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WeatherNC

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Everything posted by WeatherNC

  1. WeatherNC

    Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent

    SNOW SQUALL WARNING NWS CHARLESTON WV 351 PM EST SUN FEB 10 2019
  2. WeatherNC

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Punting till 2/15...
  3. WeatherNC

    Post Arctic front snow Tuesday, Jan 29

    High res precip, widespread 2 to 3 tenths with locally more.
  4. WeatherNC

    Post Arctic front snow Tuesday, Jan 29

    0Z NAM Kuchera
  5. WeatherNC

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Please and thank you.
  6. WeatherNC

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Look at your 500mb vorticity evolution preferably on a site like Nexlab where you can slide the panels back and forth. There’s an 850 too, would like to see it more tucked in to the coast which means H5 needs to sharper and tune a little sooner.
  7. WeatherNC

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    First run I have seen with some snow in NE NC through 57hrs, ~1” using Kuchera and 2” on stock 10:1.
  8. WeatherNC

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Watch us get the coastal but miss out on boundary layer temps. I just don’t see how it will be cold enough for anything but rain, height falls in whatever semblance of a conveyer are not sharp enough.
  9. WeatherNC

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    More the lack of run to run continuity with the ops and ensemble support 7 days out, while in no way unusual lets still be real, it's a unicorn at this very early stage.
  10. WeatherNC

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Congrats, Bermuda?
  11. WeatherNC

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    18z GFS historic cold shot @ 276...
  12. WeatherNC

    January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast

    Congrats guys, indecisive motion ftw... .
  13. WeatherNC

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Next weekend has my interest for the MA, to a point where tentative PTO for 1/21 was submitted yesterday and the current chase envelope includes PA. I am not driving that far for 16-20" though, need a solid 2' hatch with guidance painting 30"+ lollipops. At H5 its not far off, just need that PV lobe in Quebec to keep distance. Big dogs often come at the bookends of a pattern change.
  14. WeatherNC

    January 12-13th Winter Storm Obs

    0.92" event total, all RN.
  15. WeatherNC

    January 12-13th Winter Storm Obs

    39.9/26.2 with a few sprinkles, nothing to see here in the coastal plain.
  16. WeatherNC

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Really really nice LR run of the 12z GFS, 1/19-1/21 is very close to a sig winter storm for the eastern US, not far off from being a long wave axis going neg tilt ivo the MS river. Then another chance, albeit less impressive at H5 on 1/23, wrapping up with a lobe of the PV in SE Canada with energy entering MT.
  17. WeatherNC

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Happy New Year gents, 68F outback, punting to 1/21.
  18. WeatherNC

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    As things currently stand, there will be some moisture in play for the SE around Christmas, thermal profile TBD but looking marginal at best with low cutting through the Lakes and lackluster HP coming down in the Plains.
  19. WeatherNC

    December 8-10 Winter Storm Obs

    33 and IP, exhausted but likely staying up to see if any flakes mix in, or the off chance we see a light accumulation.
  20. WeatherNC

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    Drove from Boone to Greenville today, coverage was total to around Zebulon. Takes a rare bird to lay down that areal extent in NC, even areas to the east saw cover yesterday before it melted. 40 north, solid A.
  21. WeatherNC

    December 8-10 Winter Storm Obs

    20" was the measurement this morning after the back-end bonus stopped. We had 18-19" yesterday and picked up another 4" this morning. With compaction 20" was the most uniform measurement. Back safely in Greenville, 421-40 were not bad, primary hazard is idiots driving with mini icebergs on their cars.
  22. WeatherNC

    December 8-10 Winter Storm Obs

    Picked up about 3" of trailing vort bonus snow and still coming down at a good clip. We had a couple hours of freezing drizzle yesterday evening and that coated the trees, really helping this wetter snow stick to everything. Yardstick on the deck is at 20".
  23. WeatherNC

    December 8-10 Winter Storm Obs

    In the open area in front of our cabin, sticks are anywhere between 17-22", but 18-19" were the most consistent. The closest report to me is 17.5" as of 12:50pm and accumulating type wen on for about an hour after that. Solid plates are still falling as super saturation aloft is lost. Hoping for a 1-3" backend bonus.
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