December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

[Jet Stream Rider]

HRRR 9z-15z Monday depiction - Thats tomorrow morning

 

[BullCityWx]

5 minutes ago, RTPGiants said:

NVM, I was looking at wrong location apparently...Well that would be something if it verified.

Man, I’ve seen crazier things kinda like 10” in Durham before December 10th

[Brick Tamland]

So, looks like the models have anywhere from 2 to 16 inches here. Just a bit of a spread.

[Dunkman]

7 minutes ago, SouthWake33 said:

Can anyone post RGEM accumulation maps?  RAP?

[SouthWake33]

2 minutes ago, Dunkman said:

Thanks

[WinstonSalemArlington]

14.3 inches for Roanoke makes Dec. 9, 2018, the 4th snowiest calendar day on record, going back to 1912. Ahead are 1/10/1921 (20), 2/13/1960 (15.4) & 12/25/1969 (14.6). Please note: Many bigger storms like 1993, 1996, 2009 or 2014 had snow totals divided over 2 calendar days.

[Dunkman]

There's actually a pretty substantial stripe of ZR on the RGEM from the Triad and points ENE.

[hickory]

4 minutes ago, Dunkman said:

There's actually a pretty substantial stripe of ZR on the RGEM from the Triad and points ENE.

Anyway you can post? Am NE of Greensboro already sitting at .10 of ice and it's still heavy drizzle. Most forecast were calling for .10 max

[tarheelwx]

I'm afraid the RGEM could be right as we have steady ZR in Colfax as we speak.  Temp right at 32 and trees are getting weighted. 

TW

[CamelCityWx]

A bit of sleet starting to fall about 3 miles south of Winston Salem.

Edit: it appears to be zr now. Sitting dead on 32.

[Dunkman]

1 minute ago, hickory said:

Anyway you can post? Am NE of Greensboro already sitting at .10 of ice and it's still heavy drizzle. Most forecast were calling for .10 max

Sure

 

[SouthCentralWakeCo]

If this ULL overperforms, it is going to shock a lot of people. Not many local mets talking about it...

[BullCityWx]

Just want to point out that’s the 18z RGEM

[jtgus]

Where is the ULL currently?

[BullCityWx]

RGEM looks like it’s gonna dump half a foot just west of Charlotte.

[ryan1234]

If this ULL overperforms, it is going to shock a lot of people. Not many local mets talking about it...

I would love to see this ULL over perform, waking up to literally know snow was such a major disappointment. But that’s Mother Nature, I suppose.


.

[SouthCentralWakeCo]

02z HRRR has it more of a sleet fest instead snow on the previous runs. 

02z HRRR at hour 12:

01z HRRR at hour 13:

[WeatherHawk]

Snow is ripping again up here in Todd...are there any NW mountain folks up here this evening?

[Dunkman]

14 minutes ago, Queencitywx said:

Just want to point out that’s the 18z RGEM

Lol thanks. I need to sleep probably.

[GunBlade]

8 minutes ago, Queencitywx said:

RGEM looks like it’s gonna dump half a foot just west of Charlotte.

Nothing better than a well performing ULL.  Some of the best 1-2 hours of snow in some of those I’ve ever seen. 

[Jet Stream Rider]

12 minutes ago, jtgus said:

Where is the ULL currently?

There are at least two parts to it. The first part is the original west coast energy that spawned our slp (now off the NC coast), and that is being sheared as it traverses the mountains. The second part is dropping down the backside of the trough and the 2 will begin to interact.

 

[WeatherHawk]

Hard to believe that the moderators and other folks are having conversation on the observation thread about Jim Cantore's height...it's crazy...if any of us did that we'd be out.  Anyway...it's snowing like crazy here and my dog got stuck in the snow...she disappeared into a drift

[BIG FROSTY]

Warmest I've been all day here in the N.Foothills sitting at 33/33  

[kvegas-wx]

37 minutes ago, tarheelwx said:

I'm afraid the RGEM could be right as we have steady ZR in Colfax as we speak.  Temp right at 32 and trees are getting weighted. 

TW

I hear ya and share your concern.  Power already flickered once tonight.  The only positive to the wind was that most of the snow weight blew out of the trees earlier today.  If we get a couple tenths of ZR that wind will quickly work against us.  

Light ZR here in Kvegas / Walkertown.

[jburns]

32 minutes ago, WeatherHawk said:

Hard to believe that the moderators and other folks are having conversation on the observation thread about Jim Cantore's height...it's crazy...if any of us did that we'd be out.  Anyway...it's snowing like crazy here and my dog got stuck in the snow...she disappeared into a drift

I'll tell you what. You go and find the post or posts of any moderator that was talking about Jim Cantore's height and I will discipline them severely. I'll wait.

[griteater]

A visual of the upper low dropping down thru Nebraska and Kansas - https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=atlpac-wide&product=wv-mid

[UpstateSCGamecock]

A visual of the upper low dropping down thru Nebraska and Kansas - https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=atlpac-wide&product=wv-mid

 

Will precip begin before sunrise or is this an afternoon event for the ULL in SC?

 

 

.

[Rankin5150]

ULL's are so tough to forecast. I remember when NWS was calling for 1-2" and when it got going, they came back with the famous "there is a fly in the ointment" in their Forecast Disscusion and we ended up with thundersnow and 10-12" inches on the ground, when it was all said and done.  This was from the early 2000's. Do you remember that storm @Queencitywx? I believe we were on the Wright Weather at the time. 

[Rankin5150]

3 minutes ago, griteater said:

A visual of the upper low dropping down thru Nebraska and Kansas - https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=atlpac-wide&product=wv-mid

What  do you think from what you are seeing, with the formation of the ULL? Does this thing have some horsepower? Or do you think we will just get on and off snow showers? It will be interesting to see where this sets up shop at...

[griteater]

10 minutes ago, UpstateSCGamecock said:

Will precip begin before sunrise or is this an afternoon event for the ULL in SC?

It's overnight into early morning for Western Carolinas