a chance to look at the 6z euro? I’m curious if there were any changes, especially with the transition lines. Thanks!
  13. packfan98

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    Thanks for the information, and the well wishes!
  14. packfan98

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    Anybody have access to the 18z Euro? @griteater???
  15. packfan98

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    So many great model runs this week! Tomorrow is game time. Buckle up!
×