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Everything posted by Dunkman

  1. Looks like a pretty stout hail core and some rotation heading towards jburns.
  2. I’m not an expert but when there’s a severe thunderstorm warning from Lenoir to Bluefield it might be time for a watch.
  3. 38 and 0.26" so far. 0 days since last 30 degree rain.
  4. Playing the is it pollen or Covid game wasn't super fun. Hopefully my pandemic anxiety is a little better by now.
  5. At least we’re going to have a mix of temperatures for our rain coming up instead of just 30s. Should be some 40 degree rain, some 50 degree rain and maybe even some 60 degree rain!
  6. Oh yeah Raleigh gets 60 degrees and a severe thunderstorm with the QLCS but just more 30s and rain for me
  7. Yeah that’s good let’s get that base up out west for my spring break ski trip.
  8. It’s not out on Pivotal yet. Maybe it is on a paid site? It’s been awhile since the weather tempted me to subscribe somewhere.
  9. You can’t really expect a storm with that much cold in our climate this late in the season. It really can only happen in places like the frozen tundra of San Antonio.
  10. Same here. It was 12” but still...
  11. That sounds good to me 3” would like quadruple my winter total
  12. RAH downgraded everyone except the VA border counties to an advisory.
  13. I don’t know how things are everywhere but here in west central Guilford it’s melting at the point that there will be very little left by sunset. That would almost certainly make the overnight icing inconsequential.
  14. I mean the GEFS does have a CAD signal...
  15. The melting has already started here. I’ll be surprised if there’s anything left by late this afternoon.
  16. Unfortunately this heavier band is all ZR so far in N High Point. I was really hoping for some sleet.
  17. It's important to note that this isn't an in situ event. It doesn't really matter whether clouds roll in at the right (or wrong) time to lock in warmth or let it escape. This will ultimately be controlled by air that the high pressure funnels into the region. Considering my winds are out of the SE right now I'm not really sure what impacts the current dewpoints are going to ultimately have.
  18. All of the above. But I wouldn’t rule out warning criteria ice either. It looks like I may be living in front of the fireplace for a few days.
  19. It tries to. I still have real questions about accrual if it’s gonna be 50 degrees at 850mb. We’ve had numerous potential ZR events bust over the years due to heavy rates and stout warm noses.
  20. RAH is somewhat more aggressive with the totals into NC.
  21. Yeah the ICON shows ZR and sleet as rain. I’d imagine those bright returns near the snow line in VA are sleet and all the rest is ZR.
  22. Only about 10% of High Point electric customers are still without power now after hitting 50% late this morning. I feel very fortunate to have only lost it for a couple hours.
  23. Eek, still holding on here near Barrow road. Looks like about half of the 40k High Point energy customers are out as of now.
  24. That’s definitely just raw model output.