Dunkman
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Everything posted by Dunkman
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I mean the accrual is going to be a small fraction of what the models are showing with temps hovering around freezing. I'd be interested if there was some type of ZR accrual guide based on temps and precipitation rate.
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Looking through the UK temp panels I don't think any of that in NC in the Triad or points south and east is snow. Maybe a few flakes before going to a little sleet, some marginal ZR and then rain. Even farther N and W most of it is mixed. As you get into Virginia it looks more likely to stay snow.
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I’m honestly surprised the Euro totals aren’t higher up north. The coastal just sits there for 2 days.
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Pretty excited for everyone to my east to get snow tonight and everyone to my west to get it this weekend. Why haven't I moved to Colorado yet?
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He’s been pretty anti-weenie for awhile now. I think the terrible winters have broken him.
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Pretty sure this storm is gonna be in Boston by Monday.
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It failed everywhere outside of the northern mountains it seems. Storm just unraveled.
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It’s been a pretty miserable performance for the Euro which had most of NC bone dry yesterday. Shifting the precip 150 miles north inside of the last 48 hours is not ideal.
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Thanks for dropping in to explain your thinking on this Disc! Regardless of what happens with this one it's exciting to have an active winter pattern for a change.
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Built up frustration? I haven’t had more than a glorified dusting since 2018. It sucks.
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Have we punted on January yet? Gotta be close...
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Are you sure we're allowed to have a good pattern heading into January? That doesn't seem right.
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I compared the digital accumulation to a couple sites and it was underestimating precip by as much as 50%. I assume due to the tropical nature of the rain. The shelter in place unless fleeing from flooding FFW was not a welcome sight this morning. Most of the rivers in the Greensboro metro are above flood stage now and Charlotte looks a lot worse.
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This cell cutting through the Triad is looking nastier all the time. And a little bit suspicious. Wouldn't be shocked to see a warning go up.
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I would imagine the action is about to pick up. We saw our worst winds in those broken up looking light showers.
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Looks like you have the last band of heavy wind over you right now. Should get better soon I think?
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It's mixing down very efficiently. Radar has us with 60mph winds at like 5k feet and we're getting gusts in rain bands pretty close to that. Watch out whoever ends up under that band. I would not be surprised to see those 80mph gusts verify.
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That SVR warning for the nasty looking band east of MT. Airy mentions 80 mph gusts. Do not want.
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It's really picking up in the Triad now. We've had a couple gusts around 40mph in the last 15 minutes.
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It's a little odd with Zeta because although there's some warming of cloud tops on the south side it's nothing like you usually see when the south side of a storm falls apart.
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Certainly doesn't look like there's a whole lot on the south side on radar now.
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So unless there's a change of motion I don't see how NO misses it entirely. If you take either the short term more easterly motion or a more longer term look it still goes over the city.
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Looks like a bit of a wobble back to the east from the last couple dropsondes.
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Yeah the NC mountains are under a TS warning. That's a first I think.
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That lead cell is starting to look a little suspicious again. I guess we'll see how quick of a trigger RAX has tonight.
