downeastnc

well the little piece of Florence ( 98L) the NHC is tracking looks a little better this morning and most models bring it over eastern NC......really dont need any rain and even if its not a named system its not wanted.....still a few days out but a lot can happen in an few days..the center looks to be getting better organized on the SE side of the convection and the shear is suppose to let up some over the next few days before picking up again..... https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=98L&product=vis

Yeah the F name storms like to "retire" in NC......

Crazy rescue with a airboat

As of noon today...some of these have to be wrong though.....New Bern was under that insane band all day yesterday they have had way more than 8.4"....

we are lucky the power grid is all underground for the most part and its gotta really gust up over 60-70 a lot to lose power....I heard 15-20 transformers pop Thurs night into yesterday morning and never had more than a brownout or two.... rain total is hard to determine, its somewhere between 9-12" this last band of storms gave me 1-1.5" in just 30 mins and the yards around here are all underwater this is my back corner and my two neighbors yards...

I seen several reports of up to 14 t of surge in and around Jacksonville.....

Surge taking forever to get back out with the east flow, Belhaven is a good example....before Flo I would bet the record surge in Belhaven was around 4 ft, this part of NC is a lot of low flat coastal marshes which help with surges because there is so much room for the water to spread out, the shear volume of water just to get it to 3-4 ft is crazy....well this storm pushed it to almost 7 ft and its still riding at or just above the previous highest ever recorded surge.....normally the surge would be out much faster as the typical path takes the storm north and lets winds go west which reverses the surge....hopefully the next low tide will get it under major flood stage....

Its been raining here for what seems like forever now.....luckily I have managed to just stay on the north edge of that insane band that setup but still have had 8-10" and am currently under another smaller band that just setup off the Pamilco.....hopefully it is short lived but it looks like its trying to persist some. I took a ride earlier saw some trees down but really wind damage was light we probably never gusted more than 60ish.....the water though was high.... many ditches and creeks where up to the road and with this last hr or so of 1-3" a hr rates I am sure many have water over them now....

Seeing reports of up to 14+ft of surge in that area....

That tornado warning by Oxford the real deal......decent couplet there

Its rare the ILM to have the center west of them like this, Matthew approach angle was crazy ( well until Flo)....once the center got west of them and the winds went south and the center more or less stalled it was the "perfect storm " scenario to get record surge there....might not be topped out either

Sure though they are draining out now......even where I am the creeks came up 6-7 ft on the surge that doesnt do anything to homes around here but it does prevent the ditches and smaller creeks from draining all this damn rain.......all the water rise on this chart is surge related.....its actually going out now....a lot slower than normally though usually the hurricanes go S to N so once the center gets north of us the winds go around to the west and blow it out.....not happening this time, still getting gust to 40-45 regularly and I sure its worse out over the open water.....its unreal the stuff I am seeing from friends...the surge numbers will be record breaking for the Neuse and Pamlico rivers.....

The Neuse River basin is getting smashed.....I am under the northern edge of that band and its been insane since 8-9am, lots of roads are closed etc...and frankly this is nothing compared to what they are getting under that band...

That onshore firehose band is pummeling areas just south of me....its raining like crazy here and the returns are greens and yellows those areas from Havelock to New Bern to Kinston are just getting hammered.....