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Solak

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About Solak

  • Birthday 08/24/1954

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KJNX
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Clayton, NC

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  1. Solak

    April 18, 19, 2019 Severe Event

    523 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EDT FOR EAST CENTRAL JOHNSTON COUNTY... At 523 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Smithfield, moving northeast at 55 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.
  2. Solak

    April 18, 19, 2019 Severe Event

    Just heavy rain here near the JoCo Airport. No significant wind when that bowed line showed up.
  3. Solak

    April 18, 19, 2019 Severe Event

    JoCo 520 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019 The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southeastern Johnston County in central North Carolina... * Until 545 PM EDT * At 520 PM EDT, A tornado was reported near Smithfield, moving northeast at 55 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.
  4. Solak

    April 18, 19, 2019 Severe Event

    Yep - warning just canceled.
  5. Solak

    April 18, 19, 2019 Severe Event

    Brad Panovich‏Verified account @wxbrad 3m3 minutes ago STP values spiking in SC and GS right now. #cltwx #ncwx #scwx
  6. Solak

    April 18, 19, 2019 Severe Event

    Looks like a pretty good break in the cloud cover between the squall line to the West and the cluster further East.
  7. Solak

    April 18, 19, 2019 Severe Event

    NWS SPC‏Verified account @NWSSPC 29s30 seconds ago 9:55am CDT #SPC_MD 0400 , #ncwx #scwx, https://go.usa.gov/xmDeN
  8. Solak

    April 18, 19, 2019 Severe Event

    RAH AFD updated for timing... Ahead of an approaching squall line this morning discrete cells will be likely with isolated tornadoes, damaging winds, and hail all possible. Between 2 PM and 6 PM the squall line will approach the Triad. Widespread damaging winds and isolated tornadoes will be possible in the squall line. An isolated strong to long track tornado can't be ruled out. Between 6 PM and 10 PM the squall line will be crossing the triangle. The squall line will then likely exit the eastern zones just before midnight tonight.
  9. Solak

    April 18, 19, 2019 Severe Event

    Allan Huffman‏ @RaleighWx 26m26 minutes ago The latest HRRR updraft helicity swaths. This basically shows the model forecast track of rotating thunderstorms the next 18 hours. As you can see we could have multiple rotating thunderstorms #ncwx #scwx
  10. Solak

    April 2019 Observations

    Topped out at 82/54 today.
  11. Solak

    April 18, 19, 2019 Severe Event

    From BMX Concern is growing for areas along and south of Interstate 85 from Montgomery to the AL/GA state line. This is where SBCAPE values have the best chance of reaching the 1000-1400 J/kg range before storms arrive. If this amount of instability is realized, effective storm relative helicity values of 400-500 m2/s2 will support a potential for strong tornadoes (EF2 intensity). 0-6 km shear vectors are supportive of a mixed mode of supercells and bowing line segments as the event unfolds overnight. Due to low confidence, we will refrain from messaging the potential for strong tornadoes in our products at this time and continue to monitor mesoscale trends.
  12. Solak

    April 18, 19, 2019 Severe Event

    2019/04/18 4:40 PM iembot 2 ESE Clinton [Hinds Co, MS] FIRE DEPT/RESCUE reports TORNADO at 2:43 PM CDT -- CARS FLIPPED IN WALMART PARKING LOT.
  13. Solak

    April 18, 19, 2019 Severe Event

    NWS SPC‏Verified account @NWSSPC 5m5 minutes ago 4/18 12:50 PM CDT: Looking ahead to the severe risk for tomorrow: Severe thunderstorms are expected from parts of Florida into the Mid-Atlantic on Friday with scattered damaging winds and a few tornadoes possible. #flwx #gawx #scwx #ncwx #vawx #mdwx ...Northern FL...Eastern GA...Carolinas...VA... A line of storms, possibly severe, will be ongoing Friday morning across central GA into the Florida Panhandle along the cold front. Strong winds veering with height will favor supercells embedded within the line producing damaging wind or tornadoes with dewpoints in the 68-70 F range. This line will likely remain severe into southeast GA into early afternoon, with a gradual decrease in threat with southward extent into FL. Heating will occur ahead of the frontal line, leading to an axis of 1000-1500 J/kg MLCAPE from FL to southern VA. Given the track of the upper low, there will not be much cooling aloft ahead of the cold front, leading to less favorable lapse rates aloft and marginal instability. Still, sufficient levels of instability will be attained given very strong southerly deep-layer mean winds and low-level shear to support supercells within the line. Swaths of damaging wind and a few tornadoes are expected as storms move rapidly northeastward during the day, mainly from GA into VA. More isolated severe activity is expected across WV and PA, where wind profiles will also be strong but instability weak. However, daytime heating and steepening of low-level lapse rates may support at least shallow severe storms, perhaps a supercell. ...MAXIMUM RISK BY HAZARD... Tornado: 5% - Slight Wind: 30% - Enhanced Hail: 15% - Slight
  14. Solak

    2019 Banter Thread

    *Sigh* Starting to get all the Medicare information in the mail. So many suplimental plans out there to review as well.
  15. Solak

    General Severe Weather

    The models continue to hone in on the heavy rain and severe (damaging wind and isolated tornado) threat for Friday into Friday evening for our region. Increasing gradient southerly winds of 20-30 mph with gusts to 40 mph expected Friday. The approaching mid/upper trough is forecast to become a full deep trough/closed upper low as it approaches from the west on Friday and Friday night. The main cold front is expected to push east through central NC Friday afternoon into Friday night. An narrow but strong plume of deep moisture will be tapped from the subtropics around Cuba and Greater Antilles up and along the cold front. Most likely record high precipitable water value anomalies in record territory for the middle of April (+3 to +4 standard deviations above normal), will lead to dew points in the upper 60s to lower 70s feeding into our region. This supply of moisture will lead to intense rainfall rates of 2-3 inches per hour with the heaviest showers/thunderstorms that will occur in bands as they move across the region Friday into Friday evening. QPF on the order of 1.5 to 2 inches can be expected with locally 2.5 inches storm totals (most areas will see the bursts of heavy rain for 3-6 hours as the bands move through). Flash flooding will be possible given the saturated ground and recent high river levels. In addition, there is a chance of severe thunderstorms. The main threats will be damaging wind gusts as very strong winds aloft are forecast which can be tapped in the stronger and more intense cells or bands. Hail should be limited given the warm conveyor belt of subtropical moisture aloft. If there is any sun or breaks in the overcast (most likely in the Coastal Plain and eastward) then the damaging wind threat would increase given as the low level instability that can be tapped will become higher. Highs generally 70-75 west to 75-near 80 east. Gradient winds of 20 to 30 mph will gust to 40 mph. The models suggest that a mid-level dry punch will arrive Friday evening and push the severe and flash flood threats to our east during the evening, leaving variably cloudy skies and scattered showers overnight. Lows in the upper 40s and 50s NW to E.
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